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We prove that the distribution of the product of two correlated normal random variables with arbitrary means and arbitrary variances is infinitely divisible. We also obtain exact formulas for the probability density function of the sum of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Robert E. Gaunt , Saralees Nadarajah , Tibor K. Pogány

A reinforcement algorithm introduced by H.A. Simon \cite{Simon} produces a sequence of uniform random variables with memory as follows. At each step, with a fixed probability $p\in(0,1)$, $\hat U_{n+1}$ is sampled uniformly from $\hat U_1,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Jean Bertoin

This paper develops a new direct approach to approximating suprema of general empirical processes by a sequence of suprema of Gaussian processes, without taking the route of approximating whole empirical processes in the sup-norm. We prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

A new finite form of de Finetti's representation theorem is established using elementary information-theoretic tools. The distribution of the first $k$ random variables in an exchangeable vector of $n\geq k$ random variables is close to a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Mario Berta , Lampros Gavalakis , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

We consider a random interval splitting process, in which the splitting rule depends on the empirical distribution of interval lengths. We show that this empirical distribution converges to a limit almost surely as the number of intervals…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-20 Pascal Maillard , Elliot Paquette

The Collective Graphical Model (CGM) models a population of independent and identically distributed individuals when only collective statistics (i.e., counts of individuals) are observed. Exact inference in CGMs is intractable, and previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-21 Li-Ping Liu , Daniel Sheldon , Thomas G. Dietterich

The empirical distribution function assigns mass $1/n$ to each of the $n$ observations in a sample. As these are highly variable, estimation error may be reduced by replacing them with estimated observations that are asymptotically less…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Tommaso Lando , Lorenzo Tedesco

We consider the empirical process G_t of a one-dimensional diffusion with finite speed measure, indexed by a collection of functions F. By the central limit theorem for diffusions, the finite-dimensional distributions of G_t converge weakly…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Aad van der Vaart , Harry van Zanten

A quasi-infinitely divisible distribution on $\mathbb{R}^d$ is a probability distribution $\mu$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ whose characteristic function can be written as the quotient of the characteristic functions of two infinitely divisible…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-08 David Berger , Merve Kutlu , Alexander Lindner

The aim of this note is to prove the inversion formula, which can be used to compute the Levi measure of an infinitely divisible distribution from its characteristic function. Obtained formula is similar to the well-known inversion formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-10 Evgeny Burnaev

We introduce innovative inference procedures for analyzing time series data. Our methodology enables density approximation and composite hypothesis testing based on Whittle's estimator, a widely applied M-estimator in the frequency domain.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-20 Alban Moor , Davide La Vecchia , Elvezio Ronchetti

Recently established, directed dependence measures for pairs $(X,Y)$ of random variables build upon the natural idea of comparing the conditional distributions of $Y$ given $X=x$ with the marginal distribution of $Y$. They assign pairs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Jonathan Ansari , Patrick B. Langthaler , Sebastian Fuchs , Wolfgang Trutschnig

The phenomenon of superconvergence is proved for all freely infinitely divisible distributions. Precisely, suppose that the partial sums of a sequence of free identically distributed, infinitesimal random variables converge in distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-16 Hari Bercovici , Jiun-Chau Wang , Ping Zhong

We prove a conjecture of Lalley and Sellke [Ann. Probab. 15 (1987)] asserting that the empirical (time-averaged) distribution function of the maximum of branching Brownian motion converges almost surely to a double exponential, or Gumbel,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-10 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler

This article extends the widely-used synthetic controls estimator for evaluating causal effects of policy changes to quantile functions. The proposed method provides a geometrically faithful estimate of the entire counterfactual quantile…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-03 Florian Gunsilius

The traditional class of elliptical distributions is extended to allow for asymmetries. A completely robust dispersion matrix estimator (the `spectral estimator') for the new class of `generalized elliptical distributions' is presented. It…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Gabriel Frahm , Uwe Jaekel

With a new proof approach we prove in a more general setting the classical convergence theorem that almost everywhere convergence of measurable functions on a finite measure space implies convergence in measure. Specifically, we generalize…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Yu-Lin Chou

The likelihood function plays a pivotal role in statistical inference; it is adaptable to a wide range of models and the resultant estimators are known to have good properties. However, these results hinge on correct specification of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

Many generative models can be expressed as a differentiable function of random inputs drawn from some simple probability density. This framework includes both deep generative architectures such as Variational Autoencoders and a large class…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-06 Matthew M. Graham , Amos J. Storkey

The law of large numbers for the empirical density for the pairs of uniformly distributed integers with a given greatest common divisor is a classic result in number theory. In this paper, we study the large deviations of the empirical…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-07 Behzad Mehrdad , Lingjiong Zhu