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We investigate the computational complexity of the exponential random graph model (ERGM) commonly used in social network analysis. This model represents a probability distribution on graphs by setting the log-likelihood of generating a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-12-05 Michael J. Bannister , William E. Devanny , David Eppstein

Many popular models from the networks literature can be viewed through a common lens of contingency tables on network dyads, resulting in \emph{log-linear ERGMs}: exponential family models for random graphs whose sufficient statistics are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-05 Elizabeth Gross , Sonja Petrović , Despina Stasi

Traditionally, graph neural networks have been trained using a single observed graph. However, the observed graph represents only one possible realization. In many applications, the graph may encounter uncertainties, such as having…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 See Hian Lee , Feng Ji , Kelin Xia , Wee Peng Tay

Inspired by applications to theories of coding and communication in networks of nervous tissue, we study maximum entropy distributions on weighted graphs with a given expected degree sequence. These distributions are characterized by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Christopher Hillar , Andre Wibisono

We introduce a method for the theoretical analysis of exponential random graph models. The method is based on a large-deviations approximation to the normalizing constant shown to be consistent using theory developed by Chatterjee and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Sourav Chatterjee , Persi Diaconis

Performing Bayesian inference via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be exceedingly expensive when posterior evaluations invoke the evaluation of a computationally expensive model, such as a system of partial differential equations. In…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-27 Patrick Conrad , Andrew Davis , Youssef Marzouk , Natesh Pillai , Aaron Smith

Graphical Gaussian models have proven to be useful tools for exploring network structures based on multivariate data. Applications to studies of gene expression have generated substantial interest in these models, and resulting recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-10 Michael Finegold , Mathias Drton

We propose a multilevel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for the Bayesian inference of random field parameters in PDEs using high-resolution data. Compared to existing multilevel MCMC methods, we additionally consider level-dependent…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Pieter Vanmechelen , Geert Lombaert , Giovanni Samaey

Folklore belief holds that metastable wells in low-temperature statistical mechanics models exhibit high-temperature behavior. We make this rigorous in the exponential random graph model (ERGM) through the lens of concentration of measure.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Vilas Winstein

Exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) provide a principled way to model and simulate features common in human social networks, such as propensities for homophily and friend-of-a-friend triad closure. We show that, without…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-09 Pavel N. Krivitsky , Mark S. Handcock , Martina Morris

Estimated connectomes by the means of neuroimaging techniques have enriched our knowledge of the organizational properties of the brain leading to the development of network-based clinical diagnostics. Unfortunately, to date, many of those…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-31 Roseric Azondekon , Zachary James Harper , Charles Michael Welzig

Markov Logic Networks (MLNs), which elegantly combine logic rules and probabilistic graphical models, can be used to address many knowledge graph problems. However, inference in MLN is computationally intensive, making the industrial-scale…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-05 Yuyu Zhang , Xinshi Chen , Yuan Yang , Arun Ramamurthy , Bo Li , Yuan Qi , Le Song

Bayesian inference with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is challenging when the likelihood function is irregular and expensive to compute. We explore several sampling algorithms that make use of subset evaluations to reduce computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-16 Conor Rosato , Harvinder Lehal , Simon Maskell , Lee Devlin , Malcolm Strens

This thesis studies high-dimensional, continuous-valued pairwise Markov Random Fields. We are particularly interested in approximating pairwise densities whose logarithm belongs to a Sobolev space. For this problem we propose the method of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Eric Janofsky

Multilevel models (MLMs) are a central building block of the Bayesian workflow. They enable joint, interpretable modeling of data across hierarchical levels and provide a fully probabilistic quantification of uncertainty. Despite their…

We define a general class of network formation models, Statistical Exponential Random Graph Models (SERGMs), that nest standard exponential random graph models (ERGMs) as a special case. We provide the first general results on when these…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-06-26 Arun G. Chandrasekhar , Matthew O. Jackson

Stochastic network models play a central role across a wide range of scientific disciplines, and questions of statistical inference arise naturally in this context. In this paper we investigate goodness-of-fit and two-sample testing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Subhro Ghosh , Rathindra Nath Karmakar , Samriddha Lahiry

We investigate the widely encountered problem of detecting communities in multiplex networks, such as social networks, with an unknown arbitrary heterogeneous structure. To improve detectability, we propose a generative model that leverages…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-11-27 Yuming Huang , Ashkan Panahi , Hamid Krim , Liyi Dai

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for exponential family models with intractable normalizing constant, such as the exchange algorithm, require simulations of the sufficient statistics at every iteration of the Markov chain, which often…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-21 Quan Vu , Matthew T. Moores , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

Ensembles of networks arise in many scientific fields, but there are few statistical tools for inferring their generative processes, particularly in the presence of both dyadic dependence and cross-graph heterogeneity. To fill in this gap,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-23 Fan Yin , Weining Shen , Carter T. Butts