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Accurate and reliable forecasting of renewable energy generation is crucial for the efficient integration of renewable sources into the power grid. In particular, probabilistic forecasts are becoming essential for managing the intrinsic…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-12 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

The system operator's scheduling problem in electricity markets, called unit commitment, is a non-convex mixed-integer program. The optimal value function is non-convex, preventing the application of traditional marginal pricing theory to…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-03 Conleigh Byers , Brent Eldridge

This paper proposes a risk-averse approach to energy storage price arbitrage, leveraging conformal uncertainty quantification for electricity price predictions. The method addresses the significant challenges posed by the inherent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Saud Alghumayjan , Ming Yi , Bolun Xu

Unexpected advertising items in sponsored search may reduce users' reliance on organic search, resulting in hidden cost for the e-commerce platform. To address this problem and promote sustainable growth, we propose a dynamic reserve price…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Mang Li

We address the problem of computing reliable policies in reinforcement learning problems with limited data. In particular, we compute policies that achieve good returns with high confidence when deployed. This objective, known as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Bahram Behzadian , Reazul Hasan Russel , Marek Petrik , Chin Pang Ho

We study a seller who sells a single good to multiple bidders with uncertainty over the joint distribution of bidders' valuations, as well as bidders' higher-order beliefs about their opponents. The seller only knows the (possibly…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-02-16 Ethan Che

Integrating renewable energy into the modern power grid requires risk-cognizant dispatch of resources to account for the stochastic availability of renewables. Toward this goal, day-ahead stochastic market clearing with high-penetration…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Yu Zhang , Georgios B. Giannakis

This paper considers the reliability problem in energy-only markets. Following widespread blackouts in 2011, Texas introduced a reliability price incentive to attract two GW of net additional natural gas-generating capacity. The incentive…

General Economics · Economics 2024-06-25 Devin Mounts , Robin M. Cross

We present modeling and analysis of day-ahead spatio-temporal energy markets in which each competitive aggregator aims at making the highest profit by managing a complex mixture of different energy resources, such as conventional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Takayuki Ishizaki , Masakazu Koike , Nobuyuki Yamaguchi , Yuzuru Ueda , Jun-ichi Imura

Storage is expected to be a critical source of firming in low-carbon grids. A common concern raised from ex-post assessments is that storage resources can fail to respond to strong price signals during times of scarcity. While commonly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-20 Ogun Yurdakul , Farhad Billimoria

The paper investigates stochastic resource allocation problems with scarce, reusable resources and non-preemtive, time-dependent, interconnected tasks. This approach is a natural generalization of several standard resource management…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Balázs Csanád Csáji , László Monostori

The energetic flexibility of electric energy resources can be exploited when trading on wholesale energy and ancillary service markets. This paper considers the problem of a Balance Responsible Party to maximize its profit from trading on…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-12 Fabian L. Müller , Stefan Woerner , John Lygeros

This paper proposes a novel framework to price energy storage in economic dispatch with a social welfare maximization objective. This framework can be utilized by power system operators to generate default bids for storage or to benchmark…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-08 Ning Qi , Ningkun Zheng , Bolun Xu

We propose an enhancement to wholesale electricity markets whereby the exposure of consumers to increasingly large and volatile consumer payments arising as a byproduct of volatile real-time net loads -- i.e., loads minus renewable outputs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-13 Daniel Bienstock , Yury Dvorkin , Cheng Guo , Robert Mieth , Jiayi Wang

We present a two stage auction mechanism that renewable generators (or aggregators) could use to allocate renewable energy among LSEs. The auction is conducted day- ahead. LSEs submit bids specifying their valuation per unit, as well as…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-01 Nathan Dahlin , Rahul Jain

As the penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) increases, harnessing their flexibility becomes critical for power system operations. Virtual power plants (VPPs) offer a promising solution. However, most existing scheduling tools…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-30 Lorenzo Zapparoli , Paul Fäth , Blazhe Gjorgiev , Giovanni Sansavini

The short-term forecasting of real-time locational marginal price (LMP) and network congestion is considered from a system operator perspective. A new probabilistic forecasting technique is proposed based on a multiparametric programming…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-28 Yuting Ji , Robert J. Thomas , Lang Tong

Ride-sharing is a modern urban-mobility paradigm with tremendous potential in reducing congestion and pollution. Demand-aware design is a promising avenue for addressing a critical challenge in ride-sharing systems, namely joint…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Qiulin Lin , Wenjie Xu , Minghua Chen , Xiaojun Lin

Resource adequacy studies typically use standard metrics such as Loss of Load Expectation and Expected Energy Unserved to quantify the risk of supply shortfalls. This paper critiques present approaches to adequacy assessment and capacity…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-13 Chris J. Dent , Nestor Sanchez , Aditi Shevni , Jim Q. Smith , Amy L. Wilson , Xuewen Yu

Large penetration of renewable energy sources (RESs) brings huge uncertainty into the electricity markets. The current deterministic clearing approach in the day-ahead (DA) market, where RESs participate based on expected production, has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-07 Yufan Zhang , Honglin Wen , Yuexin Bian , Yuanyuan Shi