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Related papers: Learning to Estimate Without Bias

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Regularized system identification has become a significant complement to more classical system identification. It has been numerically shown that kernel-based regularized estimators often perform better than the maximum likelihood estimator…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-18 Yue Ju , Bo Wahlberg , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Estimated uncertainty by approximate posteriors in Bayesian neural networks are prone to miscalibration, which leads to overconfident predictions in critical tasks that have a clear asymmetric cost or significant losses. Here, we extend the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Biraja Ghoshal , Allan Tucker

We present a novel deep learning method for estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov processes through discrete sampling. Departing from conventional machine learning, our approach reframes parameter approximation as an optimization…

The fundamental task of a digital receiver is to decide the transmitted symbols in the best possible way, i.e., with respect to an appropriately defined performance metric. Examples of usual performance metrics are the probability of error…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-03-19 Dimitrios Katselis , Cristian R. Rojas , Håkan Hjalmarsson , Mats Bengtsson , Mikael Skoglund

Implementing state estimation in low and medium voltage power distribution is still challenging given the scale of many networks and the reliance of traditional methods on a large number of measurements. This paper proposes a method to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Roel Dobbe , Werner van Westering , Stephan Liu , Daniel Arnold , Duncan Callaway , Claire Tomlin

Training deep generative models with maximum likelihood remains a challenge. The typical workaround is to use variational inference (VI) and maximize a lower bound to the log marginal likelihood of the data. Variational auto-encoders (VAEs)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-13 Adji B. Dieng , John Paisley

Deep latent variable models have become a popular model choice due to the scalable learning algorithms introduced by (Kingma & Welling, 2013; Rezende et al., 2014). These approaches maximize a variational lower bound on the intractable log…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 George Tucker , Dieterich Lawson , Shixiang Gu , Chris J. Maddison

Value-based reinforcement-learning algorithms have shown strong results in games, robotics, and other real-world applications. Overestimation bias is a known threat to those algorithms and can sometimes lead to dramatic performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Martin Waltz , Ostap Okhrin

This paper proposes a family of weighted batch means variance estimators, which are computationally efficient and can be conveniently applied in practice. The focus is on Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations and estimation of the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Ying Liu , James M. Flegal

We present a method for estimating conditionally Gaussian random vectors with random covariance matrices, which uses techniques from the field of machine learning. Such models are typical in communication systems, where the covariance…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-07 David Neumann , Thomas Wiese , Wolfgang Utschick

This is a brief tutorial on the least square estimation technique that is straightforward yet effective for parameter estimation. The tutorial is focused on the linear LSEs instead of nonlinear versions, since most nonlinear LSEs can be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-29 Qingrui Zhang

The two-level normal hierarchical model (NHM) has played a critical role in the theory of small area estimation (SAE), one of the growing areas in statistics with numerous applications in different disciplines. In this paper, we address…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Masayo Yoshimori Hirose , Partha Lahiri

The James-Stein estimator's dominance over maximum likelihood in terms of mean square error (MSE) has been one of the most celebrated results in modern statistics, suggesting that biased estimators can systematically outperform unbiased…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Paul W. Vos

We consider the problem of signal estimation in a generalized linear model (GLM). GLMs include many canonical problems in statistical estimation, such as linear regression, phase retrieval, and 1-bit compressed sensing. Recent work has…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Pablo Pascual Cobo , Kuan Hsieh , Ramji Venkataramanan

Biased stochastic estimators, such as finite-differences for noisy gradient estimation, often contain parameters that need to be properly chosen to balance impacts from the bias and the variance. While the optimal order of these parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-14 Henry Lam , Xinyu Zhang , Xuhui Zhang

We consider the problem of estimating a random state vector when there is information about the maximum distances between its subvectors. The estimation problem is posed in a Bayesian framework in which the minimum mean square error (MMSE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-30 Dave Zachariah , Isaac Skog , Magnus Jansson , Peter Händel

We consider the problem of designing minimax estimators for estimating the parameters of a probability distribution. Unlike classical approaches such as the MLE and minimum distance estimators, we consider an algorithmic approach for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-23 Kartik Gupta , Arun Sai Suggala , Adarsh Prasad , Praneeth Netrapalli , Pradeep Ravikumar

For analyzing unit-level multivariate data in small area estimation, we consider the multivariate nested error regression model (MNER) and provide the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) of a small area characteristic based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-27 Tsubasa Ito , Tatsuya Kubokawa

In this paper we consider the estimation of unknown parameters in Bayesian inverse problems. In most cases of practical interest, there are several barriers to performing such estimation, This includes a numerical approximation of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

Misclassification of binary responses, if ignored, may severely bias the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of regression parameters. For such data, a binary regression model incorporating misclassification probabilities is extensively…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Arindam Chatterjee , Tathagata Bandyopadhyay , Sumanta Adhya