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Interpreting critical variables involved in complex biological processes related to survival time can help understand prediction from survival models, evaluate treatment efficacy, and develop new therapies for patients. Currently, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Xinxing Wu , Chong Peng , Richard Charnigo , Qiang Cheng

This paper proposes a modelling strategy to infer the impact of a covariate on the dependence structure of right-censored clustered event time data. The joint survival function of the event times is modelled using a parametric conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-07 Candida Geerdens , Elif Fidan Acar , Paul Janssen

In many longitudinal settings, time-varying covariates may not be measured at the same time as responses and are often prone to measurement error. Naive last-observation-carried-forward methods incur estimation biases, and existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-10 Xinyue Chang , Yehua Li , Yi Li

Predicting risks of chronic diseases has become increasingly important in clinical practice. When a prediction model is developed in a given source cohort, there is often a great interest to apply the model to other cohorts. However, due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-05 Zheng Jiayin , Zheng Yingye , Hsu Li

A survival dataset describes a set of instances (e.g. patients) and provides, for each, either the time until an event (e.g. death), or the censoring time (e.g. when lost to follow-up - which is a lower bound on the time until the event).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Ali Hossein Gharari Foomani , Michael Cooper , Russell Greiner , Rahul G. Krishnan

In longitudinal studies, time-varying covariates are often endogenous, meaning their values depend on both their own history and that of the outcome variable. This violates key assumptions of Generalized Linear Mixed Effects Models (GLMMs),…

We develop scalable randomized kernel methods for jointly associating data from multiple sources and simultaneously predicting an outcome or classifying a unit into one of two or more classes. The proposed methods model nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Sandra E. Safo , Han Lu

The cause-specific cumulative incidence function (CIF) quantifies the subject-specific disease risk with competing risk outcome. With longitudinally collected biomarker data, it is of interest to dynamically update the predicted CIF by…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-14 Cai Wu , Liang Li , Ruosha Li

Accurate prediction of time-to-event outcomes is critical for clinical decision-making, treatment planning, and resource allocation in modern healthcare. While classical survival models such as Cox remain widely adopted in standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Marina Mastroleo , Alberto Archetti , Federico Mastroleo , Matteo Matteucci

Identification of biomarkers is an emerging area in Oncology. In this article, we develop an efficient statistical procedure for classification of protein markers according to their effect on cancer progression. A high-dimensional…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-08 Souvik Banerjee , Gajendra K. Vishwakarma , Atanu Bhattacharjee

Machine learning applications for longitudinal electronic health records often forecast the risk of events at fixed time points, whereas survival analysis achieves dynamic risk prediction by estimating time-to-event distributions. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Munib Mesinovic , Peter Watkinson , Tingting Zhu

Survival analysis has become a standard approach for modelling time to default by time-varying covariates in credit risk. Unlike most existing methods that implicitly assume a stationary data-generating process, in practise, mortgage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-29 Jianwei Peng , Stefan Lessmann

This work presents the first large-scale neutral benchmark experiment focused on single-event, right-censored, low-dimensional survival data. Benchmark experiments are essential in methodological research to scientifically compare new and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Lukas Burk , John Zobolas , Bernd Bischl , Andreas Bender , Marvin N. Wright , Raphael Sonabend

Period-prevalent cohorts are often used for their cost-saving potential in epidemiological studies of survival outcomes. Under this design, prevalent patients allow for evaluations of long-term survival outcomes without the need for long…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Nicholas Hartman

Objective: In randomized clinical trials, prediction models can be used to explore the relationships between patients' variables (e.g., clinical, pathological, or lifestyle variables, and also biomarker or genomic data) and treatment effect…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-03 Elvire Roblin , Paul-Henry Cournède , Stefan Michiels

Risk prediction capitalizing on emerging human genome findings holds great promise for new prediction and prevention strategies. While the large amounts of genetic data generated from high-throughput technologies offer us a unique…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-29 Xiaoxi Shen , Xiaoran Tong , Qing Lu

Many applications involve reasoning about time durations before a critical event happens--also called time-to-event outcomes. When will a customer cancel a subscription, a coma patient wake up, or a convicted criminal reoffend?…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-03 George H. Chen

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential in survival prediction, particularly in clinical settings where erroneous decisions carry high risk. Conformal prediction has attracted substantial attention as it offers a model-agnostic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-04 Jaeyoung Shin , Chi Hyun Lee , Sangwook Kang

Joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is usually described by a joint model which uses shared or correlated latent effects to capture associations between the two processes. Under this framework, the joint distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-07 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

A common concern in observational studies focuses on properly evaluating the causal effect, which usually refers to the average treatment effect or the average treatment effect on the treated. In this paper, we propose a data preprocessing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-12 Xialing Wen , Ying Yan , Wenliang Pan , Xianyang Zhang