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In multi-modal multi-agent trajectory forecasting, two major challenges have not been fully tackled: 1) how to measure the uncertainty brought by the interaction module that causes correlations among the predicted trajectories of multiple…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Bohan Tang , Yiqi Zhong , Chenxin Xu , Wei-Tao Wu , Ulrich Neumann , Yanfeng Wang , Ya Zhang , Siheng Chen

Predicting future trajectories of surrounding traffic agents is critical for safe autonomous navigation and collision avoidance. Despite all advances in the trajectory forecasting realm, the prediction models remains vulnerable to…

Reliable uncertainty quantification in trajectory prediction is crucial for safety-critical autonomous driving systems, yet existing deep learning predictors lack uncertainty-aware frameworks adaptable to heterogeneous real-world scenarios.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Yiming Shu , Jiahui Xu , Linghuan Kong , Fangni Zhang , Guodong Yin , Chen Sun

Object detection and multiple object tracking (MOT) are essential components of self-driving systems. Accurate detection and uncertainty quantification are both critical for onboard modules, such as perception, prediction, and planning, to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-01 Sanbao Su , Songyang Han , Yiming Li , Zhili Zhang , Chen Feng , Caiwen Ding , Fei Miao

Reasoning about the future behavior of other agents is critical to safe robot navigation. The multiplicity of plausible futures is further amplified by the uncertainty inherent to agent state estimation from data, including positions,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-04 Boris Ivanovic , Kuan-Hui Lee , Pavel Tokmakov , Blake Wulfe , Rowan McAllister , Adrien Gaidon , Marco Pavone

Trajectory prediction seeks to forecast the future motion of dynamic entities, such as vehicles and pedestrians, given a temporal horizon of historical movement data and environmental context. A central challenge in this domain is the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Jintao Sun , Hu Zhang , Gangyi Ding , Zhedong Zheng

Autonomous driving systems face the formidable challenge of navigating intricate and dynamic environments with uncertainty. This study presents a unified prediction and planning framework that concurrently models short-term aleatoric…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Wenbo Shao , Jiahui Xu , Zhong Cao , Hong Wang , Jun Li

Trajectory prediction models that can infer both finite future trajectories and their associated uncertainties of the target vehicles in an online setting (e.g., real-world application scenarios) is crucial for ensuring the safe and robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Huiqun Huang , Sihong He , Fei Miao

The high dynamics and heterogeneous interactions in the complicated urban systems have raised the issue of uncertainty quantification in spatiotemporal human mobility, to support critical decision-makings in risk-aware web applications such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Zhengyang Zhou , Yang Wang , Xike Xie , Lei Qiao , Yuantao Li

To accurately predict trajectories in multi-agent settings, e.g. team games, it is important to effectively model the interactions among agents. Whereas a number of methods have been developed for this purpose, existing methods implicitly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Zikai Wei , Xinge Zhu , Bo Dai , Dahua Lin

Understanding how road users resolve space-sharing conflicts is important both for traffic safety and the safe deployment of autonomous vehicles. While existing models have captured specific aspects of such interactions (e.g., explicit…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Julian F. Schumann , Johan Engström , Ran Wei , Shu-Yuan Liu , Jens Kober , Arkady Zgonnikov

Trajectory forecasting, or trajectory prediction, of multiple interacting agents in dynamic scenes, is an important problem for many applications, such as robotic systems and autonomous driving. The problem is a great challenge because of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Yanliang Zhu , Dongchun Ren , Mingyu Fan , Deheng Qian , Xin Li , Huaxia Xia

In a given scenario, simultaneously and accurately predicting every possible interaction of traffic participants is an important capability for autonomous vehicles. The majority of current researches focused on the prediction of an single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Yeping Hu , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka

For robots to be a part of our daily life, they need to be able to navigate among crowds not only safely but also in a socially compliant fashion. This is a challenging problem because humans tend to navigate by implicitly cooperating with…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Anirudh Vemula , Katharina Muelling , Jean Oh

Uncertainty pervades through the modern robotic autonomy stack, with nearly every component (e.g., sensors, detection, classification, tracking, behavior prediction) producing continuous or discrete probabilistic distributions. Trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Boris Ivanovic , Yifeng Lin , Shubham Shrivastava , Punarjay Chakravarty , Marco Pavone

This paper considers predicting future statuses of multiple agents in an online fashion by exploiting dynamic interactions in the system. We propose a novel collaborative prediction unit (CoPU), which aggregates the predictions from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Maosen Li , Siheng Chen , Yanning Shen , Genjia Liu , Ivor W. Tsang , Ya Zhang

Autonomous Vehicle decisions rely on multimodal prediction models that account for multiple route options and the inherent uncertainty in human behavior. However, models can suffer from mode collapse, where only the most likely mode is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Maarten Hugenholtz , Anna Meszaros , Jens Kober , Zlatan Ajanovic

Uncertainty-aware prediction is essential for safe motion planning, especially when using learned models to forecast the behavior of surrounding agents. Conformal prediction is a statistical tool often used to produce uncertainty-aware…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Allen Emmanuel Binny , Anushri Dixit

In autonomous driving, accurate motion prediction is crucial for safe and efficient motion planning. To ensure safety, planners require reliable uncertainty estimates of the predicted behavior of surrounding agents, yet this aspect has…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Aron Distelzweig , Andreas Look , Eitan Kosman , Faris Janjoš , Jörg Wagner , Abhinav Valada

Coordination recognition and subtle pattern prediction of future trajectories play a significant role when modeling interactive behaviors of multiple agents. Due to the essential property of uncertainty in the future evolution,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-03 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka
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