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We consider estimating the parameters of a Gaussian mixture density with a given number of components best representing a given set of weighted samples. We adopt a density interpretation of the samples by viewing them as a discrete Dirac…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-03 Daniel Frisch , Uwe D. Hanebeck

High dimensional Poisson regression has become a standard framework for the analysis of massive counts datasets. In this work we estimate the intensity function of the Poisson regression model by using a dictionary approach, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-30 S. Ivanoff , F. Picard , V. Rivoirard

In this paper, we introduce the notion of Gaussian processes indexed by probability density functions for extending the Mat\'ern family of covariance functions. We use some tools from information geometry to improve the efficiency and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-09 A. Fradi , Y. Feunteun , C. Samir , M. Baklouti , F. Bachoc , J-M. Loubes

Computational models of complex physical systems often rely on simplifying assumptions which inevitably introduce model error, with consequent predictive errors. Given data on model observables, the estimation of parameterized model-error…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Mridula Kuppa , Khachik Sargsyan , Marco Panesi , Habib N. Najm

Mixture models are a standard tool in statistical analyses, widely used for density modeling and model-based clustering. In this work, we propose a Bayesian mixture model with repulsion between mixture components. Such repulsion helps…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Hanxi Sun , Boqian Zhang , Minhyeok Kim , Vinayak Rao

The compound Poisson process and the Dirichlet process are the pillar structures of Renewal theory and Bayesian nonparametric theory, respectively. Both processes have many useful extensions to fulfill the practitioners needs to model the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-17 Arrigo Coen , Beatriz Godínez-Chaparro

By a mixture density is meant a density of the form $\pi_{\mu}(\cdot)=\int\pi_{\theta}(\cdot)\times\mu(d\theta)$, where $(\pi_{\theta})_{\theta\in\Theta}$ is a family of probability densities and $\mu$ is a probability measure on $\Theta$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 François Roueff , Tobias Rydén

Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models are an essential tool for analyzing count data. However, designing efficient algorithms to sample from the posterior distribution of the target parameters remains a challenging task for this class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Aldo Gardini , Fedele Greco , Carlo Trivisano

We present the Additive Poisson Process (APP), a novel framework that can model the higher-order interaction effects of the intensity functions in stochastic processes using lower dimensional projections. Our model combines the techniques…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-17 Simon Luo , Feng Zhou , Lamiae Azizi , Mahito Sugiyama

Asynchronous event sequence clustering aims to group similar event sequences in an unsupervised manner. Mixture models of temporal point processes have been proposed to solve this problem, but they often suffer from overfitting, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Yiwei Dong , Shaoxin Ye , Yuwen Cao , Qiyu Han , Hongteng Xu , Hanfang Yang

Bayesian statistical models allow us to formalise our knowledge about the world and reason about our uncertainty, but there is a need for better procedures to accurately encode its complexity. One way to do so is through compositional…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-01 Maria Lomeli

In this paper, we propose a nonparametric Bayesian approach for Lindsey and penalized Gaussian mixtures methods. We compare these methods with the Dirichlet process mixture model. Our approach is a Bayesian nonparametric method not based…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-30 Adel Bedoui , Ori Rosen

We provide general conditions to derive posterior concentration rates for Aalen counting processes. The conditions are designed to resemble those proposed in the literature for the problem of density estimation, for instance in Ghosal et…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-24 Sophie Donnet , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

Within Bayesian nonparametrics, dependent Dirichlet process mixture models provide a highly flexible approach for conducting inference about the conditional density function. However, several formulations of this class make either rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 María Xosé Rodríguez-Álvarez , Vanda Inácio , Nadja Klein

When random effects are correlated with sample design variables, the usual approach of employing individual survey weights (constructed to be inversely proportional to the unit survey inclusion probabilities) to form a pseudo-likelihood no…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Terrance D. Savitsky , Matthew R. Williams

Point processes are becoming very popular in modeling asynchronous sequential data due to their sound mathematical foundation and strength in modeling a variety of real-world phenomena. Currently, they are often characterized via intensity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-24 Shuai Xiao , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Xiaojing Ye , Junchi Yan , Le Song , Hongyuan Zha

We exploit a suitable moment-based characterization of the mixture of Poisson distribution for developing Bayesian inference for the unknown size of a finite population whose units are subject to multiple occurrences during an enumeration…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Danilo Alunni Fegatelli , Luca Tardella

This article develops an analytical framework for studying information divergences and likelihood ratios associated with Poisson processes and point patterns on general measurable spaces. The main results include explicit analytical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Lasse Leskelä

We study nonparametric Bayesian inference for the intensity function of a covariate-driven point process. We extend recent results from the literature, showing that a wide class of Gaussian priors, combined with flexible link functions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

Probabilistic neural networks are typically modeled with independent weight priors, which do not capture weight correlations in the prior and do not provide a parsimonious interface to express properties in function space. A desirable class…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-12 Theofanis Karaletsos , Thang D. Bui