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Prediction is a classic challenge in spatial statistics and the inclusion of spatial covariates can greatly improve predictive performance when incorporated into a model with latent spatial effects. It is desirable to develop flexible…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Alex Ziyu Jiang , Jon Wakefield

Climate is known for being characterised by strong non-linearity and chaotic behaviour. Nevertheless, few studies in climate science adopt statistical methods specifically designed for non-stationary or non-linear systems. Here we show how…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-13 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Vincent Humphrey , Mikhail Kanevski

We propose a unified probabilistic framework for sparse count tensors with excess zeros, motivated by single-cell Hi-C data. The observed data are naturally represented as a three-way tensor indexed by genomic loci pairs and cells,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Elena Tuzhilina , Yaoming Zhen

In the context of adaptive optics for astronomy, one can rely on the statistics of the turbulent phase to assess a part of the system's performance. Temporal statistics with one source and spatial statistics with two sources are well-known…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-05 Cédric Plantet , Giulia Carlà , Guido Agapito , Lorenzo Busoni

This paper investigates the problem of informative path planning for a mobile robotic sensor network in spatially temporally distributed mapping. The robots are able to gather noisy measurements from an area of interest during their…

Persistent monitoring of a spatiotemporal fluid process requires data sampling and predictive modeling of the process being monitored. In this paper we present PASST algorithm: Predictive-model based Adaptive Sampling of a Spatio-Temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Sandeep Manjanna , Tom Z. Jiahao , M. Ani Hsieh

We use a lattice model to study first-passage time distributions of target finding events through complex environments with elongated fibers distributed with different anisotropies and volume occupation fractions. For isotropic systems and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-10 David Gomez , Eial Teomy , Ayelet Lesman , Yair Shokef

We present a general theoretical model for the spatio-temporal dynamics of animal contests. Inspired by interactions between physical particles, the model is formulated in terms of effective interaction potentials, which map typical…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-12-01 Amir Haluts , Alex Jordan , Nir S. Gov

We propose an interdisciplinary framework that combines Bayesian predictive inference, a well-established tool in Machine Learning, with Formal Methods rooted in the computer science community. Bayesian predictive inference allows for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-21 Laura Vana , Ennio Visconti , Laura Nenzi , Annalisa Cadonna , Gregor Kastner

In this paper, we introduce a new approach to generate flexible parametric families of distributions. These models arise on competitive and complementary risks scenario, in which the lifetime associated with a particular risk is not…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-22 Pedro L. Ramos , Dipak K. Dey , Francisco Louzada , Victor H. Lachos

We provide novel probabilistic portrayals of two multivariate models designed to handle zero-inflation in count-compositional data. We develop a new unifying framework that represents both as finite mixture distributions. One of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 André F. B. Menezes , Andrew C. Parnell , Keefe Murphy

In this paper, we investigate the complex dynamics of a spatial plankton-fish system with Holling type III functional responses. We have carried out the analytical study for both one and two dimensional system in details and found out a…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2011-03-18 Ranjit Kumar Upadhyay , Weiming Wang , N. K. Thakur

This paper proposes a new generalized linear model with the fractional binomial distribution. Zero-inflated Poisson/negative binomial distributions are used for count data with many zeros. To analyze the association of such a count variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-01 Jeonghwa Lee , Chloe Breece

Unmeasured confounding can severely bias causal effect estimates from spatiotemporal observational data, especially when the confounders do not vary smoothly in time and space. In this work, we develop a method for addressing unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Jiaxi Wu , Alexander Franks

We present new theoretical and empirical results on the probability distributions of species persistence times in natural ecosystems. Persistence times, defined as the timespans occurring between species' colonization and local extinction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-03-21 S. Suweis , E. Bertuzzo , L. Mari , I. Rodriguez-Iturbe , A. Maritan , A. Rinaldo

Advances in cellular imaging technologies, especially those based on fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) now allow detailed visualization of the spatial organization of human or bacterial cells. Quantifying this spatial organization…

Here we present a Bayesian method of including discrete measurements of dispersion measure due to the interstellar medium in the direction of a pulsar as prior information in the analysis of that pulsar. We use a simple simulation to show…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-12-10 Lindley Lentati , Paul Alexander , Michael P. Hobson

We consider modeling of angular or directional data viewed as a linear variable wrapped onto a unit circle. In particular, we focus on the spatio-temporal context, motivated by a collection of wave directions obtained as computer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-18 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Giovanna Jona Lasinio , Alan E. Gelfand

To analyze longitudinal zero-inflated count data, we extend existing models by introducing marginalized zero-inflated Poisson (MZIP) models with random effects, which explicitly capture the marginal effect of covariates and address…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Keunbaik Lee , Eun Jin Jang , Dipak Dey

We propose a method for variable selection in the intensity function of spatial point processes that combines sparsity-promoting estimation with noise-robust model selection. As high-resolution spatial data becomes increasingly available…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Dominik Sturm , Ivo F. Sbalzarini
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