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This paper extends the canonical model of epidemiology, the SIRD model, to allow for time-varying parameters for real-time measurement and prediction of the trajectory of the Covid-19 pandemic. Time variation in model parameters is captured…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-01 Cem Cakmakli , Yasin Simsek

Recent advancements in Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks (ST-GNNs) and Transformers have demonstrated promising potential for traffic forecasting by effectively capturing both temporal and spatial correlations. The generalization ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Hongjun Wang , Jiyuan Chen , Tong Pan , Zheng Dong , Lingyu Zhang , Renhe Jiang , Xuan Song

Understanding multi-vehicle interactive behaviors with temporal sequential observations is crucial for autonomous vehicles to make appropriate decisions in an uncertain traffic environment. On-demand similarity measures are significant for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Qin Lin , Wenshuo Wang , Yihuan Zhang , John Dolan

Nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) has an established reputation as a useful data analysis technique in numerous applications. However, its usage in practical situations is undergoing challenges in recent years. The fundamental factor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-04 Mariano Tepper , Guillermo Sapiro

Reliable traffic flow prediction is crucial to creating intelligent transportation systems. Many big-data-based prediction approaches have been developed but they do not reflect complicated dynamic interactions between roads considering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Won Kyung Lee , Deuk Sin Kwon , So Young Sohn

Real-time traffic prediction from high-fidelity spatiotemporal traffic sensor datasets is an important problem for intelligent transportation systems and sustainability. However, it is challenging due to the complex topological dependencies…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-22 Dingxiong Deng , Cyrus Shahabi , Ugur Demiryurek , Linhong Zhu , Rose Yu , Yan Liu

Identifying recurring patterns in high-dimensional time series data is an important problem in many scientific domains. A popular model to achieve this is convolutive nonnegative matrix factorization (CNMF), which extends classic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Anthony Degleris , Ben Antin , Surya Ganguli , Alex H Williams

Many road accidents occur due to distracted drivers. Today, driver monitoring is essential even for the latest autonomous vehicles to alert distracted drivers in order to take over control of the vehicle in case of emergency. In this paper,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-19 Neslihan Kose , Okan Kopuklu , Alexander Unnervik , Gerhard Rigoll

With the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, various studies have focused on predicting the trajectory and risk factors of the virus and its variants. Building on previous work that addressed this problem using genetic and epidemiological…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Catherine Li , Daniel Lazarev

Maritime transportation is central to the global economy, and analyzing its large-scale behavioral data is critical for operational planning, environmental stewardship, and governance. This work presents a spatio-temporal analytical…

Traffic demand prediction plays a critical role in intelligent transportation systems. Existing traffic prediction models primarily rely on temporal traffic data, with limited efforts incorporating human knowledge and experience for urban…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Lingyu Zhang , Pengfei Xu , Guobin Wu , Jian Liang , Ruiyang Dong , Yunhai Wang , Xuan Song

Accurate traffic prediction, especially predicting traffic conditions several days in advance is essential for intelligent transportation systems (ITS). Such predictions enable mid- and long-term traffic optimization, which is crucial for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Hangli Ge , Xiaojie Yang , Itsuki Matsunaga , Dizhi Huang , Noboru Koshizuka

The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 has caused sudden shocks in transportation systems, specifically the subway ridership patterns in New York City. Understanding the temporal pattern of subway ridership through statistical models is crucial…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-31 Bahman Moghimi , Camille Kamga , Abolfazl Safikhani , Sandeep Mudigonda , Patricio Vicuna

Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (NMF), first proposed in 1994 for data analysis, has received successively much attention in a great variety of contexts such as data mining, text clustering, computer vision, bioinformatics, etc. In this…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Paola Favati , Grazia Lotti , Ornella Menchi , Francesco Romani

Modern intelligent transportation systems rely on accurate spatiotemporal traffic analysis to optimize urban mobility and infrastructure resilience. However, pervasive missing data caused by sensor failures and heterogeneous sensing gaps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Wenyu Luo , Yikai Hou , Peng Tang

Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (NMF) has been a popular representation method for pattern classification problem. It tries to decompose a nonnegative matrix of data samples as the product of a nonnegative basic matrix and a nonnegative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-06 Jim Jing-Yan Wang

Human mobility regularity is crucial for understanding urban dynamics and informing decision-making processes. This study first quantifies the periodicity in complex human mobility data as a sparse identification of dominant positive…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Xinyu Chen , Qi Wang , Yunhan Zheng , Nina Cao , HanQin Cai , Jinhua Zhao

Traffic flow forecasting is essential for managing congestion, improving safety, and optimizing various transportation systems. However, it remains a prevailing challenge due to the stochastic nature of urban traffic and environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Mayur Patil , Qadeer Ahmed , Shawn Midlam-Mohler

Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF) is a powerful technique for analyzing regularly-sampled data, i.e., data that can be stored in a matrix. For audio, this has led to numerous applications using time-frequency (TF) representations like…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-10 Krishna Subramani , Paris Smaragdis , Takuya Higuchi , Mehrez Souden

The COVID-19 crisis is profoundly influencing the global economic framework due to restrictive measures adopted by governments worldwide. Finding real-time data to correctly quantify this impact is very significant but not as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-30 Paolo Scarabaggio , Massimo La Scala , Raffaele Carli , Mariagrazia Dotoli
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