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Finite mixtures of regression models provide a flexible modeling framework for many phenomena. Using moment-based estimation of the regression parameters, we develop unbiased estimators with a minimum of assumptions on the mixture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-17 Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Christian Bressen Pipper

In ecology it is common for processes to be bounded based on physical constraints of the system. One common example is the positivity constraint, which applies to phenomena such as duration times, population sizes, and total stock of a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-22 John W. Smith , Leah R. Johnson , R. Quinn Thomas

Traditional metrics like accuracy, F1-score, and precision are frequently used to evaluate machine learning models, however they may not be sufficient for evaluating performance on tiny, unbalanced, or high-dimensional datasets. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Serzhan Ossenov

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data are widely used in many disciplines. Nonetheless, existing model comparison criteria do not indicate whether a model adequately fits the data or which components may be misspecified. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Dimitris Rizopoulos , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Isabella Kardys

We propose a novel regularization loss that enforces standard Gaussianity, encouraging samples to align with a standard Gaussian distribution. This facilitates a range of downstream tasks involving optimization in the latent space of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Jisung Hwang , Jaihoon Kim , Minhyuk Sung

Statistical modeling plays a fundamental role in understanding the underlying mechanism of massive data (statistical inference) and predicting the future (statistical prediction). Although all models are wrong, researchers try their best to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-17 Hangjin Jiang

In scientific inference problems, the underlying statistical modeling assumptions have a crucial impact on the end results. There exist, however, only a few automatic means for validating these fundamental modelling assumptions. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Andreas Svensson , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica , Thomas B. Schön

Recently, metric learning and similarity learning have attracted a large amount of interest. Many models and optimisation algorithms have been proposed. However, there is relatively little work on the generalization analysis of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-19 Qiong Cao , Zheng-Chu Guo , Yiming Ying

In many statistical problems, a more coarse-grained model may be suitable for population-level behaviour, whereas a more detailed model is appropriate for accurate modelling of individual behaviour. This raises the question of how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-02 Mingjun Zhong , Nigel Goddard , Charles Sutton

Fairness-aware learning aims to mitigate discrimination against specific protected social groups (e.g., those categorized by gender, ethnicity, age) while minimizing predictive performance loss. Despite efforts to improve fairness in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Kewen Peng , Yicheng Yang , Hao Zhuo

In this paper we study the problem of model reduction by moment matching for stochastic systems. We characterize the mathematical object which generalizes the notion of moment to stochastic differential equations and we find a class of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-06 Giordano Scarciotti , Andrew R. Teel

Machine learning is about forecasting. When the forecasts come with an evaluation metric the forecasts become useful. What are reasonable evaluation metrics? How do existing evaluation metrics relate? In this work, we provide a general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Rabanus Derr , Robert C. Williamson

Predictions and generations from large language models are increasingly being explored as an aid in limited data regimes, such as in computational social science and human subjects research. While prior technical work has mainly explored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Yewon Byun , Shantanu Gupta , Zachary C. Lipton , Rachel Leah Childers , Bryan Wilder

The field of causal discovery develops model selection methods to infer cause-effect relations among a set of random variables. For this purpose, different modelling assumptions have been proposed to render cause-effect relations…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-09 Daniela Schkoda , Mathias Drton

Theory and methods to obtain parametric reduced-order models by moment matching are presented. The definition of the parametric moment is introduced, and methods (model-based and data-driven) for the approximation of the parametric moment…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-13 Hanqing Zhang , Junyu Mao , Mohammad Fahim Shakib , Giordano Scarciotti

Latent block models are used for probabilistic biclustering, which is shown to be an effective method for analyzing various relational data sets. However, there has been no statistical test method for determining the row and column cluster…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-18 Chihiro Watanabe , Taiji Suzuki

In defect prediction community, many defect prediction models have been proposed and indeed more new models are continuously being developed. However, there is no consensus on how to evaluate the performance of a newly proposed model. In…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Xutong Liu , Shiran Liu , Zhaoqiang Guo , Peng Zhag , Yibiao Yang , Huihui Liu , Hongmin Lu , Yanhui Li , Lin Chen , Yuming Zhou

Here, we use Machine Learning (ML) algorithms to update and improve the efficiencies of fitting GARCH model parameters to empirical data. We employ an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to predict the parameters of these models. We present a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-11 Luke De Clerk , Sergey Savl'ev

In the linear random effects model, when distributional assumptions such as normality of the error variables cannot be justified, moments may serve as alternatives to describe relevant distributions in neighborhoods of their means.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-05 Ping Wu , Winfried Stute , Li-Xing Zhu

Calibration error is commonly adopted for evaluating the quality of uncertainty estimators in deep neural networks. In this paper, we argue that such a metric is highly beneficial for training predictive models, even when we do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-01 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Deepta Rajan