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Accurately quantifying the increased risks of climate extremes requires generating large ensembles of climate realization across a wide range of emissions scenarios, which is computationally challenging for conventional Earth System Models.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-08-22 Mengze Wang , Benedikt Barthel Sorensen , Themistoklis Sapsis

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) used in domain adaptation tasks have the ability to generate images that are both realistic and personalized, transforming an input image while maintaining its identifiable characteristics. However,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Gautier Cosne , Adrien Juraver , Mélisande Teng , Victor Schmidt , Vahe Vardanyan , Alexandra Luccioni , Yoshua Bengio

We provide statistical theory for conditional and unconditional Wasserstein generative adversarial networks (WGANs) in the framework of dependent observations. We prove upper bounds for the excess Bayes risk of the WGAN estimators with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-09 Moritz Haas , Stefan Richter

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) are modern methods to learn the underlying distribution of a data set. GANs have been widely used in sample synthesis, de-noising, domain transfer, etc. GANs, however, are designed in a model-free…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Mucong Ding , Constantinos Daskalakis , Soheil Feizi

Machine learning has become a central technique for modeling in science and engineering, either complementing or as surrogates to physics-based models. Significant efforts have recently been devoted to models capable of predicting field…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-06 Brian H. Lee , Kat Nykiel , Ava E. Hallberg , Brice Rider , Alejandro Strachan

We propose Graphical Generative Adversarial Networks (Graphical-GAN) to model structured data. Graphical-GAN conjoins the power of Bayesian networks on compactly representing the dependency structures among random variables and that of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-18 Chongxuan Li , Max Welling , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

A baroclinic model for the atmospheric jet at middle-latitudes is used as a stochastic generator of time series of the total energy of the system. Statistical inference of extreme values is applied to yearly maxima sequences of the time…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-11 Mara Felici , Valerio Lucarini , Antonio Speranza , Renato Vitolo

Recently, generative machine-learning models have gained popularity in physics, driven by the goal of improving the efficiency of Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques and of exploring their potential in capturing experimental data…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-03 Japneet Singh , Vipul Arora , Vinay Gupta , Mathias S. Scheurer

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are innovative techniques for learning generative models of complex data distributions from samples. Despite remarkable recent improvements in generating realistic images, one of their major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-05 Zinan Lin , Ashish Khetan , Giulia Fanti , Sewoong Oh

Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are one of the most widely used generative models. GANs can learn complex multi-modal distributions, and generate real-like samples. Despite the major success of GANs in generating synthetic data, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Sanaz Mohammadjafari , Mucahit Cevik , Ayse Basar

Inference on the extremal behaviour of spatial aggregates of precipitation is important for quantifying river flood risk. There are two classes of previous approach, with one failing to ensure self-consistency in inference across different…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn , Simon Brown

The study of geometric extremes, where extremal dependence properties are inferred from the deterministic limiting shapes of scaled sample clouds, provides an exciting approach to modelling the extremes of multivariate data. These shapes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-16 Callum J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , Reetam Majumder , Jordan Richards

Spatial modelling of extreme values allows studying the risk of joint occurrence of extreme events at different locations and is of significant interest in climatic and other environmental sciences. A popular class of dependence models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Lorenzo Dell'Oro , Carlo Gaetan , Thomas Opitz

Non-stationary extremal dependence, whereby the relationship between the extremes of multiple variables evolves over time, is commonly observed in many environmental and financial data sets. However, most multivariate extreme value models…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-29 C. J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , J. L. Wadsworth , M. de Carvalho , B. D. Youngman

The operation and planning of large-scale power systems are becoming more challenging with the increasing penetration of stochastic renewable generation. In order to minimize the decision risks in power systems with large amount of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Congmei Jiang , Yize Chen , Yongfang Mao , Yi Chai , Mingbiao Yu

Quantifying changes in the probability and magnitude of extreme flooding events is key to mitigating their impacts. While hydrodynamic data are inherently spatially dependent, traditional spatial models such as Gaussian processes are poorly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-06 Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have shown impressive results in various image synthesis tasks. Vast studies have demonstrated that GANs are more powerful in feature and expression learning compared to other generative models and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Omar De Mitri , Ruyu Wang , Marco F. Huber

Generative Adversarial Net (GAN) has been proven to be a powerful machine learning tool in image data analysis and generation. In this paper, we propose to use Conditional Generative Adversarial Net (CGAN) to learn and simulate time series…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-26 Rao Fu , Jie Chen , Shutian Zeng , Yiping Zhuang , Agus Sudjianto

Changes in extreme weather may produce some of the largest societal impacts of anthropogenic climate change. However, it is intrinsically difficult to estimate changes in extreme events from the short observational record. In this work we…

For the integration of renewable energy sources, power grid operators need realistic information about the effects of energy production and consumption to assess grid stability. Recently, research in scenario planning benefits from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Jens Schreiber , Maik Jessulat , Bernhard Sick