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Related papers: Evaluating Pointing Strategies for Future Solar Fl…

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Solar flares, the most powerful explosive phenomena in the solar system, may pose significant hazards to spaceborne satellites and ground-based infrastructure. Despite decades of intensive research, reliable flare prediction remains a…

With the rapid development of telescopes, both temporal cadence and the spatial resolution of observations are increasing. This in turn generates vast amount of data, which can be efficiently searched only with automated detections in order…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-30 Q. Hao , P. F. Chen , C. Fang

The Spectrometer/Telescope for Imaging X-rays (STIX) on-board the ESA Solar Orbiter mission retrieves the coordinates of solar flare locations by means of a specific sub-collimator, named the Coarse Flare Locator (CFL). When a solar flare…

Traditional solar flare forecasting approaches have mostly relied on physics-based or data-driven models using solar magnetograms, treating flare predictions as a point-in-time classification problem. This approach has limitations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Anli Ji , Chetraj Pandey , Berkay Aydin

The hard X-ray emission in a solar flare is typically characterized by a number of discrete sources, each with its own spectral, temporal, and spatial variability. Establishing the relationship amongst these sources is critical to determine…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-08 Federica Sciacchitano , Alberto Sorrentino , A Gordon Emslie , Anna Maria Massone , Michele Piana

Understanding the physical processes that trigger solar flares is paramount to help with forecasting space weather and mitigating the effects on our technological infrastructure. A previously unknown phenomenon was recently identified in…

Observations of the Sun in the visible spectral range belong to standard measurements obtained by instruments both on the ground and in the space. Nowadays, both nearly continuous full-disc observations with medium resolution and dedicated…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-30 Michal Švanda , Jan Jurčák , David Korda , Jana Kašparová

Solar flares strongly affect the Sun's atmosphere as well as the Earth's environment. Quantifying the maximum possible energy of solar flares of the present-day Sun, if any, is thus a key question in heliophysics. The largest solar flares…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 G. Aulanier , P. Demoulin , C. J. Schrijver , M. Janvier , E. Pariat , B. Schmieder

The occurrence of X-class solar flares and their potential impact on the space weather often receive great attention than other flares. But predicting when and where an X-class flare will occur is still a challenge. With the…

We aim to perform a statistical study of stellar flares observed by Kepler. We want to study the flare amplitude, duration, energy and occurrence rates, and how they are related to the spectral type and rotation period. To that end, we have…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-08 Tom Van Doorsselaere , Hoda Shariati , Jonas Debosscher

In analyses of rare-events, regardless of the domain of application, class-imbalance issue is intrinsic. Although the challenges are known to data experts, their explicit impact on the analytic and the decisions made based on the findings…

Solar flares are intense eruptive events caused by the rapid release of magnetic energy, often impacting Earth's space environment through electromagnetic radiation and high-energy particles. Accurate flare prediction is critical for space…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-19 Limin Zhao , Xingyao Chen , Xiaoshuai Zhu , Dong Zhao , and Yihua Yan

Major solar flares are prone to occur in active region atmospheres associated with large, complex, dynamically-evolving sunspots. This points to the importance of monitoring the evolution of starspots, not only in visible but also in ultra…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-14 Shin Toriumi , Vladimir S. Airapetian , Hugh S. Hudson , Carolus J. Schrijver , Mark C. M. Cheung , Marc L. DeRosa

Solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs), especially the larger ones, emanate from active regions (ARs). With the aim to understand the magnetic properties that govern such flares and eruptions, we systematically survey all flare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-11 Shin Toriumi , Carolus J. Schrijver , Louise K. Harra , Hugh Hudson , Kaori Nagashima

Solar flares represent one of the most intense forms of solar activity. Understanding the evolution of physical parameters in the solar atmosphere during flares is key to studying flare mechanisms and improving prediction capabilities.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-27 W. Xu , Q. Hao , Z. Zheng , J. Hong , J. Hu , Y. Qiu , C. Li , M. D. Ding , C. Fang

We consider the flare prediction problem that distinguishes flare-imminent active regions that produce an M- or X-class flare in the future 24 hours, from quiet active regions that do not produce any flare within $\pm 24$ hours. Using…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-15 Zeyu Sun , Monica G. Bobra , Xiantong Wang , Yu Wang , Hu Sun , Tamas Gombosi , Yang Chen , Alfred Hero

In this work we leverage a weakly-labeled dataset of spectral data from NASAs IRIS satellite for the prediction of solar flares using the Multiple Instance Learning (MIL) paradigm. While standard supervised learning models expect a label…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-21 Cédric Huwyler , Martin Melchior

We analyze the correlation between starspots and superflares on solar-type stars using observations from the Kepler mission. The analysis shows that the observed fraction of stars with superflares decreases as the rotation period increases…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-21 Hiroyuki Maehara , Yuta Notsu , Shota Notsu , Kosuke Namekata , Satoshi Honda , Takako T. Ishii , Daisaku Nogami , Kazunari Shibata

The presence and strength of a stellar magnetic field and activity is rooted in a star's fundamental parameters such as mass and age. Can flares serve as an accurate stellar "clock"? To explore if we can quantify an activity-age relation in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-13 Ekaterina Ilin , Sarah J. Schmidt , James R. A. Davenport , Klaus G. Strassmeier

Accurate, reliable solar flare prediction is crucial for mitigating potential disruptions to critical infrastructure, while predicting solar flares remains a significant challenge. Existing methods based on heuristic physical features often…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Shunya Nagashima , Komei Sugiura