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This paper discusses the challenges presented by tall data problems associated with Bayesian classification (specifically binary classification) and the existing methods to handle them. Current methods include parallelizing the likelihood,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-22 Richard D. Payne , Bani K. Mallick

We consider Metropolis Hastings MCMC in cases where the log of the ratio of target distributions is replaced by an estimator. The estimator is based on m samples from an independent online Monte Carlo simulation. Under some conditions on…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-01 Geoff K. Nicholls , Colin Fox , Alexis Muir Watt

We introduce a general class of mean-field-like spin systems with random couplings that comprises both the Ising model on inhomogeneous dense random graphs and the randomly diluted Hopfield model. We are interested in quantitative estimates…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Anton Bovier , Frank den Hollander , Saeda Marello , Elena Pulvirenti , Martin Slowik

The discretization of overdamped Langevin dynamics, through schemes such as the Euler-Maruyama method, can be corrected by some acceptance/rejection rule, based on a Metropolis-Hastings criterion for instance. In this case, the invariant…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-06 Max Fathi , Gabriel Stoltz

State-space models (SSMs) are commonly used to model time series data where the observations depend on an unobserved latent process. However, inference on the model parameters of an SSM can be challenging, especially when the likelihood of…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-08 Mary Llewellyn , Ruth King , Víctor Elvira , Gordon Ross

In this paper we study the Metropolis algorithm in connection with two mean--field spin systems, the so called mean--field Ising model and the Blume--Emery--Griffiths model. In both this examples the naive choice of proposal chain gives…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Bassetti Federico , Leisen Fabrizio

The goal of this article is to introduce the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method -- a Hamiltonian dynamics-inspired algorithm for sampling from a Gibbs density $\pi(x) \propto e^{-f(x)}$. We focus on the "idealized" case, where one can…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) methods are increasingly used for the approximation of distributions and related intractable integrals in the context of Bayesian inference. Population Monte Carlo (PMC) algorithms are a subclass of AIS…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-08 Víctor Elvira , Émilie Chouzenoux

Density tempering (also called density annealing) is a sequential Monte Carlo approach to Bayesian inference for general state models; it is an alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo. When applied to state space models, it moves a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , Minh Ngoc Tran

This article introduces the Modified Parameterized Leapfrog Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (MPL-HMC) method, a novel extension of HMC addressing key limitations through tunable integration parameters $\alpha(\delta t)$ and $\beta(\delta t)$,…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-17 Sourabh Bhattacharya

Uncertainty estimation is a key issue when considering the application of deep neural network methods in science and engineering. In this work, we introduce a novel algorithm that quantifies epistemic uncertainty via Monte Carlo sampling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Sebastian Bieringer , Gregor Kasieczka , Maximilian F. Steffen , Mathias Trabs

We introduce a variant of the Hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm to address large-deviation statistics in stochastic hydrodynamics. Based on the path-integral approach to stochastic (partial) differential equations, our HMC algorithm…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-29 G. Margazoglou , L. Biferale , R. Grauer , K. Jansen , D. Mesterházy , T. Rosenow , R. Tripiccione

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are routinely used to draw samples from distributions with intractable normalization constants. However, standard MCMC algorithms do not apply to doubly-intractable distributions in which there are…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-02 Iain Murray , Zoubin Ghahramani , David MacKay

In this study, we investigate the performance of the Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm in a setting with constraints on the support of the target distribution. We provide a rigorous analysis of the resulting Markov chain, establishing…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-16 Jinyuan Chang , Cheng Yong Tang , Yuanzheng Zhu

Molecular dynamics algorithms are subject to some amount of error dependent on the size of the time step that is used. This error can be corrected by periodically updating the system with a Metropolis criteria, where the integration step is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-06-11 Jason A. Wagoner , Vijay S. Pande

In this paper we study asymptotic properties of different data-augmentation-type Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms sampling from mixture models comprising discrete as well as continuous random variables. Of particular interest to us is…

Computation · Statistics 2014-04-04 Randal Douc , Florian Maire , Jimmy Olsson

Multiple-try Metropolis (MTM) is a popular Markov chain Monte Carlo method with the appealing feature of being amenable to parallel computing. At each iteration, it samples several candidates for the next state of the Markov chain and…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-25 Philippe Gagnon , Florian Maire , Giacomo Zanella

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a Markov chain algorithm for sampling from a high-dimensional distribution with density $e^{-f(x)}$, given access to the gradient of $f$. A particular case of interest is that of a $d$-dimensional Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-27 Simon Apers , Sander Gribling , Dániel Szilágyi

Quantitative long-time entropic convergence and short-time regularization are established for an idealized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo chain which alternatively follows an Hamiltonian dynamics for a fixed time and then partially or totally…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-06 Pierre Monmarché

Smoothing in state-space models amounts to computing the conditional distribution of the latent state trajectory, given observations, or expectations of functionals of the state trajectory with respect to this distributions. For models that…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-10 Jimmy Olsson , Tobias Rydén
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