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We propose a flexible yet interpretable model for high-dimensional data with time-varying second order statistics, motivated and applied to functional neuroimaging data. Motivated by the neuroscience literature, we factorize the covariances…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-20 Katherine Tsai , Mladen Kolar , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian matrix-variate spatiotemporal modeling framework for jointly analyzing multiple response variables observed at spatial locations over time. The approach relaxes the standard assumption of spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Rodrigo de Souza Bulhões , Marina Silva Paez , Dani Gamerman

Spatial confounding is a common issue in spatial regression models, occurring when spatially varying covariates correlate with the spatial effect included in the model. This dependence, particularly at high spatial frequencies, can…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Isa Marques , Paul F. V. Wiemann

A pervasive challenge in neuroscience is testing whether neuronal connectivity changes over time due to specific causes, such as stimuli, events, or clinical interventions. Recent hardware innovations and falling data storage costs enable…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-05 Johan Medrano , Karl J. Friston , Peter Zeidman

Bayesian hierarchical models with latent Gaussian layers have proven very flexible in capturing complex stochastic behavior and hierarchical structures in high-dimensional spatial and spatio-temporal data. Whereas simulation-based Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-10 Thomas Opitz

Inference for mechanistic models is challenging because of nonlinear interactions between model parameters and a lack of identifiability. Here we focus on a specific class of mechanistic models, which we term stable differential equations.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-13 Philip Maybank , Ingo Bojak , Richard G. Everitt

Data-driven modeling of non-Markovian dynamics is a recent topic of research with applications in many fields such as climate research, molecular dynamics, biophysics, or wind power modeling. In the frequently used standard Langevin…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-07-22 Clemens Willers , Oliver Kamps

In this paper we propose a Kronecker-based modeling for identifying the spatial-temporal dynamics of large sensor arrays. The class of Kronecker networks is defined for which we formulate a Vector Autoregressive model. Its…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Baptiste Sinquin , Michel Verhaegen

A central question in multimodal neuroimaging analysis is to understand the association between two imaging modalities and to identify brain regions where such an association is statistically significant. In this article, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-28 Moyan Li , Lexin Li , Jian Kang

Epileptic seizure activity shows complicated dynamics in both space and time. To understand the evolution and propagation of seizures spatially extended sets of data need to be analysed. We have previously described an efficient filtering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Gerald K Cooray , Richard Rosch , Torsten Baldeweg , Louis Lemieux , Karl Friston , Biswa Sengupta

This paper presents a new Bayesian model and algorithm for nonlinear unmixing of hyperspectral images. The model proposed represents the pixel reflectances as linear combinations of the endmembers, corrupted by nonlinear (with respect to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-06 Yoann Altmann , Marcelo Pereyra , Stephen McLaughlin

Modeling with multidimensional arrays, or tensors, often presents a problem due to high dimensionality. In addition, these structures typically exhibit inherent sparsity, requiring the use of regularization methods to properly characterize…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-10 Daniel Spencer , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Russell Shinohara , Raquel Prado

We present a theory-guided generalized Bayesian methodology for spatio-temporal raster data, which we use to train an ensemble of stochastic feed-forward neural networks with Gaussian-distributed weights. The methodology incorporates the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Leonardo Bardi , Imma Valentina Curato , Lorenzo Proietti

This paper introduces a novel hierarchical Bayesian model specifically designed to address challenges in Inverse Uncertainty Quantification (IUQ) for time-dependent problems in nuclear Thermal Hydraulics (TH) systems. The unique…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-27 Chen Wang

Functional brain imaging through electroencephalography (EEG) relies upon the analysis and interpretation of high-dimensional, spatially organized time series. We propose to represent time-localized frequency domain characterizations of EEG…

Longitudinal item response data are common in social science, educational science, and psychology, among other disciplines. Studying the time-varying relationships between items is crucial for educational assessment or designing marketing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Jaewoo Park , Yeseul Jeon , Minsuk Shin , Minjeong Jeon , Ick Hoon Jin

This technical note considers the identification of nonlinear discrete-time systems with additive process noise but without measurement noise. In particular, we propose a method and its associated algorithm to identify the system nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-27 Wei Pan , Ye Yuan , Jorge Gonçalves , Guy-Bart Stan

As a regression technique in spatial statistics, the spatiotemporally varying coefficient model (STVC) is an important tool for discovering nonstationary and interpretable response-covariate associations over both space and time. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-17 Mengying Lei , Aurelie Labbe , Lijun Sun

In this work, we present an additive model for space-time data that splits the data into a temporally correlated component and a spatially correlated component. We model the spatially correlated portion using a time-varying Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-13 Kristjan Greenewald , Seyoung Park , Shuheng Zhou , Alexander Giessing

Spatio-temporal models are widely used in many research areas including ecology. The recent proliferation of the use of in-situ sensors in streams and rivers supports space-time water quality modelling and monitoring in near real-time. A…