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Real-time forecasting from streaming data poses critical challenges: handling non-stationary dynamics, operating under strict computational limits, and adapting rapidly without catastrophic forgetting. However, many existing approaches face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Christopher Salazar , Krithika Manohar , Ashis G. Banerjee

Diffusion language models (DLMs) have recently emerged as a promising alternative to autoregressive (AR) approaches, enabling parallel token generation beyond a rigid left-to-right order. Despite growing empirical success, the theoretical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Yunxiao Zhao , Changxiao Cai

In this paper, we propose new semiparametric procedures for making inference on linear functionals and their functions of two semicontinuous populations. The distribution of each population is usually characterized by a mixture of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-21 Meng Yuan , Chunlin Wang , Boxi Lin , Pengfei Li

The generalised linear model (GLM) is a very important tool for analysing real data in biology, sociology, agriculture, engineering and many other application domain where the relationship between the response and explanatory variables may…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-04 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

In order to improve the already existing models that are used extensively in bio sciences and applied sciences research, a new class of Weighted Power function distribution (WPFD) has been proposed with its various properties and different…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-08-03 Azam Zaka , Ahmad Saeed Akhter , Riffat Jabeen

Diffusion language models (DLMs) have emerged as a promising alternative to autoregressive models for faster inference via parallel token generation. We provide a rigorous foundation for this advantage by formalizing a model of parallel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Haozhe Jiang , Nika Haghtalab , Lijie Chen

Time series data analytics has been a problem of substantial interests for decades, and Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) has been the most widely adopted technique to measure dissimilarity between time series. A number of global-alignment kernels…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Lingfei Wu , Ian En-Hsu Yen , Jinfeng Yi , Fangli Xu , Qi Lei , Michael Witbrock

Dataset condensation (DC) methods aim to learn a smaller synthesized dataset with informative data records to accelerate the training of machine learning models. Current distribution matching (DM) based DC methods learn a synthesized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Wei Wei , Tom De Schepper , Kevin Mets

We propose discrete Langevin proposal (DLP), a simple and scalable gradient-based proposal for sampling complex high-dimensional discrete distributions. In contrast to Gibbs sampling-based methods, DLP is able to update all coordinates in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Ruqi Zhang , Xingchao Liu , Qiang Liu

This article proposes and studies warped-linear models for time series classification. The proposed models are time-warp invariant analogues of linear models. Their construction is in line with time series averaging and extensions of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Brijnesh J. Jain

In this article, we propose a novel logistic quasi-maximum likelihood estimation (LQMLE) for general parametric time series models. Compared to the classical Gaussian QMLE and existing robust estimations, it enjoys many distinctive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Zihan Wang , Xinghao Qiao , Dong Li , Howell Tong

The Gaussian process (GP) is a nonparametric prior distribution over functions indexed by time, space, or other high-dimensional index set. The GP is a flexible model yet its limitation is given by its very nature: it can only model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-15 Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

A Bayesian lattice filtering and smoothing approach is proposed for fast and accurate modeling and inference in multivariate non-stationary time series. This approach offers computational feasibility and interpretable time-frequency…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Wenjie Zhao , Raquel Prado

We propose a general framework for non-normal multivariate data analysis called multivariate covariance generalized linear models (McGLMs), designed to handle multivariate response variables, along with a wide range of temporal and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner Hugo Bonat , Bent Jørgensen

Data assimilation is a fundamental task in updating forecasting models upon observing new data, with applications ranging from weather prediction to online reinforcement learning. Deep generative forecasting models (DGFMs) have shown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Shreya Sinha-Roy , Richard G. Everitt , Christian P. Robert , Ritabrata Dutta

This paper proposes new parametric model adequacy tests for possibly nonlinear and nonstationary time series models with noncontinuous data distribution, which is often the case in applied work. In particular, we consider the correct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Igor Kheifets , Carlos Velasco

Segmented models are widely used to describe non-stationary sequential data with discrete change points. Their estimation usually requires solving a mixed discrete-continuous optimization problem, where the segmentation is the discrete part…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Erik Scharwächter , Jonathan Lennartz , Emmanuel Müller

Distributed Lag Models (DLMs) and similar regression approaches such as MIDAS have been used for many decades in econometrics and more recently to investigate how poor air quality adversely affects human health. In this paper we describe…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-30 Daniel Dempsey , Jason Wyse

Semiparametric forecasting and filtering are introduced as a method of addressing model errors arising from unresolved physical phenomena. While traditional parametric models are able to learn high-dimensional systems from small data sets,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-17 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

We present Latent Diffeomorphic Dynamic Mode Decomposition (LDDMD), a new data reduction approach for the analysis of non-linear systems that combines the interpretability of Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) with the predictive power of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Willem Diepeveen , Jon Schwenk , Andrea Bertozzi