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This paper develops a model-free sequential test for conditional independence. The proposed test allows researchers to analyze an incoming i.i.d. data stream with any arbitrary dependency structure, and safely conclude whether a feature is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-21 Shalev Shaer , Gal Maman , Yaniv Romano

The problem of measuring conditional dependence between two random phenomena arises when a third one (a confounder) has a potential influence on the amount of information between them. A typical issue in this challenging problem is the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Ferran de Cabrera , Marc Vilà-Insa , Jaume Riba

Conditional independence (CI) is central to causal inference, feature selection, and graphical modeling, yet it is untestable in many settings without additional assumptions. Existing CI tests often rely on restrictive structural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Alek Frohlich , Vladimir Kostic , Karim Lounici , Daniel Perazzo , Massimiliano Pontil

In this paper we explore the behaviour of dependent test statistics for testing of multiple hypothesis . To keep simplicity, we have considered a mixture normal model with equicorrelated correlation set up. With a simple linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Rahul Roy , Subir Kumar Bhandari

Multivariate time series data that capture the temporal evolution of interconnected systems are ubiquitous in diverse areas. Understanding the complex relationships and potential dependencies among co-observed variables is crucial for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Zhaolu Liu , Robert L. Peach , Felix Laumann , Sara Vallejo Mengod , Mauricio Barahona

A new test of independence between random elements is presented in this article. The test is based on a functional of the Cram\'{e}r-von Mises type, which is applied to a $U$-process that is defined from the recurrence rates. Theorems of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-12 Juan Kalemkerian , Diego Fernández

This article addresses the problem of testing the conditional independence of two generic random vectors $X$ and $Y$ given a third random vector $Z$, which plays an important role in statistical and machine learning applications. We propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Yi Zhang , Linjun Huang , Yun Yang , Xiaofeng Shao

We provide new asymptotic theory for kernel density estimators, when these are applied to autoregressive processes exhibiting moderate deviations from a unit root. This fills a gap in the existing literature, which has to date considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-19 James A. Duffy

For a continuous random variable $Z$, testing conditional independence $X \perp\!\!\!\perp Y |Z$ is known to be a particularly hard problem. It constitutes a key ingredient of many constraint-based causal discovery algorithms. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Philip A. Boeken , Joris M. Mooij

Independence and conditional independence are fundamental concepts for reasoning about groups of random variables in probabilistic programs. Verification methods for independence are still nascent, and existing methods cannot handle…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Jialu Bao , Simon Docherty , Justin Hsu , Alexandra Silva

Two-sample and independence tests with the kernel-based MMD and HSIC have shown remarkable results on i.i.d. data and stationary random processes. However, these statistics are not directly applicable to non-stationary random processes, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-05 Felix Laumann , Julius von Kügelgen , Mauricio Barahona

We consider the problem of sequentially testing a simple null hypothesis versus a composite alternative hypothesis that consists of a finite set of densities. We study sequential tests that are based on thresholding of mixture-based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-23 Georgios Fellouris , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

This paper is concerned with testing normality in a Hilbert space based on the maximum mean discrepancy. Specifically, we discuss the behavior of the test from two standpoints: asymptotics and practical aspects. Asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-12 Natsumi Makigusa , Kanta Naito

This paper proposes new tests of conditional independence of two random variables given a single-index involving an unknown finite-dimensional parameter. The tests employ Rosenblatt transforms and are shown to be distribution-free while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Kyungchul Song

This paper proposes a new mutual independence test for a large number of high dimensional random vectors. The test statistic is based on the characteristic function of the empirical spectral distribution of the sample covariance matrix. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-31 G. M. Pan , J. Gao , Y. Yang , M. Guo

We introduce the Kernel Calibration Conditional Stein Discrepancy test (KCCSD test), a non-parametric, kernel-based test for assessing the calibration of probabilistic models with well-defined scores. In contrast to previous methods, our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-17 Pierre Glaser , David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Arthur Gretton

Motivated by a neuroscience question about synchrony detection in spike train analysis, we deal with the independence testing problem for point processes. We introduce non-parametric test statistics, which are rescaled general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Mélisande Albert , Yann Bouret , Magalie Fromont , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

This paper formally derives the asymptotic distribution of a goodness-of-fit test based on the Kernel Stein Discrepancy introduced in (Oscar Key et al., "Composite Goodness-of-fit Tests with Kernels", Journal of Machine Learning Research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Florian Brück , Veronika Reimoser , Fabian Baier

As a crucial problem in statistics is to decide whether additional variables are needed in a regression model. We propose a new multivariate test to investigate the conditional mean independence of Y given X conditioning on some known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Ze Jin , Xiaohan Yan , David S. Matteson

Identifying dependency between two random variables is a fundamental problem. The clear interpretability and ability of a procedure to provide information on the form of possible dependence is particularly important when exploring…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Bogdan Ćmiel , Teresa Ledwina
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