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We study nonparametric Bayesian statistical inference for the parameters governing a pure jump process of the form $$Y_t = \sum_{k=1}^{N(t)} Z_k,~~~ t \ge 0,$$ where $N(t)$ is a standard Poisson process of intensity $\lambda$, and $Z_k$ are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Richard Nickl , Jakob Söhl

We consider a problem of ecological inference, in which individual-level covariates are known, but labeled data is available only at the aggregate level. The intended application is modeling voter preferences in elections. In Rosenman and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-23 Evan Rosenman

It is well known that a binomial $(n,p)$ can be approximated by a Poisson distribution with parameter $np$. The typical approach in undergraduate probability texts is to show a convergence result for the distribution of the binomial as $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

This paper addresses the mapping problem. Using a conjugate prior form, we derive the exact theoretical batch multi-object posterior density of the map given a set of measurements. The landmarks in the map are modeled as extended objects,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-09 Maryam Fatemi , Karl Granström , Lennart Svensson , Francisco J. R. Ruiz , Lars Hammarstrand

Let $G_{k,n}$ be a group of permutations of $kn$ objects which permutes things independently in disjoint blocks of size $k$ and then permutes the blocks. We investigate the probabilistic and/or enumerative aspects of random elements of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Persi Diaconis , Nathan Tung

We present a novel approach to ecological risk assessment by recasting the Species Sensitivity Distribution (SSD) method within a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) framework. Widely mandated by environmental regulatory bodies globally, SSD has…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Louise Alamichel , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King , Igor Prünster

Many new possibilities to observe and use novel physical effects are discovered at so called exceptional points (EPs). This is done by using parity-time (PT) -symmetric non-Hermitian systems and balancing gains and losses. When combined…

Applied Physics · Physics 2023-03-06 Jianlan Xie , Shaohua Dong , Bei Yan , Yuchen Peng , Jianjun Liu , Chengwei Qiu , Shuangchun Wen

We give a general framework for approximations to combinatorial assemblies, especially suitable to the situation where the number $k$ of components is specified, in addition to the overall size $n$. This involves a Poisson process, which,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-06 Richard Arratia , Stephen DeSalvo

The Poisson distribution of order $k$ is a special case of a compound Poisson distribution. For $k=1$ it is the standard Poisson distribution. Our main result is a proof that for sufficiently small values of the rate parameter $\lambda$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-03 S. R. Mane

On unitary compact groups the decomposition of a generic element into product of reflections induces a decomposition of the characteristic polynomial into a product of factors. When the group is equipped with the Haar probability measure,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-25 Paul Bourgade , Ashkan Nikeghbali , Alain Rouault

Selective classification enhances the reliability of predictive models by allowing them to abstain from making uncertain predictions. In this work, we revisit the design of optimal selection functions through the lens of the Neyman--Pearson…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Alvin Heng , Harold Soh

We generalize the Poisson limit theorem to binary functions of random objects whose law is invariant under the action of an amenable group. Examples include stationary random fields, exchangeable sequences, and exchangeable graphs. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Haoyu Ye , Peter Orbanz , Morgane Austern

We develop a systematic framework for determining the nature of exceptional points of $n^{\rm th}$ order (EP$_n$s) in non-Hermitian (NH) systems, represented by complex square matrices. By expressing symmetry-preserving perturbations in the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2026-03-27 Ipsita Mandal

We use the Stein-Chen method to prove new explicit inequalities for the total variation, Wasserstein and local distances between the distribution of a random diagonal sum of a Bernoulli matrix and a Poisson distribution. Approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Bero Roos

We consider a generalization of the Ewens measure for the symmetric group, calculating moments of the characteristic polynomial and similar multiplicative statistics. In addition, we study the asymptotic behavior of linear statistics (such…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-14 Christopher Hughes , Joseph Najnudel , Ashkan Nikeghbali , Dirk Zeindler

We give an algorithm for properly learning Poisson binomial distributions. A Poisson binomial distribution (PBD) of order $n$ is the discrete probability distribution of the sum of $n$ mutually independent Bernoulli random variables. Given…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-11-13 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Alistair Stewart

The Poisson distribution has been widely studied and used for modeling univariate count-valued data. Multivariate generalizations of the Poisson distribution that permit dependencies, however, have been far less popular. Yet, real-world…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-28 David I. Inouye , Eunho Yang , Genevera I. Allen , Pradeep Ravikumar

Random fields are useful mathematical tools for representing natural phenomena with complex dependence structures in space and/or time. In particular, the Gaussian random field is commonly used due to its attractive properties and…

Scanning Transmission Electron Microscopy (STEM) offers high-resolution images that are used to quantify the nanoscale atomic structure and composition of materials and biological specimens. In many cases, however, the resolution is limited…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-23 Daniel Nicholls , Alex Robinson , Jack Wells , Amirafshar Moshtaghpour , Mounib Bahri , Angus Kirkland , Nigel Browning

Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) distributions are flexible generalizations of the Poisson distribution for modelling overdispersed or underdispersed counts. The main hindrance to their wider use in practice seems to be the inability to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-15 Alan Huang