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We analyze the extreme value dependence of independent, not necessarily identically distributed multivariate regularly varying random vectors. More specifically, we propose estimators of the spectral measure locally at some time point and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Holger Drees

A new Bayesian significance test is adjusted for jump detection in a diffusion process. This is an advantageous procedure for temporal data having extreme valued outliers, like financial data, pluvial or tectonic forces records and others.

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-13 Laura L. R. Rifo , Soledad Torres

This work develops asymptotic properties of a class of switching jump diffusion processes. The processes under consideration may be viewed as a number of jump diffusion processes modulated by a random switching mechanism. The underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Xiaoshan Chen , Zhen-Qing Chen , Ky Tran , George Yin

We aim at estimating the invariant density associated to a stochastic differential equation with jumps in low dimension, which is for $d=1$ and $d=2$. We consider a class of jump diffusion processes whose invariant density belongs to some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Chiara Amorino , Eulalia Nualart

Estimation of the intensity of a point process is considered within a nonparametric framework. The intensity measure is unknown and depends on covariates, possibly many more than the observed number of jumps. Only a single trajectory of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-20 Alessio Sancetta

Diffusion models are a class of probabilistic generative models that have been widely used as a prior for image processing tasks like text conditional generation and inpainting. We demonstrate that these models can be adapted to make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Marc Finzi , Anudhyan Boral , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

We present an adaptive multilevel Monte Carlo algorithm for solving the stochastic drift-diffusion-Poisson system with non-zero recombination rate. The a-posteriori error is estimated to enable goal-oriented adaptive mesh refinement for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Amirreza Khodadadian , Maryam Parvizi , Clemens Heitzinger

This paper discusses tractable development and statistical estimation of a continuous time stochastic process with a finite state space having non-Markov property. The process is formed by a finite mixture of right-continuous Markov jump…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-04 H. Frydman , B. A. Surya

In this paper, we gain the new almost unbiased Liu-type estimators to literature for the Bell regression model. We provide the superiority of the proposed estimator to its competitors such as the maximum likelihood estimator and Liu-type…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Caner Tanış , Yasin Asar

We use Monte Carlo techniques to simulate an organized prediction competition between a group of a scientific experts acting under the influence of a ``self-governing'' prediction reward algorithm. Our aim is to illustrate the advantages of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-09 J. O. Gonzalez-Hernandez , Jonathan Marino , Ted Rogers , Brandon Velasco

Computational codes based on the Diffusion Monte Carlo method can be used to determine the quantum state of two-electron systems confined by external potentials of various nature and geometry. In this work, we show how the application of…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-02-24 Gaia Micca Longo , Carla Maria Coppola , Domenico Giordano , Savino Longo

Recent literature has found conditional transition rates to be a useful tool for avoiding Markov assumptions in multi-state models. While the estimation of univariate conditional transition rates has been extensively studied, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Theis Bathke

Convergence of stochastic processes with jumps to diffusion processes is investigated in the case when the limit process has discontinuous coefficients. An example is given in which the diffusion approximation of a queueing model yields a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 N. V. Krylov , R. Liptser

We define two minimum distance estimators for dependent data by minimizing some approximated Maximum Mean Discrepancy distances between the true empirical distribution of observations and their assumed (parametric) model distribution. When…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Pierre Alquier , Jean-David Fermanian , Benjamin Poignard

Estimating the unknown density from which a given independent sample originates is more difficult than estimating the mean, in the sense that for the best popular non-parametric density estimators, the mean integrated square error converges…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Pierre L'Ecuyer , Florian Puchhammer , Amal Ben Abdellah

We study safe, data-driven control of (Markov) jump linear systems with unknown transition probabilities, where both the discrete mode and the continuous state are to be inferred from output measurements. To this end, we develop a receding…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

We consider the modeling of data generated by a latent continuous-time Markov jump process with a state space of finite but unknown dimensions. Typically in such models, the number of states has to be pre-specified, and Bayesian inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-12 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens

This paper considers a portfolio optimization problem in which asset prices are represented by SDEs driven by Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure, with drifts that are functions of an auxiliary diffusion factor process. The…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-16 Mark Davis , Sebastien Lleo

We consider the solution X = (Xt) t$\ge$0 of a multivariate stochastic differential equation with Levy-type jumps and with unique invariant probability measure with density $\mu$. We assume that a continuous record of observations X T =…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

We compute a variance lower bound for unbiased estimators in specified statistical models. The construction of the bound is related to the original Cram\'er-Rao bound, although it does not require the differentiability of the model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-13 Thibault Espinasse , Paul Rochet
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