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Existing Bayesian treatments of neural networks are typically characterized by weak prior and approximate posterior distributions according to which all the weights are drawn independently. Here, we consider a richer prior distribution in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-02 Theofanis Karaletsos , Peter Dayan , Zoubin Ghahramani

Binary regression models represent a popular model-based approach for binary classification. In the Bayesian framework, computational challenges in the form of the posterior distribution motivate still-ongoing fruitful research. Here, we…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-06 Augusto Fasano , Niccolò Anceschi , Beatrice Franzolini , Giovanni Rebaudo

Bayesian inference provides a principled probabilistic framework for quantifying uncertainty by updating beliefs based on prior knowledge and observed data through Bayes' theorem. In Bayesian deep learning, neural network weights are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yijie Zhang

In this paper we propose a Bayesian method for estimating architectural parameters of neural networks, namely layer size and network depth. We do this by learning concrete distributions over these parameters. Our results show that regular…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-29 Georgi Dikov , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

In the emerging paradigm of edge learning, neural networks (NNs) are partitioned across distributed edge devices that collaboratively perform inference via wireless transmission. However, deploying NNs for edge inference over wireless…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Yangshuo He , Guanding Yu , Jingge Zhu

Bayesian neural networks promise calibrated uncertainty but require $O(mn)$ parameters for standard mean-field Gaussian posteriors. We argue this cost is often unnecessary, particularly when weight matrices exhibit fast singular value…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Mame Diarra Toure , David A. Stephens

We introduce a class of neural networks derived from probabilistic models in the form of Bayesian networks. By imposing additional assumptions about the nature of the probabilistic models represented in the networks, we derive neural…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-04-30 Michael J. Barber , John W. Clark

Recent studies have empirically investigated different methods to train stochastic neural networks on a classification task by optimising a PAC-Bayesian bound via stochastic gradient descent. Most of these procedures need to replace the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Eugenio Clerico , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Performing exact posterior inference in complex generative models is often difficult or impossible due to an expensive to evaluate or intractable likelihood function. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is an inference framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-16 Jovana Mitrovic , Dino Sejdinovic , Yee Whye Teh

Bayesian neural networks perform variational inference over the weights however calculation of the posterior distribution remains a challenge. Our work builds on variational inference techniques for bayesian neural networks using the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Abhinav Sagar

Application of deep neural networks to medical imaging tasks has in some sense become commonplace. Still, a "thorn in the side" of the deep learning movement is the argument that deep networks are prone to overfitting and are thus unable to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Anthony Sicilia , Xingchen Zhao , Anastasia Sosnovskikh , Seong Jae Hwang

We introduce a new framework for studying meta-learning methods using PAC-Bayesian theory. Its main advantage over previous work is that it allows for more flexibility in how the transfer of knowledge between tasks is realized. For previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Hossein Zakerinia , Amin Behjati , Christoph H. Lampert

Probability estimation is one of the fundamental tasks in statistics and machine learning. However, standard methods for probability estimation on discrete objects do not handle object structure in a satisfactory manner. In this paper, we…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-06 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

In recent years, neural networks have revolutionized various domains, yet challenges such as hyperparameter tuning and overfitting remain significant hurdles. Bayesian neural networks offer a framework to address these challenges by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Hayk Amirkhanian , Marco F. Huber

Probabilistic vehicle trajectory prediction is essential for robust safety of autonomous driving. Current methods for long-term trajectory prediction cannot guarantee the physical feasibility of predicted distribution. Moreover, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Chen Tang , Jianyu Chen , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Approximate Bayesian Computation is widely used in systems biology for inferring parameters in stochastic gene regulatory network models. Its performance hinges critically on the ability to summarize high-dimensional system responses such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-13 Mattias Åkesson , Prashant Singh , Fredrik Wrede , Andreas Hellander

We introduce a class of neural networks derived from probabilistic models in the form of Bayesian belief networks. By imposing additional assumptions about the nature of the probabilistic models represented in the belief networks, we derive…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 M. J. Barber , J. W. Clark , C. H. Anderson

To adopt neural networks in safety critical domains, knowing whether we can trust their predictions is crucial. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide uncertainty estimates by averaging predictions with respect to the posterior weight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Jannik Schmitt , Stefan Roth

Even though probabilistic treatments of neural networks have a long history, they have not found widespread use in practice. Sampling approaches are often too slow already for simple networks. The size of the inputs and the depth of typical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-05-30 Jochen Gast , Stefan Roth

PAC-Bayes learning is a comprehensive setting for (i) studying the generalisation ability of learning algorithms and (ii) deriving new learning algorithms by optimising a generalisation bound. However, optimising generalisation bounds might…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Antoine Picard-Weibel , Roman Moscoviz , Benjamin Guedj