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Methods for proving functional limit laws are developed for sequences of stochastic processes which allow a recursive distributional decomposition either in time or space. Our approach is an extension of the so-called contraction method to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Ralph Neininger , Henning Sulzbach

This paper considers the problem of variable selection allowing for parameter instability. It distinguishes between signal and pseudo-signal variables that are correlated with the target variable, and noise variables that are not, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-17 Alexander Chudik , M. Hashem Pesaran , Mahrad Sharifvaghefi

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a fully-coupled slow-fast McKean-Vlasov stochastic system. Using the non-linear Poisson equation on Wasserstein space, we first establish the strong convergence in the averaging principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Yun Li , Longjie Xie

We investigate the statistical properties of Temporal Difference (TD) learning with Polyak-Ruppert averaging, arguably one of the most widely used algorithms in reinforcement learning, for the task of estimating the parameters of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-25 Weichen Wu , Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Alessandro Rinaldo

Semilinear stochastic evolution equations with multiplicative L\'evy noise and monotone nonlinear drift are considered. Unlike other similar works, we do not impose coercivity conditions on coefficients. We establish the continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Erfan Salavati , Bijan Z. Zangeneh

We put forward a general framework for the study of a pathwise central limit theorem (CLT) and a moderate deviation principle (MDP) for stochastic partial differential equations perturbed with a small multiplicative linear noise by means of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-21 Emanuela Gussetti

This paper develops the asymptotic theory for parametric and nonparametric regression models when the errors have a fractional local to unity root (FLUR) model structure. FLUR models are stationary time series with semi-long range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Farzad Sabzikar , Kris De Brabanter

We prove an enhanced limit theorem for additive functionals of a multi-dimensional Volterra process $(y_t)_{t\geq 0}$ in the rough path topology. As an application, we establish weak convergence as $\varepsilon\to 0$ of the solution of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Johann Gehringer , Xue-Mei Li , Julian Sieber

Algorithms for solving \textit{nonlinear} fixed-point equations -- such as average-reward \textit{$Q$-learning} and \textit{TD-learning} -- often involve semi-norm contractions. Achieving parameter-free optimal convergence rates for these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Ankur Naskar , Gugan Thoppe , Vijay Gupta

This paper derives the rate of convergence and asymptotic distribution for a class of Kolmogorov-Smirnov style test statistics for conditional moment inequality models for parameters on the boundary of the identified set under general…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-06 Timothy B. Armstrong

We prove quenched versions of (i) a large deviations principle (LDP), (ii) a central limit theorem (CLT), and (iii) a local central limit theorem (LCLT) for non-autonomous dynamical systems. A key advance is the extension of the spectral…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Davor Dragicevic , Gary Froyland , Cecilia Gonzalez-Tokman , Sandro Vaienti

This paper develops asymptotic theory for quantile estimation via stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with a constant learning rate. The quantile loss function is neither smooth nor strongly convex. Beyond conventional perspectives and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-06 Ziyang Wei , Jiaqi Li , Likai Chen , Wei Biao Wu

We explain the relation between the $r=1$ logistic map $x_{i+1}=rx_i(1-x_i)$, $x_i\in\mathbb R$, $i=0,1,\ldots$, $r>0$ and $x_0\geq0$, and the RG flow in the multiscale analysis of zero fixed point, asymptotic free QFT models as e.g. the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-08-27 P. A. Faria da Veiga , M. O'Carroll

We revisited the central limit theorem (CLT) for stochastic gradient descent (SGD) type methods, including the vanilla SGD, momentum SGD and Nesterov accelerated SGD methods with constant or vanishing damping parameters. By taking advantage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-12 Tiejun Li , Tiannan Xiao , Guoguo Yang

We present for the first time an asymptotic convergence analysis of two time-scale stochastic approximation driven by `controlled' Markov noise. In particular, both the faster and slower recursions have non-additive controlled Markov noise…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Prasenjit Karmakar , Shalabh Bhatnagar

Many systems in biology, physics and chemistry can be modeled through ordinary differential equations, which are piecewise smooth, but switch between different states according to a Markov jump process. In the fast switching limit, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Paul Bressloff , James MacLaurin

It was proposed recently that the out-of-time-ordered four-point correlator (OTOC) may serve as a useful characteristic of quantum-chaotic behavior, because in the semi-classical limit, $\hbar \to 0$, its rate of exponential growth…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-02-22 Efim B. Rozenbaum , Sriram Ganeshan , Victor Galitski

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) has been studied extensively over the past decades due to its simplicity and broad applicability in machine learning. In this work, we analyze the local behavior of gradient descent and stochastic gradient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Sebastian Kassing , Thomas Kruse

We consider the Markov random flight $\bold X(t), \; t>0,$ in the three-dimensional Euclidean space $\Bbb R^3$ with constant finite speed $c>0$ and the uniform choice of the initial and each new direction at random time instants that form a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Alexander D. Kolesnik

In this paper, we utilize the framework of Markov processes to attain a more probabilistic perspective on the theory of transfer operators. In doing so, we establish a functional central limit theorem (FLCT) for an $O(N)$ model associated…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Eduardo A. Silva , Elis G. Mesquita , Edgar Matias
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