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Implicit sampling is a weighted sampling method that is used in data assimilation, where one sequentially updates estimates of the state of a stochastic model based on a stream of noisy or incomplete data. Here we describe how to use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Jon Wilkening , Alexandre J. Chorin

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a popular technique for performing inference in state-space models (SSMs), particularly when the dynamic process is high-dimensional. Unlike reweighting methods such as sequential Monte Carlo (SMC, i.e.…

Kalman filtering is a classic state estimation technique used in application areas such as signal processing and autonomous control of vehicles. It is now being used to solve problems in computer systems such as controlling the voltage and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-01 Yan Pei , Swarnendu Biswas , Donald S. Fussell , Keshav Pingali

Data assimilation provides a systematic framework for combining dynamical models with partial and noisy observations to infer the evolving state of a system. In this work, we undertake a comparative study of Data Assimilation with Transfer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Emanuele Donno , Giovanni Conti , Paolo Oddo , Silvio Gualdi , Luca Mainetti , Giovanni Aloisio

We adapt a previously introduced continuous in time data assimilation (downscaling) algorithm for the 2D Navier-Stokes equations to the more realistic case when the measurements are obtained discretely in time and may be contaminated by…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Ciprian Foias , Cecilia F. Mondaini , Edriss S. Titi

We propose a new variational inference algorithm for learning in Gaussian Process State-Space Models (GPSSMs). Our algorithm enables learning of unstable and partially observable systems, where previous algorithms fail. Our main algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Silvan Melchior , Sebastian Curi , Felix Berkenkamp , Andreas Krause

Data assimilation is the task to combine evolution models and observational data in order to produce reliable predictions. In this paper, we focus on ensemble-based recursive data assimilation problems. Our main contribution is a hybrid…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-02-26 Nawinda Chustagulprom , Sebastian Reich , Maria Reinhardt

The accuracy of simulation-based forecasting in chaotic systems is heavily dependent on high-quality estimates of the system state at the time the forecast is initialized. Data assimilation methods are used to infer these initial conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Michael McCabe , Jed Brown

Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

This paper provides a unified perspective of iterative ensemble Kalman methods, a family of derivative-free algorithms for parameter reconstruction and other related tasks. We identify, compare and develop three subfamilies of ensemble…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Neil K. Chada , Yuming Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

We present a convolution-based data assimilation method tailored to neuronal electrophysiology, addressing the limitations of traditional value-based synchronization approaches. While conventional methods rely on nudging terms and pointwise…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-16 Dawei Li , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) is a widely used method for data assimilation in high-dimensional systems, with an ensemble update step equivalent to an empirical version of the Matheron update popular in Gaussian process regression -- a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Dan MacKinlay

In recent years, machine learning (ML) has been proposed to devise data-driven parametrisations of unresolved processes in dynamical numerical models. In most cases, the ML training leverages high-resolution simulations to provide a dense,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-09 Julien Brajard , Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino

Flood simulation and forecast capability have been greatly improved thanks to advances in data assimilation (DA) strategies incorporating various types of observations; many are derived from spatial Earth Observation. This paper focuses on…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-30 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Sophie Ricci , Andrea Piacentini , Ehouarn Simon , Raquel Rodriguez Suquet , Santiago Peña Luque

This work introduces a new, distributed implementation of the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) that allows for non-sequential assimilation of large datasets in high-dimensional problems. The traditional EnKF algorithm is computationally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-23 Cédric Travelletti , Jörg Franke , David Ginsbourger , Stefan Brönnimann

Recent studies have demonstrated improved skill in numerical weather prediction via the use of spatially correlated observation error covariance information in data assimilation systems. In this case, the observation weighting matrices…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Guannan Hu , Sarah L. Dance

Supervised statistical classification is a vital tool for satellite image processing. It is useful not only when a discrete result, such as feature extraction or surface type, is required, but also for continuum retrievals by dividing the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-02-05 Peter Mills

The reconstruction of the dynamics of an observed physical system as a surrogate model has been brought to the fore by recent advances in machine learning. To deal with partial and noisy observations in that endeavor, machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-06 Marc Bocquet , Alban Farchi , Quentin Malartic

In this paper, we address the problem of convergence of sequential variational inference filter (VIF) through the application of a robust variational objective and Hinf-norm based correction for a linear Gaussian system. As the dimension of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-28 Niladri Das , Jed A. Duersch , Thomas A. Catanach

Many dynamical systems are difficult or impossible to model using high fidelity physics based models. Consequently, researchers are relying more on data driven models to make predictions and forecasts. Based on limited training data,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-09 Max M. Chumley , Firas A. Khasawneh