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High-dimensional time series are characterized by a large number of measurements and complex dependence, and often involve abrupt change points. We propose a new procedure to detect change points in the mean of high-dimensional time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Jun Li , Minya Xu , Ping-Shou Zhong , Lingjun Li

In this paper, we revisit the computation of controlled invariant sets for linear discrete-time systems through a trajectory-based viewpoint. We begin by introducing the notion of convex feasible points, which provides a new…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Emmanuel Junior Wafo Wembe , Adnane Saoud

Machine learning (ML) applications have been thriving recently, largely attributed to the increasing availability of data. However, inconsistency and incomplete information are ubiquitous in real-world datasets, and their impact on ML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-13 Bojan Karlaš , Peng Li , Renzhi Wu , Nezihe Merve Gürel , Xu Chu , Wentao Wu , Ce Zhang

Safe deployment of deep neural networks in high-stake real-world applications requires theoretically sound uncertainty quantification. Conformal prediction (CP) is a principled framework for uncertainty quantification of deep models in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Subhankar Ghosh , Taha Belkhouja , Yan Yan , Janardhan Rao Doppa

Precise estimation of predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks is a critical requirement for reliable decision-making in machine learning and statistical modeling, particularly in the context of medical AI. Conformal Prediction (CP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Hamed Karimi , Reza Samavi

Detecting changepoints in datasets with many variates is a data science challenge of increasing importance. Motivated by the problem of detecting changes in the incidence of terrorism from a global terrorism database, we propose a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 S. O. Tickle , I. A. Eckley , P. Fearnhead

We consider change-point estimation in a sequence of high-dimensional signals given noisy observations. Classical approaches to this problem such as the filtered derivative method are useful for sequences of scalar-valued signals, but they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-08 Yong Sheng Soh , Venkat Chandrasekaran

This manuscript makes two contributions to the field of change-point detection. In a generalchange-point setting, we provide a generic algorithm for aggregating local homogeneity testsinto an estimator of change-points in a time series.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-09 Emmanuel Pilliat , Alexandra Carpentier , Nicolas Verzelen

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

We consider sequential change-point detection in parallel data streams, where each stream has its own change point. Once a change is detected in a data stream, this stream is deactivated permanently. The goal is to maximize the normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-15 Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li

This paper investigates change point inference in high-dimensional time series. We begin by introducing a max-$L_2$-norm based test procedure, which demonstrates strong performance under dense alternatives. We then establish the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-04 Xiaoyi Wang , Jixuan Liu , Long Feng

Many real-world time series, such as in health, have changepoints where the system's structure or parameters change. Since changepoints can indicate critical events such as onset of illness, it is highly important to detect them. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Zahra Ebrahimzadeh , Min Zheng , Selcuk Karakas , Samantha Kleinberg

Researchers faced with a sequence of candidate model specifications must often choose the best specification that does not violate a testable identification assumption. One option in this scenario is sequential specification tests:…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-25 Adam C. Sales

Conformal prediction (CP) is a wrapper around traditional machine learning models, giving coverage guarantees under the sole assumption of exchangeability; in classification problems, for a chosen significance level $\varepsilon$, CP…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Javier Abad , Umang Bhatt , Adrian Weller , Giovanni Cherubin

We propose a probabilistic formulation that enables sequential detection of multiple change points in a network setting. We present a class of sequential detection rules for certain functionals of change points (minimum among a subset), and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-09 Arash Ali Amini , XuanLong Nguyen

A simultaneous change-point detection and estimation in a piece-wise constant model is a common task in modern statistics. If, in addition, the whole estimation can be performed automatically, in just one single step without going through…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Gabriela Ciuperca , Matúš Maciak

Sequences of random objects arise from many real applications, including high throughput omic data and functional imaging data. Those sequences are usually dependent, non-linear, or even Non-Euclidean, and an important problem is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-28 Xueqin Wang , Qiang Zhang , Wenliang Pan , Xin Chen , Heping Zhang

The aim of online change-point detection is for a accurate, timely discovery of structural breaks. As data dimension outgrows the number of data in observation, online detection becomes challenging. Existing methods typically test only the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-17 Yang-Wen Sun , Katerina Papagiannouli , Vladimir Spokoiny

This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in the joint distribution of independent categorical variables. The procedures introduced rely on model selection and are based on a penalized least-squares criterion.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-08 Nathalie Akakpo

We consider the problem of breakpoint detection in a regression modeling framework. To that end, we introduce a novel method, the max-EM algorithm which combines a constrained Hidden Markov Model with the Classification-EM (CEM) algorithm.…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-14 Modibo Diabaté , Grégory Nuel , Olivier Bouaziz