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Epidemics on complex networks is a widely investigated topic in the last few years, mainly due to the last pandemic events. Usually, real contact networks are dynamic, hence much effort has been invested in studying epidemics on evolving…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-18 Hillel Sanhedrai , Shlomo Havlin

Viruses constantly undergo mutations with genomic changes. The propagation of variants of viruses is an interesting problem. We perform numerical simulations of the microscopic epidemic model based on network theory for the spread of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Yutaka Okabe , Akira Shudo

In the last decades, many authors have used the susceptible-infected-recovered model to study the impact of the disease spreading on the evolution of the infected individuals. However, few authors focused on the temporal unfolding of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-07-03 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

We provide an overview of Monte Carlo algorithms based on Markovian stochastic dynamics of interacting and reacting many-particle systems not in thermal equilibrium. These agent-based simulations are an effective way of introducing students…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-24 Mohamed Swailem , Ulrich Dobramysl , Ruslan Mukhamadiarov , Uwe C. Täuber

Dynamical reaction-diffusion processes and meta-population models are standard modeling approaches for a wide variety of phenomena in which local quantities - such as density, potential and particles - diffuse and interact according to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. Colizza , R. Pastor-Satorras , A. Vespignani

Two stochastic models are proposed to describe the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic. In the first model the population is partitioned into four compartments: susceptible $S$, infected $I$, removed $R$ and dead people $D$. In order to have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-16 Fabiana Calleri , Giovanni Nastasi , Vittorio Romano

This paper is focused on SIS (Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible) epidemic dynamics (also known as the contact process) on populations modelled by homogeneous Poisson point processes of the Euclidean plane, where the infection rate of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-19 François Baccelli , Nithin Ramesan

The contact process is a simple infection spreading model showcasing an out-of-equilibrium phase transition between a macroscopically active and an inactive phase. Such absorbing state phase transitions are often sensitive to the presence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-22 Leone V. Luzzatto , Juan Felipe Barrera López , István A. Kovács

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

We investigate a model for spatial epidemics explicitly taking into account bi-directional movements between base and destination locations on individual mobility networks. We provide a systematic analysis of generic dynamical features of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

The presence of erratic or unstable paths in standard kinetic Monte Carlo simulations significantly undermines the accurate simulation and sampling of transition pathways. While typically reliable methods, such as the Gillespie algorithm,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-03 Elad Korngut , Ohad Vilk , Michael Assaf

We present a detailed analytical and numerical study for the spreading of infections in complex population networks with acquired immunity. We show that the large connectivity fluctuations usually found in these networks strengthen…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Yamir Moreno , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

We study a simple model of how social behaviors, like trends and opinions, propagate in networks where individuals adopt the trend when they are informed by threshold $T$ neighbors who are adopters. Using a dynamic message-passing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-18 Munik Shrestha , Cristopher Moore

It has long been known that epidemics can travel along communication lines, such as roads. In the current COVID-19 epidemic, it has been observed that major roads have enhanced its propagation in Italy. We propose a new simple model of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Henri Berestycki , Jean-Michel Roquejoffre , Luca Rossi

The requisites for the persistence of small colonies of self-replicating molecules living in a two-dimensional lattice are investigated analytically in the infinite diffusion or mean-field limit and through Monte Carlo simulations in the…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Claudia P. Ferreira , J. F. Fontanari

The initial phase of an epidemic is often characterized by an exponential increase in the number of infected individuals. In this paper, we predict the exponential spreading rate of an epidemic on a complex network. We first find an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-21 Samuel Cure , Florian G. Pflug , Simone Pigolotti

Understanding the dynamics of computer virus (malware, worm) in cyberspace is an important problem that has attracted a fair amount of attention. Early investigations for this purpose adapted biological epidemic models, and thus inherited…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-03-25 Shouhuai Xu , Wenlian Lu , Li Xu

The epidemic threshold of the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) dynamics on random networks having a power law degree distribution with exponent $\gamma>3$ has been investigated using different mean-field approaches, which predict…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-19 Angélica S. Mata , Silvio C. Ferreira

Diffusion processes in networks are increasingly used to model the spread of information and social influence. In several applications in computational sustainability such as the spread of wildlife, infectious diseases and traffic mobility…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Akshat Kumar , Daniel Sheldon , Biplav Srivastava

Information dissemination intricately intertwines with the dynamics of infectious diseases in the contemporary interconnected world. Recognizing the critical role of public awareness, individual vaccination choices appear to be an essential…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-30 Viney Kumar , Chris T Bauch , Samit Bhattacharyya
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