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Forecast reconciliation has attracted significant research interest in recent years, with most studies taking the hierarchy of time series as given. We extend existing work that uses time series clustering to construct hierarchies, with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-10 Bohan Zhang , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Han Li

In this paper, a novel method to perform model-based clustering of time series is proposed. The procedure relies on two iterative steps: (i) K global forecasting models are fitted via pooling by considering the series pertaining to each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Ángel López Oriona , Pablo Montero Manso , José Antonio Vilar Fernández

We propose a novel approach to the problem of clustering hierarchically aggregated time-series data, which has remained an understudied problem though it has several commercial applications. We first group time series at each aggregated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Xing Han , Tongzheng Ren , Jing Hu , Joydeep Ghosh , Nhat Ho

Seasonal time series Forecasting remains a challenging problem due to the long-term dependency from seasonality. In this paper, we propose a two-stage framework to forecast univariate seasonal time series. The first stage explicitly learns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Qingyang Xu , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun

Time series clustering is the process of grouping time series with respect to their similarity or characteristics. Previous approaches usually combine a specific distance measure for time series and a standard clustering method. However,…

Time series forecasting has gained lots of attention recently; this is because many real-world phenomena can be modeled as time series. The massive volume of data and recent advancements in the processing power of the computers enable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Manie Tadayon , Yumi Iwashita

We propose a new unsupervised learning method for clustering a large number of time series based on a latent factor structure. Each cluster is characterized by its own cluster-specific factors in addition to some common factors which impact…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-09 Bo Zhang , Guangming Pan , Qiwei Yao , Wang Zhou

Time series, as one of the most fundamental representations of sequential data, has been extensively studied across diverse disciplines, including computer science, biology, geology, astronomy, and environmental sciences. The advent of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 John Paparrizos , Fan Yang , Haojun Li

The paper is focused on the forecasting method for time series groups with the use of algorithms for cluster analysis. $K$-means algorithm is suggested to be a basic one for clustering. The coordinates of the centers of clusters have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-17 N. N. Astakhova , L. A. Demidova , E. V. Nikulchev

Mixture model-based clustering, usually applied to multidimensional data, has become a popular approach in many data analysis problems, both for its good statistical properties and for the simplicity of implementation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Allou Samé , Faicel Chamroukhi , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

The task of clustering unlabeled time series and sequences entails a particular set of challenges, namely to adequately model temporal relations and variable sequence lengths. If these challenges are not properly handled, the resulting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-19 Daniel J. Trosten , Andreas S. Strauman , Michael Kampffmeyer , Robert Jenssen

We suggest a novel method of clustering and exploratory analysis of temporal event sequences data (also known as categorical time series) based on three-dimensional data grid models. A data set of temporal event sequences can be represented…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-05-07 Dominique Gay , Romain Guigourès , Marc Boullé , Fabrice Clérot

Unsupervised clustering of temporal data is both challenging and crucial in machine learning. In this paper, we show that neither traditional clustering methods, time series specific or even deep learning-based alternatives generalise well…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Nuno Mota Goncalves , Ioana Giurgiu , Anika Schumann

In this paper, we propose a machine learning approach for forecasting hierarchical time series. When dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from generating accurate forecasts, one needs to select a suitable method for producing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Paolo Mancuso , Veronica Piccialli , Antonio M. Sudoso

Real-world time series often exhibit complex interdependencies that cannot be captured in isolation. Global models that model past data from multiple related time series globally while producing series-specific forecasts locally are now…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Abishek Sriramulu , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Unsupervised learning of time series data, also known as temporal clustering, is a challenging problem in machine learning. Here we propose a novel algorithm, Deep Temporal Clustering (DTC), to naturally integrate dimensionality reduction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Naveen Sai Madiraju , Seid M. Sadat , Dimitry Fisher , Homa Karimabadi

Human behavior modeling deals with learning and understanding behavior patterns inherent in humans' daily routines. Existing pattern mining techniques either assume human dynamics is strictly periodic, or require the number of modes as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Rohan Kabra , Divya Saxena , Dhaval Patel , Jiannong Cao

Machine learning and in particular deep learning algorithms are the emerging approaches to data analysis. These techniques have transformed traditional data mining-based analysis radically into a learning-based model in which existing data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-17 Neda Tavakoli , Sima Siami-Namini , Mahdi Adl Khanghah , Fahimeh Mirza Soltani , Akbar Siami Namin

Clustering is a powerful and extensively used data science tool. While clustering is generally thought of as an unsupervised learning technique, there are also supervised variations such as Spath's clusterwise regression that attempt to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Aravinth Chembu , Scott Sanner

This paper proposes a hierarchical approximate-factor approach to analyzing high-dimensional, large-scale heterogeneous time series data using distributed computing. The new method employs a multiple-fold dimension reduction procedure using…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-20 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S. Tsay
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