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Time series anomaly detection is an important process for system monitoring and model switching, among other applications in cyber-physical systems. In this document, we present a fast subspace method for time series anomaly detection, with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-23 Fredy Vides , Esteban Segura , Carlos Vargas-Agüero

We investigate the online detection of changepoints in the distribution of a sequence of observations using degenerate U-statistic-type processes. We study weighted versions of: an ordinary, CUSUM-type scheme, a Page-CUSUM-type scheme, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horvath , Lorenzo Trapani

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal models (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Detecting abrupt changes in the community structure of a network from noisy observations is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. This paper presents an online change detection algorithm called Spectral-CUSUM to detect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-17 Minghe Zhang , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie

The problem of sequentially detecting an abrupt change in a sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables is addressed. Whereas previous approaches assume a known probability density function (PDF) at the start…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 James Falt , Steven D. Blostein

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal model (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or nonlinearity.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-06 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

The aim of sequential change-point detection is to issue an alarm when it is thought that certain probabilistic properties of the monitored observations have changed. This work is concerned with nonparametric, closed-end testing procedures…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Ghislain Verdier

Typical techniques for sequence classification are designed for well-segmented sequences which have been edited to remove noisy or irrelevant parts. Therefore, such methods cannot be easily applied on noisy sequences expected in real-world…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-04-18 Wenjie Pei , Tadas Baltrušaitis , David M. J. Tax , Louis-Philippe Morency

While anomaly detection in time series has been an active area of research for several years, most recent approaches employ an inadequate evaluation criterion leading to an inflated F1 score. We show that a rudimentary Random Guess method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Keval Doshi , Shatha Abudalou , Yasin Yilmaz

In order to perform autonomous sequential manipulation tasks, perception in cluttered scenes remains a critical challenge for robots. In this paper, we propose a probabilistic approach for robust sequential scene estimation and manipulation…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-03-23 Zhiqiang Sui , Zheming Zhou , Zhen Zeng , Odest Chadwicke Jenkins

In the present paper we address the real-time detection problem of a change-point in the coefficients of a linear model with the possibility that the model errors are asymmetrical and that the explanatory variables number is large. We build…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-31 Gabriela Ciuperca

We introduce a new Levy fluctuation theoretic method to analyze the cumulative sum (CUSUM) procedure in sequential change-point detection. When observations are phase-type distributed and the post-change distribution is given by exponential…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

The anomaly detection problem for univariate or multivariate time series is a critical question in many practical applications as industrial processes control, biological measures, engine monitoring, supervision of all kinds of behavior. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Marie Cottrell , Cynthia Faure , Jérôme Lacaille , Madalina Olteanu

This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard

It is commonly required to detect change points in sequences of random variables. In the most difficult setting of this problem, change detection must be performed sequentially with new observations being constantly received over time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-08 Gordon J Ross

The problem of sequential change diagnosis is considered, where a sequence of independent random elements is accessed sequentially, there is an abrupt change in its distribution at some unknown time, and there are two main operational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-03 Austin Warner , Georgios Fellouris

Sequential change-point detection for time series enables us to sequentially check the hypothesis that the model still holds as more and more data are observed. It is widely used in data monitoring in practice. In this work, we consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Yajun Liu , Beth Andrews

This work develops techniques for the sequential detection and location estimation of transient changes in the volatility (standard deviation) of time series data. In particular, we introduce a class of change detection algorithms based on…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-29 Alireza Ahrabian , Nazli Farajidavar , Clive Cheong-Took , Payam Barnaghi

Anomaly detection in video surveillance has recently gained interest from the research community. Temporal duration of anomalies vary within video streams, leading to complications in learning the temporal dynamics of specific events. This…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Erkut Akdag , Egor Bondarev , Peter H. N. De With

In this paper we consider change-points in multiple sequences with the objective of minimizing the estimation error of a sequence by making use of information from other sequences. This is in contrast to recent interest on change-points in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Hock Peng Chan