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Related papers: Edgeworth expansions for volatility models

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The Multiplicative Error Model (Engle (2002)) for nonnegative valued processes is specified as the product of a (conditionally autoregressive) scale factor and an innovation process with nonnegative support. A multivariate extension allows…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-06 Fabrizio Cipollini , Robert F. Engle , Giampiero M. Gallo

In this paper, we show that the recent integration of statistical models with deep recurrent neural networks provides a new way of formulating volatility (the degree of variation of time series) models that have been widely used in time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-06 Rui Luo , Weinan Zhang , Xiaojun Xu , Jun Wang

This work extends the variance reduction method for the pricing of possibly path-dependent derivatives, which was developed in (Genin and Tankov, 2016) for exponential L\'evy models, to affine stochastic volatility models (Keller-Ressel,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Zorana Grbac , David Krief , Peter Tankov

This study addresses the computational challenges of forecasting volatility in high-dimensional commodity markets. Building on the Network log-ARCH framework, we introduce a novel class of network topologies from GARCH-informed correlation…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Fayçal Djebari , Kahina Mehidi , Khelifa Mazouz , Philipp Otto

We consider the asymptotics of various estimators based on a large sample of branching trees from a critical multi-type Galton-Watson process, as the sample size increases to infinity. The asymptotics of additive functions of trees, such as…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zhiyi Chi

Semi-Markov processes are a generalization of Markov processes since the exponential distribution of time intervals is replaced with an arbitrary distribution. This paper provides an integro-differential form of the Kolmogorov's backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-20 Enzo Orsingher , Costantino Ricciuti , Bruno Toaldo

In a model driven by a multi-dimensional local diffusion, we study the behavior of implied volatility {\sigma} and its derivatives with respect to log-strike k and maturity T near expiry and at the money. We recover explicit limits of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Stefano Pagliarani , Andrea Pascucci

We provide a new algorithm for solving Risk Sensitive Partially Observable Markov Decisions Processes, when the risk is modeled by a utility function, and both the state space and the space of observations is finite. This algorithm is based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Arsham Afsardeir , Andreas Kapetanis , Vaios Laschos , Klaus Obermayer

Using microscopic price models based on Hawkes processes, it has been shown that under some no-arbitrage condition, the high degree of endogeneity of markets together with the phenomenon of metaorders splitting generate rough Heston-type…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-20 Aditi Dandapani , Paul Jusselin , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We introduce a simple model for equity index derivatives. The model generalizes well known L\`evy Normal Tempered Stable processes (e.g. NIG and VG) with time dependent parameters. It accurately fits Equity index implied volatility surfaces…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-04 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

We introduce an asymptotic small noise expansion, a so called vol-of-vol expansion, for potentially infinite dimensional and rough stochastic volatility models. Thereby we extend the scope of existing results for finite dimensional models…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-06 Ozan Akdogan

It is known that Heston's stochastic volatility model exhibits moment explosion, and that the critical moment $s_+$ can be obtained by solving (numerically) a simple equation. This yields a leading order expansion for the implied volatility…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-15 P. Friz , S. Gerhold , A. Gulisashvili , S. Sturm

We consider the problem of estimating stochastic volatility for a class of second-order parabolic stochastic PDEs. Assuming that the solution is observed at a high temporal frequency, we use limit theorems for multipower variations and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Carsten Chong

In this paper, we study a family of stochastic volatility processes; this family features a mean reversion term for the volatility and a double CEV-like exponent that generalizes SABR and Heston's models. We derive approximated closed form…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Bourgade Paul , Croissant Olivier

The use of higher-order stochastic processes such as nonlinear Markov chains or vertex-reinforced random walks is significantly growing in recent years as they are much better at modeling high dimensional data and nonlinear dynamics in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-29 Dario Fasino , Francesco Tudisco

We consider rough stochastic volatility models where the variance process satisfies a stochastic Volterra equation with the fractional kernel, as in the rough Bergomi and the rough Heston model. In particular, the variance process is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-19 Christian Bayer , Simon Breneis

The implementation of the discrete adjoint method for exponential time differencing (ETD) schemes is considered. This is important for parameter estimation problems that are constrained by stiff time-dependent PDEs when the discretized PDE…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Kai Rothauge , Eldad Haber , Uri Ascher

We propose a new method that extends conservative explicit multirate methods to implicit explicit-multirate methods. We develop extensions of order one and two with different stability properties on the implicit side. The method is suitable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Emil M. Constantinescu

Recent developments in financial time series focus on modeling volatility across multiple assets or indices in a multivariate framework, accounting for potential interactions such as spillover effects. Furthermore, the increasing…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-26 Edoardo Otranto , Luca Scaffidi Domianello

We consider option pricing using a discrete-time Markov switching stochastic volatility with co-jump model, which can model volatility clustering and varying mean-reversion speeds of volatility. For pricing European options, we develop a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Michael C. Fu , Bingqing Li , Rongwen Wu , Tianqi Zhang