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We present a scheme for sequential decision making with a risk-sensitive objective and constraints in a dynamic environment. A neural network is trained as an approximator of the mapping from parameter space to space of risk and policy with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-10 Shuai Ma , Jia Yuan Yu , Ahmet Satir

Spatio-temporal trajectory analytics is at the core of smart mobility solutions, which offers unprecedented information for diversified applications such as urban planning, infrastructure development, and vehicular networks. Trajectory…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-03-20 Danlei Hu , Lu Chen , Hanxi Fang , Ziquan Fang , Tianyi Li , Yunjun Gao

Stochastic simulators are increasingly used to expand the frontier of scientific knowledge and inform decision-making across real-world contexts. Simulator calibration, a process by which internal model inputs are tuned to match some…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-25 David O'Gara , Arindam Fadikar , Mickaël Binois , Nicholson Collier , Jonathan Ozik

This survey is focused on certain sequential decision-making problems that involve optimizing over probability functions. We discuss the relevance of these problems for learning and control. The survey is organized around a framework that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-13 Emiland Garrabe , Giovanni Russo

Discontinuities can be fairly arbitrary but also cause a significant impact on outcomes in larger systems. Indeed, their arbitrariness is why they have been used to infer causal relationships among variables in numerous settings. Regression…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Ibtihal Ferwana , Suyoung Park , Ting-Yi Wu , Lav R. Varshney

Optimization under uncertainty and risk is indispensable in many practical situations. Our paper addresses stability of optimization problems using composite risk functionals which are subjected to measure perturbations. Our main focus is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Darinka Dentcheva , Yang Lin , Spiridon Penev

This work addresses the problem of predicting the motion trajectories of dynamic objects in the environment. Recent advances in predicting motion patterns often rely on machine learning techniques to extrapolate motion patterns from…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Weiming Zhi , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

We show that bootstrap methods based on the positivity of probability measures provide a systematic framework for studying both synchronous and asynchronous nonequilibrium stochastic processes on infinite lattices. First, we formulate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-12 Minjae Cho

Moment-based distributionally robust optimization (DRO) provides an optimization framework to integrate statistical information with traditional optimization approaches. Under this framework, one assumes that the underlying joint…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Shiyi Jiang , Jianqiang Cheng , Kai Pan , Zuo-Jun Max Shen

In this paper, we compare three different model-based risk measures by evaluating their stengths and weaknesses qualitatively and testing them quantitatively on a set of real longitudinal and intersection scenarios. We start with the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Julian Eggert , Tim Puphal

Dimensionality reduction methods are an essential tool for multidimensional data analysis, and many interesting processes can be studied as time-dependent multivariate datasets. There are, however, few studies and proposals that leverage on…

Graphics · Computer Science 2020-02-19 E. F. Vernier , R. Garcia , I. P. da Silva , J. L. D. Comba , A. C. Telea

Importance sampling of trajectories has proved a uniquely successful strategy for exploring rare dynamical behaviors of complex systems in an unbiased way. Carrying out this sampling, however, requires an ability to propose changes to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-01 Todd R. Gingrich , Phillip L. Geissler

The present article explores the application of randomized control techniques in empirical asset pricing and performance evaluation. It introduces geometric random walks, a class of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, to construct flexible…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-04 Cyril Bachelard , Apostolos Chalkis , Vissarion Fisikopoulos , Elias Tsigaridas

Trajectory optimization (TO) is an efficient tool to generate a redundant manipulator's joint trajectory following a 6-dimensional Cartesian path. The optimization performance largely depends on the quality of initial trajectories. However,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Minsung Yoon , Mincheul Kang , Daehyung Park , Sung-Eui Yoon

In this paper, we develop a novel unified methodology for performance and robustness analysis of linear dynamical networks. We introduce the notion of systemic measures for the class of first--order linear consensus networks. We classify…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Milad Siami , Nader Motee

We introduce a variational algorithm to estimate the likelihood of a rare event within a nonequilibrium molecular dynamics simulation through the evaluation of an optimal control force. Optimization of a control force within a chosen basis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-14 Avishek Das , David T. Limmer

Forecasting the future trajectories of surrounding agents is crucial for autonomous vehicles to ensure safe, efficient, and comfortable route planning. While model ensembling has improved prediction accuracy in various fields, its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Aron Distelzweig , Eitan Kosman , Andreas Look , Faris Janjoš , Denesh K. Manivannan , Abhinav Valada

This paper addresses the importance of incorporating various risk measures in portfolio management and proposes a dynamic hybrid portfolio optimization model that combines the spectral risk measure and the Value-at-Risk in the mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-12 Weiping Wu , Yu Lin , Jianjun Gao , Ke Zhou

In this paper, we consider the gradual-impulse control problem of continuous-time Markov decision processes, where the system performance is measured by the expectation of the exponential utility of the total cost. We prove, under very…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-16 Xin Guo , Aiko Kurushima , Alexey Piunovskiy , Yi Zhang

For a sequence of dynamic optimization problems, we aim at discussing a notion of consistency over time. This notion can be informally introduced as follows. At the very first time step $t_0$, the decision maker formulates an optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-05-21 Pierre Carpentier , Jean-Philippe Chancelier , Guy Cohen , Michel De Lara , Pierre Girardeau