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Multiple hypothesis testing is a core problem in statistical inference and arises in almost every scientific field. Given a set of null hypotheses $\mathcal{H}(n) = (H_1,\dotsc, H_n)$, Benjamini and Hochberg introduced the false discovery…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-10 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

We study how to efficiently estimate average treatment effects (ATEs) using adaptive experiments. In adaptive experiments, experimenters sequentially assign treatments to experimental units while updating treatment assignment probabilities…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-21 Masahiro Kato , Takuya Ishihara , Junya Honda , Yusuke Narita

The simultaneous analysis of many statistical tests is ubiquitous in applications. Perhaps the most popular error rate used for avoiding type one error inflation is the false discovery rate (FDR). However, most theoretical and software…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-04 Guillermo Durand , Florian Junge , Sebastian Döhler , Etienne Roquain

The steep rise in availability and usage of high-throughput technologies in biology brought with it a clear need for methods to control the False Discovery Rate (FDR) in multiple tests. Benjamini and Hochberg (BH) introduced in 1995 a…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-11 Amit Zeisel , Or Zuk , Eytan Domany

We consider the problem of partial identification, the estimation of bounds on the treatment effects from observational data. Although studied using discrete treatment variables or in specific causal graphs (e.g., instrumental variables),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Vahid Balazadeh , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Rahul G. Krishnan

We consider the problem of estimating the effects of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome of interest from observational data in the absence of confounding by unmeasured factors. We provide a new estimator of the population average…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 James Robins , Mariela Sued , Quanhong Lei-Gomez , Andrea Rotnitzky

Multiple hypothesis testing is a fundamental problem in high dimensional inference, with wide applications in many scientific fields. In genome-wide association studies, tens of thousands of tests are performed simultaneously to find if any…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-16 Jianqing Fan , Xu Han , Weijie Gu

Consider the online testing of a stream of hypotheses where a real--time decision must be made before the next data point arrives. The error rate is required to be controlled at {all} decision points. Conventional \emph{simultaneous testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-03 Bowen Gang , Wenguang Sun , Weinan Wang

The false discovery rate (FDR)---the expected fraction of spurious discoveries among all the discoveries---provides a popular statistical assessment of the reproducibility of scientific studies in various disciplines. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-10 Weijie Su , Junyang Qian , Linxi Liu

Variable selection has been widely used in data analysis for the past decades, and it becomes increasingly important in the Big Data era as there are usually hundreds of variables available in a dataset. To enhance interpretability of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-17 Yuxiang Xie , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

In an A/B test, the typical objective is to measure the total average treatment effect (TATE), which measures the difference between the average outcome if all users were treated and the average outcome if all users were untreated. However,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-28 David Holtz , Sinan Aral

One important partition of algorithms for controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) in multiple testing is into offline and online algorithms. The first generally achieve significantly higher power of discovery, while the latter allow…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Tijana Zrnic , Daniel L. Jiang , Aaditya Ramdas , Michael I. Jordan

In this article, we propose a generalized weighted version of the well-known Benjamini-Hochberg (BH) procedure. The rigorous weighting scheme used by our method enables it to encode structural information from simultaneous multi-way…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Shinjini Nandi , Sanat K. Sarkar

We propose an alternative framework to existing setups for controlling false alarms when multiple A/B tests are run over time. This setup arises in many practical applications, e.g. when pharmaceutical companies test new treatment options…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-21 Fanny Yang , Aaditya Ramdas , Kevin Jamieson , Martin J. Wainwright

Online controlled experiments play a crucial role in enabling data-driven decisions across a wide range of companies. Variance reduction is an effective technique to improve the sensitivity of experiments, achieving higher statistical power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Hao Zhou , Kun Sun , Shaoming Li , Yangfeng Fan , Guibin Jiang , Jiaqi Zheng , Tao Li

In the context of multiple hypotheses testing, the proportion $\pi_0$ of true null hypotheses in the pool of hypotheses to test often plays a crucial role, although it is generally unknown a priori. A testing procedure using an implicit or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-17 Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

In this work we study an adaptive step-down procedure for testing $m$ hypotheses. It stems from the repeated use of the false discovery rate controlling the linear step-up procedure (sometimes called BH), and makes use of the critical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-01 Yulia Gavrilov , Yoav Benjamini , Sanat K. Sarkar

Major internet companies routinely perform tens of thousands of A/B tests each year. Such large-scale sequential experimentation has resulted in a recent spurt of new algorithms that can provably control the false discovery rate (FDR) in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-06 Jinjin Tian , Aaditya Ramdas

In large scale multiple testing problems, a two-class empirical Bayes approach can be used to control the false discovery rate (Fdr) for the entire array of hypotheses under study. A sample splitting step is incorporated to modify that…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-13 Paramita Chakraborty , Chong Ma , John Grego , James Lynch

To effectively optimize and personalize treatments, it is necessary to investigate the heterogeneity of treatment effects. With the wide range of users being treated over many online controlled experiments, the typical approach of manually…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 John Cai , Weinan Wang