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We study numerical methods for sampling probability measures in high dimension where the underlying model is only approximately identified with a gradient system. Extended stochastic dynamical methods are discussed which have application to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Benedict Leimkuhler , Xiaocheng Shang

One of the most important object properties that humans and robots perceive through touch is hardness. This paper investigates information-theoretic active sampling strategies for sample-efficient hardness classification with vision-based…

We derive concentration inequalities for maxima of empirical processes associated with Poisson point processes. The proofs are based on a careful application of Ledoux's entropy method. We demonstrate the utility of the obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Martin Kroll

The frequentist definition of sensitivity of a search for new phenomena proposed in arXiv:0308063 has been utilized in a number of published experimental searches. In most cases, the simple approximate formula for the common problem of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-11-25 Giovanni Punzi

We view the locations and times of a collection of crime events as a space-time point pattern. So, with either a nonhomogeneous Poisson process or with a more general Cox process, we need to specify a space-time intensity. For the latter,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-29 Shinichiro Shirota , Alan E. Gelfand

Aggregated data is commonplace in areas such as epidemiology and demography. For example, census data for a population is usually given as averages defined over time periods or spatial resolutions (cities, regions or countries). In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-20 Fariba Yousefi , Michael Thomas Smith , Mauricio A. Álvarez

The posterior variance of Gaussian processes is a valuable measure of the learning error which is exploited in various applications such as safe reinforcement learning and control design. However, suitable analysis of the posterior variance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

We consider a modification of the covariance function in Gaussian processes to correctly account for known linear constraints. By modelling the target function as a transformation of an underlying function, the constraints are explicitly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-20 Carl Jidling , Niklas Wahlström , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

The log Gaussian Cox process is a flexible class of point pattern models for capturing spatial and spatio-temporal dependence for point patterns. Model fitting requires approximation of stochastic integrals which is implemented through…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-04 Shinichiro Shirota , Alan E. Gelfand

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Simon Arridge , Kazufumi Ito , Bangti Jin , Chen Zhang

Many functions have approximately-known upper and/or lower bounds, potentially aiding the modeling of such functions. In this paper, we introduce Gaussian process models for functions where such bounds are (approximately) known. More…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Vu Nguyen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Michael A. Osborne

Complex Langevin dynamics can be used to perform numerical simulations of theories with a complex action. In order to justify the procedure, it is important to understand the properties of the real and positive distribution, which is…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2013-09-13 Pietro Giudice , Gert Aarts , Erhard Seiler

Diffusion models have been recently studied as powerful generative inverse problem solvers, owing to their high quality reconstructions and the ease of combining existing iterative solvers. However, most works focus on solving simple linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-06 Hyungjin Chung , Jeongsol Kim , Michael T. Mccann , Marc L. Klasky , Jong Chul Ye

This paper investigates the detection and estimation of a single change in high-dimensional linear models. We derive minimax lower bounds for the detection boundary and the estimation rate, which uncover a phase transition governed by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Haeran Cho , Housen Li

This paper is concerned with Bayesian inferential methods for data from controlled branching processes that account for model robustness through the use of disparities. Under regularity conditions, we establish that estimators built on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-19 M. González , C. Minuesa , I. del Puerto , A. N. Vidyashankar

This paper investigates gradient-based adaptive prediction and control for nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems under a weak convexity condition on the prediction-based loss. This condition accommodates a broad range of nonlinear models…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-13 Yujing Liu , Xin Zheng , Zhixin Liu , Lei Guo

Point processes offer a versatile framework for sequential event modeling. However, the computational challenges and constrained representational power of the existing point process models have impeded their potential for wider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Zheng Dong , Zekai Fan , Shixiang Zhu

We show that bootstrap methods based on the positivity of probability measures provide a systematic framework for studying both synchronous and asynchronous nonequilibrium stochastic processes on infinite lattices. First, we formulate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-12 Minjae Cho

Using the linear Gaussian latent variable model as a starting point we relax some of the constraints it imposes by deriving a nonparametric latent feature Gaussian variable model. This model introduces additional discrete latent variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Adam Farooq , Yordan P. Raykov , Luc Evers , Max A. Little

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li