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We propose using a discounted version of a convex combination of the log-likelihood with the corresponding expected log-likelihood such that when they are maximized they yield a filter, predictor and smoother for time series. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Simon Donker van Heel , Neil Shephard

Physical systems whose dynamics are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) find applications in numerous fields, from engineering design to weather forecasting. The process of obtaining the solution from such PDEs may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Pratyush Bhatt , Yash Kumar , Azzeddine Soulaimani

Diffusion processes are a class of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) providing a rich family of expressive models that arise naturally in dynamic modelling tasks. Probabilistic inference and learning under generative models with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Prakhar Verma , Vincent Adam , Arno Solin

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch

The versatility of exponential families, along with their attendant convexity properties, make them a popular and effective statistical model. A central issue is learning these models in high-dimensions, such as when there is some sparsity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Sham M. Kakade , Ohad Shamir , Karthik Sridharan , Ambuj Tewari

Deep latent variable models learn condensed representations of data that, hopefully, reflect the inner workings of the studied phenomena. Unfortunately, these latent representations are not statistically identifiable, meaning they cannot be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Stas Syrota , Yevgen Zainchkovskyy , Johnny Xi , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Søren Hauberg

In this paper, we focus on statistical region-based active contour models where image features (e.g. intensity) are random variables whose distribution belongs to some parametric family (e.g. exponential) rather than confining ourselves to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2008-05-22 François Lecellier , Stéphanie Jehan-Besson , Jalal Fadili , Gilles Aubert , Marinette Revenu

Staged tree models are a discrete generalization of Bayesian networks. We show that these form curved exponential families and derive their natural parameters, sufficient statistic, and cumulant-generating function as functions of their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Christiane Görgen , Manuele Leonelli , Orlando Marigliano

Taking inspiration from biological evolution, we explore the idea of "Can deep neural networks evolve naturally over successive generations into highly efficient deep neural networks?" by introducing the notion of synthesizing new highly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-02-08 Mohammad Javad Shafiee , Akshaya Mishra , Alexander Wong

We leverage neural networks as universal approximators of monotonic functions to build a parameterization of conditional cumulative distribution functions (CDFs). By the application of automatic differentiation with respect to response…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-09 Pawel Chilinski , Ricardo Silva

We introduce a class of auto-encoder neural networks tailored to data from the natural exponential family (e.g., count data). The architectures are inspired by the problem of learning the filters in a convolutional generative model with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Bahareh Tolooshams , Andrew H. Song , Simona Temereanca , Demba Ba

Progress in probabilistic generative models has accelerated, developing richer models with neural architectures, implicit densities, and with scalable algorithms for their Bayesian inference. However, there has been limited progress in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-31 Dustin Tran , David M. Blei

The study of genetic variants can help find correlating population groups to identify cohorts that are predisposed to common diseases and explain differences in disease susceptibility and how patients react to drugs. Machine learning…

We propose deep convolutional Gaussian processes, a deep Gaussian process architecture with convolutional structure. The model is a principled Bayesian framework for detecting hierarchical combinations of local features for image…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Kenneth Blomqvist , Samuel Kaski , Markus Heinonen

A deep generative model is developed for representation and analysis of images, based on a hierarchical convolutional dictionary-learning framework. Stochastic {\em unpooling} is employed to link consecutive layers in the model, yielding…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-12-25 Yunchen Pu , Xin Yuan , Andrew Stevens , Chunyuan Li , Lawrence Carin

Starting with sets of disorganized observations of spatially varying and temporally evolving systems, obtained at different (also disorganized) sets of parameters, we demonstrate the data-driven derivation of parameter dependent,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-04-27 David W. Sroczynski , Felix P. Kemeth , Ronald R. Coifman , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

The success of machine learning methods heavily relies on having an appropriate representation for data at hand. Traditionally, machine learning approaches relied on user-defined heuristics to extract features encoding structural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-29 Ming Yu , Zhuoran Yang , Tuo Zhao , Mladen Kolar , Zhaoran Wang

Representing networks in a low dimensional latent space is a crucial task with many interesting applications in graph learning problems, such as link prediction and node classification. A widely applied network representation learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Abdulkadir Çelikkanat , Fragkiskos D. Malliaros

In this paper, we propose a new class of distributions by exponentiating the random variables associated with the probability density functions of composite distributions. We also derive some mathematical properties of this new class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 Bowen Liu , Malwane M. A. Ananda

Bayesian inference is known to provide a general framework for incorporating prior knowledge or specific properties into machine learning models via carefully choosing a prior distribution. In this work, we propose a new type of prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-20 Andrei Atanov , Arsenii Ashukha , Kirill Struminsky , Dmitry Vetrov , Max Welling