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Calibrated uncertainty estimates in machine learning are crucial to many fields such as autonomous vehicles, medicine, and weather and climate forecasting. While there is extensive literature on uncertainty calibration for classification,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Eric Zelikman , Christopher Healy , Sharon Zhou , Anand Avati

We consider the problem of uncertainty estimation in the context of (non-Bayesian) deep neural classification. In this context, all known methods are based on extracting uncertainty signals from a trained network optimized to solve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Yonatan Geifman , Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

Rigid image alignment is a fundamental task in computer vision, while the traditional algorithms are either too sensitive to noise or time-consuming. Recent unsupervised image alignment methods developed based on spatial transformer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Yu-Xuan Chen , Dagan Feng , Hong-Bin Shen

In monocular depth estimation, disturbances in the image context, like moving objects or reflecting materials, can easily lead to erroneous predictions. For that reason, uncertainty estimates for each pixel are necessary, in particular for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Julia Hornauer , Vasileios Belagiannis

Many important computer vision applications are naturally formulated as regression problems. Within medical imaging, accurate regression models have the potential to automate various tasks, helping to lower costs and improve patient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

Deep learning has achieved impressive performance on many tasks in recent years. However, it has been found that it is still not enough for deep neural networks to provide only point estimates. For high-risk tasks, we need to assess the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Yuandu Lai , Yucheng Shi , Yahong Han , Yunfeng Shao , Meiyu Qi , Bingshuai Li

Neural Radiance Fields (NeRF) has become a popular framework for learning implicit 3D representations and addressing different tasks such as novel-view synthesis or depth-map estimation. However, in downstream applications where decisions…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Jianxiong Shen , Adria Ruiz , Antonio Agudo , Francesc Moreno-Noguer

While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

In this paper, we show how uncertainty estimation can be leveraged to enable safety critical image segmentation in autonomous driving, by triggering a fallback behavior if a target accuracy cannot be guaranteed. We introduce a new…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-31 Victor Besnier , David Picard , Alexandre Briot

Prognostics or Remaining Useful Life (RUL) Estimation from multi-sensor time series data is useful to enable condition-based maintenance and ensure high operational availability of equipment. We propose a novel deep learning based approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Vishnu TV , Diksha , Pankaj Malhotra , Lovekesh Vig , Gautam Shroff

Behavior of deep neural networks can be inconsistent between different versions. Regressions during model update are a common cause of concern that often over-weigh the benefits in accuracy or efficiency gain. This work focuses on…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Yuqing Xie , Yi-an Lai , Yuanjun Xiong , Yi Zhang , Stefano Soatto

Although Gaussian processes (GPs) with deep kernels have been successfully used for meta-learning in regression tasks, its uncertainty estimation performance can be poor. We propose a meta-learning method for calibrating deep kernel GPs for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-14 Tomoharu Iwata , Atsutoshi Kumagai

Numerous deep learning applications benefit from multi-task learning with multiple regression and classification objectives. In this paper we make the observation that the performance of such systems is strongly dependent on the relative…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-04-25 Alex Kendall , Yarin Gal , Roberto Cipolla

As Deep Learning continues to yield successful applications in Computer Vision, the ability to quantify all forms of uncertainty is a paramount requirement for its safe and reliable deployment in the real-world. In this work, we leverage…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Eduardo D C Carvalho , Ronald Clark , Andrea Nicastro , Paul H J Kelly

Generating high quality uncertainty estimates for sequential regression, particularly deep recurrent networks, remains a challenging and open problem. Existing approaches often make restrictive assumptions (such as stationarity) yet still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Jiri Navratil , Matthew Arnold , Benjamin Elder

Semantic segmentation is a fundamental computer vision task with a vast number of applications. State of the art methods increasingly rely on deep learning models, known to incorrectly estimate uncertainty and being overconfident in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Luís Almeida , Inês Dutra , Francesco Renna

Uncertainty quantification is an important and challenging problem in deep learning. Previous methods rely on dropout layers which are not present in modern deep architectures or batch normalization which is sensitive to batch sizes. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Lukasz Wandzik , Raul Vicente Garcia , Jörg Krüger

We propose a new formulation of robust regression by integrating all realizations of the uncertainty set and taking an averaged approach to obtain the optimal solution for the ordinary least squares regression problem. We show that this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Dimitris Bertsimas , Yu Ma

Meta-learning is widely used in few-shot classification and function regression due to its ability to quickly adapt to unseen tasks. However, it has not yet been well explored on regression tasks with high dimensional inputs such as images.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Ning Gao , Hanna Ziesche , Ngo Anh Vien , Michael Volpp , Gerhard Neumann

Uncertainty estimation is an essential step in the evaluation of the robustness for deep learning models in computer vision, especially when applied in risk-sensitive areas. However, most state-of-the-art deep learning models either fail to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Lu Mi , Hao Wang , Yonglong Tian , Hao He , Nir Shavit