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In this paper, we consider a generic scheme that allows building weighted versions of various quantile estimators, such as traditional quantile estimators based on linear interpolation of two order statistics, the Harrell-Davis quantile…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Andrey Akinshin

We revisit the model of heteroscedastic extremes initially introduced by Einmahl et al. (JRSSB, 2016) to describe the evolution of a non stationary sequence whose extremes evolve over time and adapt it into a general extreme quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Benjamin Bobbia , Clément Dombry , Davit Varron

High-dimensional covariance estimation is notoriously sensitive to outliers. While statistically optimal estimators exist for general heavy-tailed distributions, they often rely on computationally expensive techniques like semidefinite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Even He

A coupling method is developed for univariate extreme value theory , providing an alternative to the use of the tail empirical/quantile processes. Emphasizing the Peak-over-Threshold approach that approximates the distribution above high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Benjamin Bobbia , Clément Dombry , Davit Varron

Modelling non-homogeneous and multi-component data is a problem that challenges scientific researchers in several fields. In general, it is not possible to find a simple and closed form probabilistic model to describe such data. That is why…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-27 Nehla Debbabi , Marie Kratz , Mamadou Mboup

We study the tail asymptotics of the sum of two heavy-tailed random variables. The dependence structure is modeled by copulas with the so-called tail order property. Examples are presented to illustrate the approach. Further for each…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-15 Fan Yang , Yi Zhang

We establish some asymptotic expansions for infinite weighted convolution of distributions having regular varying tails. Various applications to statistics and probability are developed.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ph. Barbe , W. P. McCormick

To tackle massive data, subsampling is a practical approach to select the more informative data points. However, when responses are expensive to measure, developing efficient subsampling schemes is challenging, and an optimal sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-11 Jing Wang , HaiYing Wang , Shifeng Xiong

For the problem of estimating lower tail and upper tail copulas, we propose two bootstrap procedures for approximating the distribution of the corresponding empirical tail copulas. The first method uses a multiplier bootstrap of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Axel Bücher , Holger Dette

Assume that claims in a portfolio of insurance contracts are described by independent and identically distributed random variables with regularly varying tails and occur according to a near mixed Poisson process. We provide a collection of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-26 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Christian Robert , Jef Teugels

This paper studies distributed estimation and support recovery for high-dimensional linear regression model with heavy-tailed noise. To deal with heavy-tailed noise whose variance can be infinite, we adopt the quantile regression loss…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-21 Xi Chen , Weidong Liu , Xiaojun Mao , Zhuoyi Yang

A common bottleneck in evaluating extremal performance measures is that, due to their very nature, tail data are often very limited. The conventional approach selects the best probability distribution from tail data using parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-03 Henry Lam , Clementine Mottet

We study high-dimensional signal recovery from non-linear measurements with design vectors having elliptically symmetric distribution. Special attention is devoted to the situation when the unknown signal belongs to a set of low statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-14 Larry Goldstein , Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

We benchmark the robustness of maximum likelihood based uncertainty estimation methods to outliers in training data for regression tasks. Outliers or noisy labels in training data results in degraded performances as well as incorrect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Deebul S. Nair , Nico Hochgeschwender , Miguel A. Olivares-Mendez

The block maxima method is one of the most popular approaches for extreme value analysis with independent and identically distributed observations in the domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution. The lack of a rigorous study on…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Simone A Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

This work proposes a novel method to robustly and accurately model time series with heavy-tailed noise, in non-stationary scenarios. In many practical application time series have heavy-tailed noise that significantly impacts the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-01 Elena Ehrlich , Laurent Callot , François-Xavier Aubet

Importance sampling algorithms for heavy-tailed random walks are considered. Using a specification with algorithms based on mixtures of the original distribution with some other distribution, sufficient conditions for obtaining bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-21 Henrik Hult , Jens Svensson

We obtain asymptotic approximations for the probability density function of the product of two correlated normal random variables with non-zero means and arbitrary variances. As a consequence, we deduce asymptotic approximations for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Robert E. Gaunt , Zixin Ye

Even though practitioners often estimate Pareto exponents running OLS rank-size regressions, the usual recommendation is to use the Hill MLE with a small-sample correction instead, due to its unbiasedness and efficiency. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 Thiago Trafane Oliveira Santos , Daniel Oliveira Cajueiro

We offer a survey of recent results on covariance estimation for heavy-tailed distributions. By unifying ideas scattered in the literature, we propose user-friendly methods that facilitate practical implementation. Specifically, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Yuan Ke , Stanislav Minsker , Zhao Ren , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou
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