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Quantiles and expected shortfalls are usually used to measure risks of stochastic systems, which are often estimated by Monte Carlo methods. This paper focuses on the use of quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) method, whose convergence rate is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-07 Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

This paper proposes a statistically optimal approach for learning a function value using a confidence interval in a wide range of models, including general non-parametric estimation of an expected loss described as a stochastic programming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-07 Arnab Ganguly , Tobias Sutter

We study adversarial online nonparametric regression with general convex losses and propose a parameter-free learning algorithm that achieves minimax optimal rates. Our approach leverages chaining trees to compete against H{\"o}lder…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Paul Liautaud , Pierre Gaillard , Olivier Wintenberger

Transfer learning for nonparametric regression is considered. We first study the non-asymptotic minimax risk for this problem and develop a novel estimator called the confidence thresholding estimator, which is shown to achieve the minimax…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-24 T. Tony Cai , Hongming Pu

A common goal in statistics and machine learning is to learn models that can perform well against distributional shifts, such as latent heterogeneous subpopulations, unknown covariate shifts, or unmodeled temporal effects. We develop and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-21 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

An unsupervised learning procedure based on maximizing the mutual information between the outputs of two networks receiving different but statistically dependent inputs is analyzed (Becker and Hinton, Nature, 355, 92, 161). For a generic…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Robert Urbanczik

We provide a general framework to study stochastic sequences related to individual learning in economics, learning automata in computer sciences, social learning in marketing, and other applications. More precisely, we study the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-07 Carlos Oyarzun , Johannes Ruf

Standard contrastive learning approaches usually require a large number of negatives for effective unsupervised learning and often exhibit slow convergence. We suspect this behavior is due to the suboptimal selection of negatives used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Anshul Shah , Suvrit Sra , Rama Chellappa , Anoop Cherian

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations are commonly employed for estimating features of a target distribution, particularly for Bayesian inference. A fundamental challenge is determining when these simulations should stop. We consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-04 James M. Flegal , Lei Gong

We propose confidence regions for the parameters of incomplete models with exact coverage of the true parameter in finite samples. Our confidence region inverts a test, which generalizes Monte Carlo tests to incomplete models. The test…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-07 Lixiong Li , Marc Henry

We prove rates of convergence in the statistical sense for kernel-based least squares regression using a conjugate gradient algorithm, where regularization against overfitting is obtained by early stopping. This method is directly related…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Gilles Blanchard , Nicole Kraemer

Conformal prediction methodologies have significantly advanced the quantification of uncertainties in predictive models. Yet, the construction of confidence regions for model parameters presents a notable challenge, often necessitating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Eugene Ndiaye

We study continuity and robustness properties of infinite-horizon average expected cost problems with respect to (controlled) transition kernels, and applications of these results to the problem of robustness of control policies designed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-22 Ali Devran Kara , Maxim Raginsky , Serdar Yuksel

In this paper, we study regression problems over a separable Hilbert space with the square loss, covering non-parametric regression over a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We investigate a class of spectral/regularized algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-18 Junhong Lin , Alessandro Rudi , Lorenzo Rosasco , Volkan Cevher

Supervised classification techniques use training samples to find classification rules with small expected 0-1 loss. Conventional methods achieve efficient learning and out-of-sample generalization by minimizing surrogate losses over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-12 Santiago Mazuelas , Andrea Zanoni , Aritz Perez

Beta regression models provide an adequate approach for modeling continuous outcomes limited to the interval (0,1). This paper deals with an extension of beta regression models that allow for explanatory variables to be measured with error.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-11 Jalmar M. F. Carrasco , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle

In many practical parameter estimation problems, such as coefficient estimation of polynomial regression, the true model is unknown and thus, a model selection step is performed prior to estimation. The data-based model selection step…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-30 Elad Meir , Tirza Routtenberg

We study theoretical properties of a broad class of regularized algorithms with vector-valued output. These spectral algorithms include kernel ridge regression, kernel principal component regression, various implementations of gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-24 Dimitri Meunier , Zikai Shen , Mattes Mollenhauer , Arthur Gretton , Zhu Li

Convex regression (CR) problem deals with fitting a convex function to a finite number of observations. It has many applications in various disciplines, such as statistics, economics, operations research, and electrical engineering.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Necdet Serhat Aybat , Zi Wang

Recent studies have demonstrated that correntropy is an efficient tool for analyzing higher-order statistical moments in nonGaussian noise environments. Although it has been used with complex data, some adaptations were then necessary…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-16 João P. F. Guimarães , Aluisio I. R. Fontes , Joilson B. A. Rego , Allan de M. Martins
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