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We give explicit bounds for the tail probabilities for sums of independent geometric or exponential variables, possibly with different parameters.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Svante Janson

We present a general approach to deriving bounds on the generalization error of randomized learning algorithms. Our approach can be used to obtain bounds on the average generalization error as well as bounds on its tail probabilities, both…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Fredrik Hellström , Giuseppe Durisi

We investigate the use of optimization to compute bounds for extremal performance measures. This approach takes a non-parametric viewpoint that aims to alleviate the issue of model misspecification possibly encountered by conventional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-03 Clementine Mottet , Henry Lam

For a risk vector $V$, whose components are shared among agents by some random mechanism, we obtain asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the individual agents' exposure risk and the aggregated risk in the market. Risk is measured by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-12 Oliver Kley , Claudia Kluppelberg

Tail risk protection is in the focus of the financial industry and requires solid mathematical and statistical tools, especially when a trading strategy is derived. Recent hype driven by machine learning (ML) mechanisms has raised the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-25 Bruno Spilak , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Vapnik-Chervonenkis (VC) dimension is a fundamental measure of the generalization capacity of learning algorithms. However, apart from a few special cases, it is hard or impossible to calculate analytically. Vapnik et al. [10] proposed a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-11-16 Daniel J. McDonald , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Mark Schervish

Cyclic and randomized stepsizes are widely used in the deep learning practice and can often outperform standard stepsize choices such as constant stepsize in SGD. Despite their empirical success, not much is currently known about when and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-30 Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Yuanhan Hu , Umut Şimşekli , Lingjiong Zhu

Since the celebrated works of Russo and Zou (2016,2019) and Xu and Raginsky (2017), it has been well known that the generalization error of supervised learning algorithms can be bounded in terms of the mutual information between their input…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-20 Gábor Lugosi , Gergely Neu

Ensemble learning is a popular technique to improve the accuracy of machine learning models. It traditionally hinges on the rationale that aggregating multiple weak models can lead to better models with lower variance and hence higher…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Huajie Qian , Donghao Ying , Henry Lam , Wotao Yin

One of the fundamental challenges in the deep learning community is to theoretically understand how well a deep neural network generalizes to unseen data. However, current approaches often yield generalization bounds that are either too…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Chengli Tan , Jiangshe Zhang , Junmin Liu

We present a method for upper and lower bounding the right and the left tail probabilities of continuous random variables (RVs). For the right tail probability of RV $X$ with probability density function $f (x)$, this method requires first…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Nikola Zlatanov

Chebyshev's inequality provides an upper bound on the tail probability of a random variable based on its mean and variance. While tight, the inequality has been criticized for only being attained by pathological distributions that abuse the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Ernst Roos , Ruud Brekelmans , Wouter van Eekelen , Dick den Hertog , Johan van Leeuwaarden

We study the notion of a generalization bound being uniformly tight, meaning that the difference between the bound and the population loss is small for all learning algorithms and all population distributions. Numerous generalization bounds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Michael Gastpar , Ido Nachum , Jonathan Shafer , Thomas Weinberger

We present an extensive analysis of relative deviation bounds, including detailed proofs of two-sided inequalities and their implications. We also give detailed proofs of two-sided generalization bounds that hold in the general case of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-06 Corinna Cortes , Spencer Greenberg , Mehryar Mohri

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) and its variants enable modern artificial intelligence. However, theoretical understanding lags far behind their empirical success. It is widely believed that SGD has a curious ability to avoid sharp local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

In the context of long-tail classification on graphs, the vast majority of existing work primarily revolves around the development of model debiasing strategies, intending to mitigate class imbalances and enhance the overall performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Haohui Wang , Baoyu Jing , Kaize Ding , Yada Zhu , Wei Cheng , Si Zhang , Yonghui Fan , Liqing Zhang , Dawei Zhou

While PAC-Bayes is now an established learning framework for light-tailed losses (\emph{e.g.}, subgaussian or subexponential), its extension to the case of heavy-tailed losses remains largely uncharted and has attracted a growing interest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-25 Maxime Haddouche , Benjamin Guedj

Minimax problems have achieved success in machine learning such as adversarial training, robust optimization, reinforcement learning. For theoretical analysis, current optimal excess risk bounds, which are composed by generalization error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Bowei Zhu , Shaojie Li , Yong Liu

Heavy-tail phenomena in stochastic gradient descent (SGD) have been reported in several empirical studies. Experimental evidence in previous works suggests a strong interplay between the heaviness of the tails and generalization behavior of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-31 Anant Raj , Lingjiong Zhu , Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Umut Şimşekli

This paper studies generalization error bounds for Transformer models. Based on the offset Rademacher complexity, we derive sharper generalization bounds for different Transformer architectures, including single-layer single-head,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Yawen Li , Tao Hu , Zhouhui Lian , Wan Tian , Yijie Peng , Huiming Zhang , Zhongyi Li