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We developed a solar flare prediction model using a deep neural network (DNN), named Deep Flare Net (DeFN). The model can calculate the probability of flares occurring in the following 24 h in each active region, which is used to determine…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-23 Naoto Nishizuka , Komei Sugiura , Yuki Kubo , Mitsue Den , Mamoru Ishii

AI-FLARES (Artificial Intelligence for the Analysis of Solar Flares Data) is a research project funded by the Agenzia Spaziale Italiana and by the Istituto Nazionale di Astrofisica within the framework of the ``Attivit\`a di Studio per la…

Artificial intelligence is projected to increase U.S. data centre power demand beyond 100 gigawatt by 2035 and global demand toward 1 terrawatt. In response, companies and governments have proposed placing computing infrastructure in…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-01 Geoffrey W. Marcy

In analyses of rare-events, regardless of the domain of application, class-imbalance issue is intrinsic. Although the challenges are known to data experts, their explicit impact on the analytic and the decisions made based on the findings…

A hybrid two-stage machine learning architecture that addresses the problem of excessive false positives (false alarms) in solar flare prediction systems is investigated. The first stage is a convolutional neural network (CNN) model based…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-09 Varad Deshmukh , Natasha Flyer , Kiera Van Der Sande , Thomas Berger

Strong solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are prone to originate within and near active regions (ARs) with a high magnetic complexity. Therefore, to better understand the generation mechanism of flares and the resultant CME…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-26 Shin Toriumi

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were discovered in the early 1970s when space-borne coronagraphs revealed that eruptions of plasma are ejected from the Sun. Today, it is known that the Sun produces eruptive flares, filament eruptions, coronal…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-14 Lucie Green , Tibor Torok , Bojan Vrsnak , Ward Manchester , Astrid Veronig

Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs) are an important aspect of space weather. SEP events posses a high destructive potential, since they may cause disruptions of communication systems on Earth and be fatal to crew members onboard spacecrafts…

Space Physics · Physics 2018-09-05 D. Borovikov , I. V. Sokolov , I. Roussev , A. Taktakishvili , T. I. Gombosi

Ahead-of-time forecasting of incident solar-irradiance on a panel is indicative of expected energy yield and is essential for efficient grid distribution and planning. Traditionally, these forecasts are based on meteorological physics…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-16 Talha A. Siddiqui , Samarth Bharadwaj , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman

The sudden release of magnetic energy on the Sun drives powerful solar flares and coronal mass ejections. The key issue is the difficulty in predicting the occurrence time and location of strong solar eruptions, i.e., those leading to the…

A deep learning model is often considered a black-box model, as its internal workings tend to be opaque to the user. Because of the lack of transparency, it is challenging to understand the reasoning behind the model's predictions. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Adam O. Rawashdeh , Jason T. L. Wang , Katherine G. Herbert

Many questions must be answered before understanding the relationship between the emerging magnetic flux through the solar surface and the extreme geoeffective events. The main ingredients for getting X-ray class flares and large…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-22 Brigitte Schmieder , Jinhan Guo , Guillaume Aulanier , Anwesha Maharana , Stefaan Poedts

The numerous recent breakthroughs in machine learning (ML) make imperative to carefully ponder how the scientific community can benefit from a technology that, although not necessarily new, is today living its golden age. This Grand…

Space Physics · Physics 2019-10-02 Enrico Camporeale

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are huge expulsions of magnetized matter from the Sun and stars, traversing space with speeds of millions of kilometers per hour. Solar CMEs can cause severe space weather disturbances and consumer power…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-10-26 Astrid M. Veronig , Petra Odert , Martin Leitzinger , Karin Dissauer , Nikolaus C. Fleck , Hugh S. Hudson

Solar magnetic activity produces extreme solar flares and coronal mass ejections, which pose grave threats to electronic infrastructure and can significantly disrupt economic activity. It is therefore important to appreciate the triggers of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-09 Dattaraj B. Dhuri , Shamik Bhattacharjee , Shravan M. Hanasoge , Sashi Kiran Mahapatra

Whilst the most dynamic solar active regions (ARs) are known to flare frequently, predicting the occurrence of individual flares and their magnitude, is very much a developing field with strong potentials for machine learning applications.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-16 M. B. Korsos , R. Erdelyi , J. Liu , H. Morgan

Machine learning (ML) is a revolutionary technology with demonstrable applications across multiple disciplines. Within the Earth science community, ML has been most visible for weather forecasting, producing forecasts that rival modern…

Solar flares are occasionally responsible for severe Space Weather events, which can affect space-borne and ground-based infrastructures, endangering anthropic technological activities and even human health and safety. Thus, an essential…

Solar flares are due to the catastrophic release of magnetic energy in the Sun's corona, resulting in plasma heating, mass motions, particle acceleration, and radiation emitted from radio to $\gamma$-ray wavelengths. They are associated…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-10-16 Dale E. Gary , Timothy S. Bastian , Bin Chen , Gregory D. Fleishman , Lindsay Glesener

Solar events, such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and solar flares, heat up the upper atmosphere and near-Earth space environment. Due to this heating and expansion of the outer atmosphere by the energetic ultraviolet, X-ray and particles…

Space Physics · Physics 2013-05-02 Victor U. J. Nwankwo , Sandip K. Chakrabarti