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We study the spatial heterogeneity effect on regional COVID-19 pandemic timing and severity by analyzing the COVID-19 growth rate curves in the United States. We propose a geographically detailed functional data grouping method equipped…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-24 Tianyu Pan , Weining Shen , Guanyu Hu

Recent years have witnessed the rapid development of deep-learning-based, graph-neural-network-based forecasting methods for modern intelligent transportation systems. However, most existing work focuses exclusively on capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Lixiang Fan , Bohao Li , Tao Zou , Junchen Ye , Bowen Du

The COVID-19 pandemic provided many modeling challenges to investigate the evolution of an epidemic process over areal units. A suitable encompassing model must describe the spatio-temporal variations of the disease infection rate of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-20 Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro , Dankmar Boehning , Sujit Sahu

Nowadays, with the rapid development of IoT (Internet of Things) and CPS (Cyber-Physical Systems) technologies, big spatiotemporal data are being generated from mobile phones, car navigation systems, and traffic sensors. By leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Renhe Jiang , Du Yin , Zhaonan Wang , Yizhuo Wang , Jiewen Deng , Hangchen Liu , Zekun Cai , Jinliang Deng , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

We show how to incorporate information from labeled examples into nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF), a popular unsupervised learning algorithm for dimensionality reduction. In addition to mapping the data into a space of lower…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-12-19 Youngmin Cho , Lawrence K. Saul

Accurate inference of fine-grained traffic flow from coarse-grained one is an emerging yet crucial problem, which can help greatly reduce the number of the required traffic monitoring sensors for cost savings. In this work, we notice that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Lingbo Liu , Mengmeng Liu , Guanbin Li , Ziyi Wu , Junfan Lin , Liang Lin

Traffic forecasting is a cornerstone of intelligent transportation systems. While existing research has made significant progress in short-term prediction, long-term forecasting remains a largely uncharted and challenging frontier.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Zhiwei Zhang , Xinyi Du , Weihao Wang , Xuanchi Guo , Wenjuan Han

Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) is widely used for parts-based representations, yet formal inference for covariate effects is rarely available when the basis is learned under non-negativity. We introduce non-negative matrix…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Kenichi Satoh

Time-evolving traffic flow forecasting are playing a vital role in intelligent transportation systems and smart cities. However, the dynamic traffic flow forecasting is a highly nonlinear problem with complex temporal-spatial dependencies.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Zhenan Lin , Yuni Lai , Wai Lun Lo , Richard Tai-Chiu Hsung , Harris Sik-Ho Tsang , Xiaoyu Xue , Kai Zhou , Yulin Zhu

In this paper, we have proposed STC-GEF, a novel Spatio-Temporal Cross-platform Graph Embedding Fusion approach for the urban traffic flow prediction. We have designed a spatial embedding module based on graph convolutional networks (GCN)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Mahan Tabatabaie , James Maniscalco , Connor Lynch , Suining He

Predicting human displacements is crucial for addressing various societal challenges, including urban design, traffic congestion, epidemic management, and migration dynamics. While predictive models like deep learning and Markov models…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Sebastiano Bontorin , Simone Centellegher , Riccardo Gallotti , Luca Pappalardo , Bruno Lepri , Massimiliano Luca

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as quarantine, self-isolation, social distancing, and virus-contact tracing can greatly reduce the spread of the virus during a pandemic. In the wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-16 Jingjing He , Xuefei Guan , Xiaochang Duan , Tian Shen , Jing Lin

In this paper we develop statistical methods for causal inference in epidemics. Our focus is in estimating the effect of social mobility on deaths in the Covid-19 pandemic. We propose a marginal structural model motivated by a modified…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-25 Matteo Bonvini , Edward Kennedy , Valerie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) and non-negative tensor factorization (NTF) decompose non-negative high-dimensional data into non-negative low-rank components. NMF and NTF methods are popular for their intrinsic interpretability and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Alexander Sietsema , Zerrin Vural , James Chapman , Yotam Yaniv , Deanna Needell

Traffic forecasting has emerged as a core component of intelligent transportation systems. However, timely accurate traffic forecasting, especially long-term forecasting, still remains an open challenge due to the highly nonlinear and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-30 Mingxing Xu , Wenrui Dai , Chunmiao Liu , Xing Gao , Weiyao Lin , Guo-Jun Qi , Hongkai Xiong

Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF) methods offer an appealing unsupervised learning method for real-time analysis of streaming spectral data in time-sensitive data collection, such as $\textit{in situ}$ characterization of materials.…

Applied Physics · Physics 2024-06-12 Phillip M. Maffettone , Aidan C. Daly , Daniel Olds

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) is one of the most frequently-used matrix factorization models in data analysis. A significant reason to the popularity of NMF is its interpretability and the `parts of whole' interpretation of its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-19 Sanjar Karaev , James Hook , Pauli Miettinen

We are witnessing a widespread adoption of artificial intelligence in healthcare. However, most of the advancements in deep learning in this area consider only unimodal data, neglecting other modalities. Their multimodal interpretation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Valerio Guarrasi , Lorenzo Tronchin , Domenico Albano , Eliodoro Faiella , Deborah Fazzini , Domiziana Santucci , Paolo Soda

Traffic time series forecasting is challenging due to complex spatio-temporal dynamics time series from different locations often have distinct patterns; and for the same time series, patterns may vary across time, where, for example, there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo , Tung Kieu , Shirui Pan