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We deliver the first analysis of the 2021 cold spell in Texas which combines temperature dependent load estimates with temperature dependent estimates of power plant outages to understand the frequency of loss of load events, using a 71…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-12 Katharina Gruber , Tobias Gauster , Peter Regner , Gregor Laaha , Johannes Schmidt

Threats against power grids continue to increase, as extreme weather conditions and natural disasters (extreme events) become more frequent. Hence, there is a need for the simulation and modeling of power grids to reflect realistic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-09 Sarmad Hanif , Monish Mukherjee , Shiva Poudel , Rohit A Jinsiwale , Min Gyung Yu , Trevor Hardy , Hayden Reeve

Unprecedented winter storms that hit across Texas in February 2021 have caused at least 69 deaths and 4.5 million customer interruptions due to the wide-ranging generation capacity outage and record-breaking electricity demand. While much…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-19 Dongqi Wu , Xiangtian Zheng , Yixing Xu , Daniel Olsen , Bainan Xia , Chanan Singh , Le Xie

In February 2021, an unprecedented winter storm swept across the U.S., severely affecting the Texas power grid, leading to more than 4.5 million customers' electricity service interruption. This paper assesses the load shedding experienced…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-29 Ali Menati , Le Xie

The Texan electric network in the Gulf Coast of the United States is frequently hit by Tropical Cyclones (TC) causing widespread power outages, a risk that is expected to substantially increase under global warming. Here, we introduce a new…

The failure of overhead transmission lines in the United States can lead to significant economic losses and widespread blackouts, affecting the lives of millions. This study focuses on the reliability of transmission lines, specifically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Prakash KC , Maryam Naghibolhosseini , Mohsen Zayernouri

Transmission lines, crucial to the power grid, are subjected to diverse environmental conditions such as wind, temperature, humidity, and pollution. While these conditions represent a consistent impact on the transmission lines, certain…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Prakash KC , Maryam Naghibolhosseini , Mohsen Zayernouri

Aggregated community-scale data could be harnessed to allow insights into the disparate impacts of managed power outages, burst pipes, and food inaccessibility during extreme weather events. During Winter Storm Uri in February 2021, Texas…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-27 Cheng-Chun Lee , Mikel Maron , Ali Mostafavi

Climate extremes, such as hurricanes, combined with large-scale integration of environment-sensitive renewables, could exacerbate the risk of widespread power outages. We introduce a coupled climate-energy model for cascading power outages,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-03 Luo Xu , Ning Lin , H. Vincent Poor , Dazhi Xi , A. T. D. Perera

The February 2021 Texas winter power outage has led to hundreds of deaths and billions of dollars in economic losses, largely due to the generation failure and record-breaking electric demand. In this paper, we study the scaling-up of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-02 Dongqi Wu , Xiangtian Zheng , Ali Menati , Lane Smith , Bainan Xia , Yixing Xu , Chanan Singh , Le Xie

This paper presents a comprehensive risk assessment model for power distribution networks with a focus on the influence of climate conditions and vegetation management on outage risks. Using a dataset comprising outage records,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-13 Di Zhao , Umar Salman , Zongjie Wang

This paper introduces a probabilistic framework to quantify community vulnerability towards power losses due to extreme weather events. To analyze the impact of weather events on the power grid, the wind fields of historical hurricanes from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Shishir Lamichhane , Charlotte Wertz , Sajjad Uddin Mahmud , Anamika Dubey

The reliability of energy systems is strongly influenced by the prevailing climate conditions. With the increasing prevalence of renewable energy sources, the interdependence between energy and climate systems has become even stronger. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-10 Xiangtian Zheng , Le Xie , Kiyeob Lee , Dan Fu , Jiahan Wu , Ping Chang

Modern society's reliance on power systems is at risk from the escalating effects of wind-related climate change. Yet, failure to identify the intricate relationship between wind-related climate risks and power systems could lead to serious…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-26 Jiaqi Ruan , Xiangrui Meng , Yifan Zhu , Gaoqi Liang , Xianzhuo Sun , Huayi Wu , Huijuan Xiao , Mengqian Lu , Pin Gao , Jiapeng Li , Wai-Kin Wong , Zhao Xu , Junhua Zhao

Power loss mechanisms in large wind farms are complex due to the multiscale nature of wind farm aerodynamics. Recent studies based on the two-scale momentum theory have brought new insights into this field; however, most of them have been…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-06 Takafumi Nishino , Amanda S. M. Smyth

Over the past years, the share of electricity production from wind power plants has increased to significant levels in several power systems across Europe and the United States. In order to cope with the fluctuating and partially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-19 Line Roald , Sidhant Misra , Michael Chertkov , Scott Backhaus , Göran Andersson

Ambitious decarbonisation targets are rapidly increasing the commission of new offshore wind farms. For these newly commissioned plants to run, accurate power forecasts are needed from the onset. These allow grid stability, good reserve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-27 Dominic Weisser , Chloé Hashimoto-Cullen , Benjamin Guedj

Wind energy significantly contributes to the global shift towards renewable energy, yet operational challenges, such as Leading-Edge Erosion on wind turbine blades, notably reduce energy output. This study introduces an advanced, scalable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-17 Emil Marcus Buchberg , Kent Vugs Nielsen

The transition from conventional methods of energy production to renewable energy production necessitates better prediction models of the upcoming supply of renewable energy. In wind power production, error in forecasting production is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Alagappan Swaminathan , Venkatakrishnan Sutharsan , Tamilselvi Selvaraj

This paper presents a novel learning based framework for predicting power outages caused by extreme events. The proposed approach targets low-probability high-consequence outage scenarios and leverages a comprehensive set of features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Nina Fatehi , Antar Kumar Biswas , Masoud H. Nazari
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