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200 papers

Risk control and optimal diversification constitute a major focus in the finance and insurance industries as well as, more or less consciously, in our everyday life. We present a discussion of the characterization of risks and of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Didier Sornette

Value-at-Risk is one of the most popular risk management tools in the financial industry. Over the past 20 years several attempts to include VaR in the portfolio selection process have been proposed. However, using VaR as a risk measure in…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-19 Francesco Cesarone , Manuel L Martino , Fabio Tardella

The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Duy Khanh Lam

This paper addresses objectives tailored to the risk-averse optimization of accumulated rewards in Markov decision processes (MDPs). The studied objectives require maximizing the expected value of the accumulated rewards minus a penalty…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Christel Baier , Jakob Piribauer , Maximilian Starke

In this work, we study a dynamic portfolio optimization problem related to pairs trading, which is an investment strategy that matches a long position in one security with a short position in another security with similar characteristics.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-24 Sühan Altay , Katia Colaneri , Zehra Eksi

This paper considers mean-variance optimization under uncertainty, specifically when one desires a sparsified set of optimal portfolio weights. From the standpoint of a Bayesian investor, our approach produces a small portfolio from many…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-05 David Puelz , P. Richard Hahn , Carlos M. Carvalho

We study strategic interaction in data-driven games where players face uncertainty about payoff distributions inferred from finite samples. To model calibrated attitudes toward such uncertainty, we formulate distributionally robust games…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Bharat Gangwani , Arunesh Sinha

Utility and risk are two often competing measurements on the investment success. We show that efficient trade-off between these two measurements for investment portfolios happens, in general, on a convex curve in the two dimensional space…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-16 Stanislaus Maier-Paape , Qiji Jim Zhu

This article develops the theory of risk budgeting portfolios, when we would like to impose weight constraints. It appears that the mathematical problem is more complex than the traditional risk budgeting problem. The formulation of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-18 Jean-Charles Richard , Thierry Roncalli

We study in this paper the consequences of using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as a measure of quality for regression models. We prove the existence of an optimal MAPE model and we show the universal consistency of Empirical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-11 Arnaud De Myttenaere , Boris Golden , Bénédicte Le Grand , Fabrice Rossi

This paper extends the tactical asset allocation literature by incorporating regime modeling using techniques from machine learning. We propose a novel model that classifies current regimes, forecasts the distribution of future regimes, and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-24 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Dylan Sandfelder , André Fujita , Xiaowen Dong , Mihai Cucuringu

This paper presents how the most recent improvements made on covariance matrix estimation and model order selection can be applied to the portfolio optimisation problem. The particular case of the Maximum Variety Portfolio is treated but…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-03 Emmanuelle Jay , Eugénie Terreaux , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Frédéric Pascal

Mean-reverting behavior of individuals assets is widely known in financial markets. In fact, we can construct a portfolio that has mean-reverting behavior and use it in trading strategies to extract profits. In this paper, we show that we…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-26 Sung Min Yoon

We study in this paper the consequences of using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as a measure of quality for regression models. We show that finding the best model under the MAPE is equivalent to doing weighted Mean Absolute Error…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-16 Arnaud De Myttenaere , Boris Golden , Bénédicte Le Grand , Fabrice Rossi

This paper presents a comparative analysis of the performances of three portfolio optimization approaches. Three approaches of portfolio optimization that are considered in this work are the mean-variance portfolio (MVP), hierarchical risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Jaydip Sen , Aditya Jaiswal , Anshuman Pathak , Atish Kumar Majee , Kushagra Kumar , Manas Kumar Sarkar , Soubhik Maji

Diversification is a cornerstone of robust portfolio construction, yet its application remains fraught with challenges due to model uncertainty and estimation errors. Practitioners often rely on sophisticated, proprietary heuristics to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Florent Segonne

Traditional risk-adjusted returns, such as the Treynor, Sharpe, Sortino, and Information ratios, have been pivotal in portfolio asset allocation, focusing on minimizing risk while maximizing profit. Nevertheless, these metrics often fail to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-09 Ju-Hong Lee , Bayartsetseg Kalina , KwangTek Na

This paper considers the mean variance portfolio management problem. We examine portfolios which contain both primary and derivative securities. The challenge in this context is due to portfolio's nonlinearities. The delta-gamma…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-08 Yang Li , Traian A Pirvu

We extend Relative Robust Portfolio Optimisation models to allow portfolios to optimise their distance to a set of benchmarks. Portfolio managers are also given the option of computing regret in a way which is more in line with market…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-12 Gonçalo Simões , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Daniel Fenn , Raphael Hauser

The portfolio optimization problem in which the variances of the return rates of assets are not identical is analyzed in this paper using the methodology of statistical mechanical informatics, specifically, replica analysis. We define two…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-15 Takashi Shinzato