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Survival analysis has become a standard approach for modelling time to default by time-varying covariates in credit risk. Unlike most existing methods that implicitly assume a stationary data-generating process, in practise, mortgage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-29 Jianwei Peng , Stefan Lessmann

The lifetime behaviour of loans is notoriously difficult to model, which can compromise a bank's financial reserves against future losses, if modelled poorly. Therefore, we present a data-driven comparative study amongst three techniques in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Arno Botha , Tanja Verster , Roland Breedt

There have been significant efforts devoted to solving the longevity risk given that a continuous growth in population ageing has become a severe issue for many developed countries over the past few decades. The Cairns-Blake-Dowd (CBD)…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-30 Ka Kin Lam , Bo Wang

Machine learning models have the potential to identify cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) early and accurately in primary healthcare settings, which is crucial for delivering timely treatment and management. Although population-based CVD risk…

There has been an increased need for secondary means of credit evaluation by both traditional banking organizations as well as peer-to-peer lending entities. This is especially important in the present technological era where sticking with…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-25 Revathi Bhuvaneswari , Antonio Segalini

Predicting customer future purchases and lifetime value is a key metrics for managing marketing campaigns and optimizing marketing spend. This task is specifically challenging when the relationships between the customer and the firm are of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Ziv Pollak

Aging is a multidimensional process where phenotypes change at varying rates. Longitudinal studies of aging typically involve following a cohort of individuals over the course of several years. This design is hindered by cost, attrition,…

We introduce an additive stochastic mortality model which allows joint modelling and forecasting of underlying death causes. Parameter families for mortality trends can be chosen freely. As model settings become high dimensional, Markov…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-02 Jonas Hirz , Uwe Schmock , Pavel V. Shevchenko

Mortality prediction in intensive care units is considered one of the critical steps for efficiently treating patients in serious condition. As a result, various prediction models have been developed to address this problem based on modern…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Huachuan Wang , Yuanfei Bi

The digital revolution has led to the digitization of human behavior, creating unprecedented opportunities to understand observable actions on an unmatched scale. Emerging phenomena such as crowdfunding and crowdsourcing have further…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Hannah H. Chang , Anirban Mukherjee

Diverse analysis approaches have been proposed to distinguish data missing due to death from nonresponse, and to summarize trajectories of longitudinal data truncated by death. We demonstrate how these analysis approaches arise from…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-01-18 Brenda F. Kurland , Laura L. Johnson , Brian L. Egleston , Paula H. Diehr

Loan seasoning and inefficient consumer interest rate refinance behavior are well-known for mortgages. Consumer automobile loans, which are collateralized loans on a rapidly depreciating asset, have attracted less attention, however. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-24 Jackson P. Lautier , Vladimir Pozdnyakov , Jun Yan

As an intrinsic and fundamental property of big data, data heterogeneity exists in a variety of real-world applications, such as precision medicine, autonomous driving, financial applications, etc. For machine learning algorithms, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Jiashuo Liu , Jiayun Wu , Bo Li , Peng Cui

Survival regression is widely used to model time-to-events data, to explore how covariates may influence the occurrence of events. Modern datasets often encompass a vast number of covariates across many subjects, with only a subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 Abhishek Mandal , Abhisek Chakraborty

We study a credit risk model which captures effects of economic interactions on a firm's default probability. Economic interactions are represented as a functionally defined graph, and the existence of both cooperative, and competitive,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 J. P. L. Hatchett , R. Kuehn

Student loans occupy a significant portion of the federal budget, as well as, the largest financial burden in terms of debt for graduates. This paper explores data-driven approaches towards understanding the repayment of such loans. Using…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-07 Bin Luo , Qi Zhang , Somya D. Mohanty

Consumer agency in the digital age is increasingly constrained by systemic barriers and algorithmic manipulation, raising concerns about the authenticity of consumption choices. Nowadays, financial decisions are shaped by external pressures…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Pegah Nokhiz , Aravinda Kanchana Ruwanpathirana

We are entering a new "data everywhere-anytime" era that pivots us from being tracked online to continuous tracking as we move through our everyday lives. We have smart devices in our homes, on our bodies, and around our communities that…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Sujata Banerjee , Yiling Chen , Kobbi Nissim , David Parkes , Katie Siek , Lauren Wilcox

The presence of Super-Apps have changed the way we think about the interactions between users and commerce. It then comes as no surprise that it is also redefining the way banking is done. The paper investigates how different interactions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-22 Luisa Roa , Andrés Rodríguez-Rey , Alejandro Correa-Bahnsen , Carlos Valencia

Scientific studies of society increasingly rely on digital traces produced by various aspects of human activity. In this paper, we use a relatively unexplored source of data, anonymized records of bank card transactions collected in Spain…

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