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Change-point detection studies the problem of detecting the changes in the underlying distribution of the data stream as soon as possible after the change happens. Modern large-scale, high-dimensional, and complex streaming data call for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Haoyun Wang , Yao Xie

In change-point analysis, one aims at finding the locations of abrupt distributional changes (if any) in a sequence of multivariate observations. In this article, we propose some nonparametric methods based on averages of pairwise distances…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Spandan Ghoshal , Bilol Banerjee , Anil K. Ghosh

This paper considers the problems of detecting a change point and estimating the location in the correlation matrices of a sequence of high-dimensional vectors, where the dimension is large enough to be comparable to the sample size or even…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Zhaoyuan Li , Jie Gao

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification in change point regressions, where the signal can be piecewise polynomial of arbitrary but fixed degree. That is we seek disjoint intervals which, uniformly at a given confidence level,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-12 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Piotr Fryzlewicz

Identifying change points (CPs) in a time series is crucial to guide better decision making across various fields like finance and healthcare and facilitating timely responses to potential risks or opportunities. Existing Change Point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Kopal Garg , Jennifer Yu , Tina Behrouzi , Sana Tonekaboni , Anna Goldenberg

Change-point detection and locally stationary time series modeling are two major approaches for the analysis of non-stationary data. The former aims to identify stationary phases by detecting abrupt changes in the dynamics of a time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Wai Leong Ng , Xinyi Tang , Mun Lau Cheung , Jiacheng Gao , Chun Yip Yau , Holger Dette

Change point detection (CPD) and anomaly detection (AD) are essential techniques in various fields to identify abrupt changes or abnormal data instances. However, existing methods are often constrained to univariate data, face scalability…

Change point estimation in its offline version is traditionally performed by optimizing over the data set of interest, by considering each data point as the true location parameter and computing a data fit criterion. Subsequently, the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Zhiyuan Lu , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

When one observes a sequence of variables $(x_1, y_1), \ldots, (x_n, y_n)$, Conformal Prediction (CP) is a methodology that allows to estimate a confidence set for $y_{n+1}$ given $x_{n+1}$ by merely assuming that the distribution of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Eugene Ndiaye

There are many research works and methods about change point detection in the literature. However, there are only a few that provide inference for such change points after being estimated. This work mainly focuses on a statistical analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Reza Valiollahi Mehrizi , Shojaeddin Chenouri

Several statistical approaches based on reproducing kernels have been proposed to detect abrupt changes arising in the full distribution of the observations and not only in the mean or variance. Some of these approaches enjoy good…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-13 Alain Celisse , Guillemette Marot , Morgane Pierre-Jean , Guillem Rigaill

Changepoint detection methods are used in many areas of science and engineering, e.g., in the analysis of copy number variation data, to detect abnormalities in copy numbers along the genome. Despite the broad array of available tools,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 Sangwon Hyun , Kevin Lin , Max G'Sell , Ryan J. Tibshirani

In multiple change-point problems, different data segments often follow different distributions, for which the changes may occur in the mean, scale or the entire distribution from one segment to another. Without the need to know the number…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-29 Changliang Zou , Guosheng Yin , Long Feng , Zhaojun Wang

This paper develops a novel change point identification method for high-dimensional data using random projections. By projecting high-dimensional time series into a one-dimensional space, we are able to leverage the rich literature for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Yi Xu , Yeonwoo Rho

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

Large volumes of spatiotemporal data, characterized by high spatial and temporal variability, may experience structural changes over time. Unlike traditional change-point problems, each sequence in this context consists of function-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-12 Fengyi Song , Decai Liang , Changliang Zou

We consider the problem of detecting multiple changepoints in large data sets. Our focus is on applications where the number of changepoints will increase as we collect more data: for example in genetics as we analyse larger regions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 R. Killick , P. Fearnhead , I. A. Eckley

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Change-point detection (CPD) aims to detect abrupt changes over time series data. Intuitively, effective CPD over multivariate time series should require explicit modeling of the dependencies across input variables. However, existing CPD…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Ruohong Zhang , Yu Hao , Donghan Yu , Wei-Cheng Chang , Guokun Lai , Yiming Yang

Without imposing prior distributional knowledge underlying multivariate time series of interest, we propose a nonparametric change-point detection approach to estimate the number of change points and their locations along the temporal axis.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh