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Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Matteo Maggiolo , Gerasimos Spanakis

Normalizing flows and autoregressive models have been successfully combined to produce state-of-the-art results in density estimation, via Masked Autoregressive Flows (MAF), and to accelerate state-of-the-art WaveNet-based speech synthesis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-04 Chin-Wei Huang , David Krueger , Alexandre Lacoste , Aaron Courville

Neural Algorithmic Reasoning (NAR) trains neural networks to simulate classical algorithms, enabling structured and interpretable reasoning over complex data. While prior research has predominantly focused on learning exact algorithms for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Yu He , Ellen Vitercik

Neural processes are a family of models which use neural networks to directly parametrise a map from data sets to predictions. Directly parametrising this map enables the use of expressive neural networks in small-data problems where neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-20 Wessel P. Bruinsma

We propose a first-order autoregressive (i.e. AR(1)) model for dynamic network processes in which edges change over time while nodes remain unchanged. The model depicts the dynamic changes explicitly. It also facilitates simple and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Binyan Jiang , Jailing Li , Qiwei Yao

This paper studies some temporal dependence properties and addresses the issue of parametric estimation for a class of state-dependent autoregressive models for nonlinear time series in which we assume a stochastic autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Fabio Gobbi , Sabrina Mulinacci

Sparse linear regression is a fundamental tool in data analysis. However, traditional approaches often fall short when covariates exhibit structure or arise from heterogeneous sources. In biomedical applications, covariates may stem from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 William R. P. Denault

We propose a multiscale approach to time series autoregression, in which linear regressors for the process in question include features of its own path that live on multiple timescales. We take these multiscale features to be the recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Rafal Baranowski , Yining Chen , Piotr Fryzlewicz

In economic and financial applications, there is often the need for analysing multivariate time series, comprising of time series for a range of quantities. In some applications such complex systems can be associated with some underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-27 Anastasia Mantziou , Mihai Cucuringu , Victor Meirinhos , Gesine Reinert

We consider a distributed estimation method in a setting with heterogeneous streams of correlated data distributed across nodes in a network. In the considered approach, linear models are estimated locally (i.e., with only local data)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Lingzhou Hong , Alfredo Garcia , Ceyhun Eksin

While considerable advances have been made in estimating high-dimensional structured models from independent data using Lasso-type models, limited progress has been made for settings when the samples are dependent. We consider estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Igor Melnyk , Arindam Banerjee

We propose a generic confidence-based approximation that can be plugged in and simplify the auto-regressive generation process with a proved convergence. We first assume that the priors of future samples can be generated in an independently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 YoungJoon Yoo , Sanghyuk Chun , Sangdoo Yun , Jung-Woo Ha , Jaejun Yoo

In this paper we present a new framework for time-series modeling that combines the best of traditional statistical models and neural networks. We focus on time-series with long-range dependencies, needed for monitoring fine granularity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Oskar Triebe , Nikolay Laptev , Ram Rajagopal

Multiple-subject network data are fast emerging in recent years, where a separate connectivity matrix is measured over a common set of nodes for each individual subject, along with subject covariates information. In this article, we propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-23 Jingfei Zhang , Will Wei Sun , Lexin Li

Deep neural networks have revolutionized many fields, but their black-box nature also occasionally prevents their wider adoption in fields such as healthcare and finance, where interpretable and explainable models are required. The recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Wei Zhang , Brian Barr , John Paisley

Autoregressive models are among the best performing neural density estimators. We describe an approach for increasing the flexibility of an autoregressive model, based on modelling the random numbers that the model uses internally when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-15 George Papamakarios , Theo Pavlakou , Iain Murray

Linear regression on network-linked observations has been an essential tool in modeling the relationship between response and covariates with additional network structures. Previous methods either lack inference tools or rely on restrictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-22 Can M. Le , Tianxi Li

A threshold autoregressive (TAR) model is a powerful tool for analyzing nonlinear multivariate time series, which includes special cases like self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) models and vector autoregressive (VAR) models. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-07 L. H. Vanegas , S. A. Calderón , L. M. Rondón

Learning to generate neural network parameters conditioned on task descriptions and architecture specifications is pivotal for advancing model adaptability and transfer learning. Existing methods especially those based on diffusion models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Soro Bedionita , Bruno Andreis , Song Chong , Sung Ju Hwang

Non-autoregressive (NAR) text generation has attracted much attention in the field of natural language processing, which greatly reduces the inference latency but has to sacrifice the generation accuracy. Recently, diffusion models, a class…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Yifan Li , Kun Zhou , Wayne Xin Zhao , Ji-Rong Wen