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Mathematical models of infectious diseases, which are in principle analytically tractable, use two general approaches. The first approach, generally known as compartmental modeling, addresses the time evolution of disease propagation at the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-16 Pierre-André Noël , Bahman Davoudi , Robert C. Brunham , Louis J. Dubé , Babak Pourbohloul

Many real networks are not isolated from each other but form networks of networks, often interrelated in non trivial ways. Here, we analyze an epidemic spreading process taking place on top of two interconnected complex networks. We develop…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-04 Anna Saumell-Mendiola , M. Ángeles Serrano , Marián Boguñá

Individual-based models of contagious processes are useful for predicting epidemic trajectories and informing intervention strategies. In such models, the incorporation of contact network information can capture the non-randomness and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-09 Maxwell H. Wang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

In this paper we study a mathematical model for an infectious disease such as Cholera without life-time immunity. Due to the different mobility for susceptible, infected human and recovered human hosts, the diffusion coefficients are…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Hong-Ming Yin

In the present paper, our goal is to establish a framework for the mathematical modelling and the analysis of the spread of an epidemic in a large population commuting regularly, typically along a time-periodic pattern, as is roughly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-29 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Boureima Sangaré , Assane Savadogo

A simple, but ``classical``, stochastic model for epidemic spread in a finite, but large, population is studied. The progress of the epidemic can be divided into three different phases that requires different tools to analyse. Initially the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-29 Åke Svensson

Epidemic models currently play a central role in our attempts to understand and control infectious diseases. Here, we derive a model for the diffusion limit of stochastic susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) epidemic dynamics on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-30 Matthew Graham , Thomas House

Healthy and sick individuals (A and B particles) diffuse independently with diffusion constants D_A and D_B. Sick individuals upon encounter infect healthy ones (at rate k), but may also spontaneously recover (at rate 1/\tau). The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 F. van Wijland , K. Oerding , H. J. Hilhorst

We present simulation results for the contact process on regular, cubic networks that are composed of a one-dimensional lattice and a set of long edges with unbounded length. Networks with different sets of long edges are considered, that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 R. Juhász , G. Ódor

We investigate the full temporal evolution of epidemic outbreaks in complex networks, focusing on the susceptible-infected (SI) model of disease transmission. Combining theoretical analysis with large-scale numerical simulations, we uncover…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-23 Mateusz J. Samsel , Agata Fronczak , Piotr Fronczak

We study a simple case of the susceptible-weakened-infected-removed model in regular random graphs in a situation where an epidemic starts from a finite fraction of initially infected nodes (seeds). Previous studies have shown that,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-03 Takehisa Hasegawa , Koji Nemoto

Motile organisms can form stable agglomerates such as cities or colonies. In the outbreak of a highly contagious disease, the control of large-scale epidemic spread depends on factors like the number and size of agglomerates, travel rate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-03 Pablo de Castro , Felipe Urbina , Ariel Norambuena , Francisca Guzmán-Lastra

In recent years the research community has accumulated overwhelming evidence for the emergence of complex and heterogeneous connectivity patterns in a wide range of biological and sociotechnical systems. The complex properties of real-world…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-21 Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Claudio Castellano , Piet Van Mieghem , Alessandro Vespignani

We consider the spread of infectious disease through contact networks of Configuration Model type. We assume that the disease spreads through contacts and infected individuals recover into an immune state. We discuss a number of existing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-11 Joel C Miller , Istvan Z Kiss

Motivated by the importance of individual differences in risk perception and behavior change in people's responses to infectious disease outbreaks (particularly the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic), we propose a heterogeneous…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-04 Yang Ye , Qingpeng Zhang , Zhongyuan Ruan , Zhidong Cao , Qi Xuan , Daniel Dajun Zeng

From footpaths to flight routes, human mobility networks facilitate the spread of communicable diseases. Control and elimination efforts depend on characterizing these networks in terms of connections and flux rates of individuals between…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-29 Kyle B Gustafson , Basil S. Bayati , Philip A. Eckhoff

Most of the common used models of epidemic spreading allow contaminating many neighbors of a particular node in the network. They are usually analyzed by differential equations on probability vectors. We propose a model of epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-14 Wojciech Ganczarek

We study the behavior of epidemic routing in a delay tolerant network as a function of node density. Focusing on the probability of successful delivery to a destination within a deadline (PS), we show that PS experiences a phase transition…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2020-02-13 Leila Rashidi , Don Towsley , Arman Mohseni-Kabir , Ali Movaghar

Phase transitions from an active into an absorbing, inactive state are generically described by the critical exponents of directed percolation (DP), with upper critical dimension d_c = 4. In the framework of single-species…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Y. Y. Goldschmidt , H. Hinrichsen , M. Howard , U. C. Täuber

This work consists of an epidemic model with vaccination coupled with an opinion dynamics. Our objective was to study how disease risk perception can influence opinions about vaccination and therefore the spreading of the disease.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-20 Marcelo A. Pires , André L. Oestereich , Nuno Crokidakis