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The logistic specification has been used extensively in non-Bayesian statistics to model the dependence of discrete outcomes on the values of specified covariates. Because the likelihood function is globally weakly concave estimation by…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-17 John Geweke , Garland Durham , Huaxin Xu

Predictive business process monitoring aims at providing predictions about running instances by analyzing logs of completed cases in a business process. Recently, a lot of research focuses on increasing productivity and efficiency in a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-23 Gyunam Park , Minseok Song

The Gaussian process (GP) regression model is a widely employed surrogate modeling technique for computer experiments, offering precise predictions and statistical inference for the computer simulators that generate experimental data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Lulu Kang , Yuanxing Cheng , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu

We present a novel parallelisation scheme that simplifies the adaptation of learning algorithms to growing amounts of data as well as growing needs for accurate and confident predictions in critical applications. In contrast to other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Michael Kamp , Mario Boley , Olana Missura , Thomas Gärtner

Hierarchical models are versatile tools for joint modeling of data sets arising from different, but related, sources. Fully Bayesian inference may, however, become computationally prohibitive if the source-specific data models are complex,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-06 Ritabrata Dutta , Paul Blomstedt , Samuel Kaski

It is commonly believed that scaling language models should commit a significant space or time cost, by increasing the parameters (parameter scaling) or output tokens (inference-time scaling). We introduce the third and more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Mouxiang Chen , Binyuan Hui , Zeyu Cui , Jiaxi Yang , Dayiheng Liu , Jianling Sun , Junyang Lin , Zhongxin Liu

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

Non-stationary time series with non-linear trends are frequently encountered in applications. We consider here the feasibility of accurately forecasting the signals of multiple such time series considering jointly when the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-05 Kerry Fendick

Methods for neural network hyperparameter optimization and meta-modeling are computationally expensive due to the need to train a large number of model configurations. In this paper, we show that standard frequentist regression models can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-09 Bowen Baker , Otkrist Gupta , Ramesh Raskar , Nikhil Naik

Model predictive control (MPC) is a powerful framework for optimal control of dynamical systems. However, MPC solvers suffer from a high computational burden that restricts their application to systems with low sampling frequency. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-12 Casian Iacob , Hany Abdulsamad , Simo Särkkä

In this paper, we explore how numerical calculations can be accelerated by implementing several numerical methods of fractional-order systems using parallel computing techniques. We investigate the feasibility of parallel computing…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-11-29 A. Baban , C. Bonchiş , A. Fikl , F. Roşu

This paper proposes a new algorithm for Gaussian process classification based on posterior linearisation (PL). In PL, a Gaussian approximation to the posterior density is obtained iteratively using the best possible linearisation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Ángel F. García-Fernández , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

We investigate the global scheduling of sporadic, implicit deadline, real-time task systems on multiprocessor platforms. We provide a task model which integrates job parallelism. We prove that the time-complexity of the feasibility problem…

Operating Systems · Computer Science 2008-05-22 S. Collette , L. Cucu , J. Goossens

Quality statistical inference requires a sufficient amount of data, which can be missing or hard to obtain. To this end, prediction-powered inference has risen as a promising methodology, but existing approaches are largely limited to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Daniel Csillag , Claudio José Struchiner , Guilherme Tegoni Goedert

The concepts of Bayesian prediction, model comparison, and model selection have developed significantly over the last decade. As a result, the Bayesian community has witnessed a rapid growth in theoretical and applied contributions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-07 Yann McLatchie , Sölvi Rögnvaldsson , Frank Weber , Aki Vehtari

Efficient approximation lies at the heart of large-scale machine learning problems. In this paper, we propose a novel, robust maximum entropy algorithm, which is capable of dealing with hundreds of moments and allows for computationally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-05 Diego Granziol , Binxin Ru , Stefan Zohren , Xiaowen Doing , Michael Osborne , Stephen Roberts

Getting good speedup -- let alone high parallel efficiency -- for parallel-in-time (PinT) integration examples can be frustratingly difficult. The high complexity and large number of parameters in PinT methods can easily (and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-02 Sebastian Goetschel , Michael Minion , Daniel Ruprecht , Robert Speck

Inference algorithms based on evolving interactions between replicated solutions are introduced and analyzed on a prototypical NP-hard problem - the capacity of the binary Ising perceptron. The efficiency of the algorithm is examined…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-15 Roberto C. Alamino , Juan P. Neirotti , David Saad

In recent years, various means of efficiently detecting changepoints in the univariate setting have been proposed, with one popular approach involving minimising a penalised cost function using dynamic programming. In some situations, these…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-09 S. O. Tickle , I. A. Eckley , P. Fearnhead , K. Haynes

One way to reduce the time of conducting optimization studies is to evaluate designs in parallel rather than just one-at-a-time. For expensive-to-evaluate black-boxes, batch versions of Bayesian optimization have been proposed. They work by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Mickael Binois , Nicholson Collier , Jonathan Ozik
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