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Many real-world ubiquitous applications, such as parking recommendations and air pollution monitoring, benefit significantly from accurate long-term spatio-temporal forecasting (LSTF). LSTF makes use of long-term dependency between spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Wei Shao , Zhiling Jin , Shuo Wang , Yufan Kang , Xiao Xiao , Hamid Menouar , Zhaofeng Zhang , Junshan Zhang , Flora Salim

Host load prediction is the basic decision information for managing the computing resources usage on the cloud platform, its accuracy is critical for achieving the servicelevel agreement. Host load data in cloud environment is more high…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-31 Hengheng Shen , Xuehai Hong

Estimating value-at-risk on time series data with possibly heteroscedastic dynamics is a highly challenging task. Typically, we face a small data problem in combination with a high degree of non-linearity, causing difficulties for both…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-22 Weronika Ormaniec , Marcin Pitera , Sajad Safarveisi , Thorsten Schmidt

By significant improvements in modern electrical systems, planning for unit commitment and power dispatching of them are two big concerns between the researchers. Short-term load forecasting plays a significant role in planning and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-01 Kasun Chandrarathna , Arman Edalati , AhmadReza Fourozan tabar

Off-the-shelf machine learning algorithms for prediction such as regularized logistic regression cannot exploit the information of time-varying features without previously using an aggregation procedure of such sequential data. However,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-26 C. Gary Mena , Arno De Caigny , Kristof Coussement , Koen W. De Bock , Stefan Lessmann

State-of-the-art forecasting methods using Recurrent Neural Net- works (RNN) based on Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) cells have shown exceptional performance targeting short-horizon forecasts, e.g given a set of predictor features, forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-19 Aya Abdelsalam Ismail , Timothy Wood , Héctor Corrada Bravo

Accurately predicting line loss rates is vital for effective line loss management in distribution networks, especially over short-term multi-horizons ranging from one hour to one week. In this study, we propose Attention-GCN-LSTM, a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Jie Liu , Yijia Cao , Yong Li , Yixiu Guo , Wei Deng

This study investigates the performance of machine learning models in forecasting electricity Day-Ahead Market (DAM) prices using short historical training windows, with a focus on detecting seasonal trends and price spikes. We evaluate…

This paper investigates the application of machine learning models, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), one-dimensional Convolutional Neural Networks (1D CNN), and Logistic Regression (LR), for predicting stock trends based on fundamental…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 John Phan , Hung-Fu Chang

Accurate load forecasting remains a formidable challenge in numerous sectors, given the intricate dynamics of dynamic power systems, which often defy conventional statistical models. As a response, time-series methodologies like ARIMA and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Anuvab Sen , Vedica Gupta , Chi Tang

The evaluation of the financial markets to predict their behaviour have been attempted using a number of approaches, to make smart and profitable investment decisions. Owing to the highly non-linear trends and inter-dependencies, it is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-02 Shaswat Mohanty , Anirudh Vijay , Nandagopan Gopakumar

Accurately forecasting power outages is a complex task influenced by diverse factors such as weather conditions [1], vegetation, wildlife, and load fluctuations. These factors introduce substantial variability and noise into outage data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Subhabrata Das , Bodruzzaman Khan , Xiao-Yang Liu

Predicting the demand for electricity with uncertainty helps in planning and operation of the grid to provide reliable supply of power to the consumers. Machine learning (ML)-based demand forecasting approaches can be categorized into (1)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-15 Yiwei Fu , Nurali Virani , Honggang Wang

Electric consumption prediction methods are investigated for many reasons such as decision-making related to energy efficiency as well as for anticipating demand in the energy market dynamics. The objective of the present work is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Davi Guimarães da Silva , Anderson Alvarenga de Moura Meneses

The prediction of high-resolution hourly traffic volumes of a given roadway is essential for transportation planning. Traditionally, Automatic Traffic Recorders (ATR) are used to collect this hourly volume data. These large datasets are…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-26 MD Zadid Khan , Sakib Mahmud Khan , Mashrur Chowdhury , Kakan Dey

Renewable energy adoption has increased significantly over the past few years. However, with the increasing adoption of renewable energy, forecasting the net load has become a major challenge due to the inherent uncertainty associated with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Oluwafolajimi Samuel Bolusteve , Linhan Fang , Xingpeng Li

Prognostics or Remaining Useful Life (RUL) Estimation from multi-sensor time series data is useful to enable condition-based maintenance and ensure high operational availability of equipment. We propose a novel deep learning based approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Vishnu TV , Diksha , Pankaj Malhotra , Lovekesh Vig , Gautam Shroff

In this paper, statistical machine learning algorithms, as well as deep neural networks, are used to predict the values of the price gap between day-ahead and real-time electricity markets. Several exogenous features are collected and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-24 Nika Nizharadze , Arash Farokhi Soofi , Saeed D. Manshadi

Accurate household short-term energy consumption forecasting (STECF) is crucial for home energy management, but it is technically challenging, due to highly random behaviors of individual residential users. To improve the accuracy of STECF…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-16 Heyang Yu , Yuxi Sun , Yintao Liu , Guangchao Geng , Quanyuan Jiang

As global fossil fuel reserves diminish, there's a growing impetus for nations to transition towards renewable energy sources. Sri Lanka, for instance, aims to generate 70% of its electricity from renewable sources by 2030. Achieving this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-04 Anushka Bandara , Sahan Siriwardena , Akila Wijethunge , Janaka Ekanayake