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Multivariate time series data suffer from the problem of missing values, which hinders the application of many analytical methods. To achieve the accurate imputation of these missing values, exploiting inter-correlation by employing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Kohei Obata , Koki Kawabata , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

We provide an online framework for analyzing data recorded by smart watches during running activities. In particular, we focus on identifying variations in the behavior of one or more measurements caused by changes in physical condition,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-24 Mattia Stival , Mauro Bernardi , Petros Dellaportas

We present a distribution-free CUSUM procedure designed for online change detection in a time series of low-rank images, particularly when the change causes a mean shift. We represent images as matrix data and allow for temporal dependence,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 Tingnan Gong , Seong-Hee Kim , Yao Xie

Fine-grained time series data are crucial for accurate and timely online change detection. While both collective anomalies and change points can coexist in such data, their joint online detection has received limited attention. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-11 Xian Chen , Weichi Wu

This paper explores the estimation of a panel data model with cross-sectional interaction that is flexible both in its approach to specifying the network of connections between cross-sectional units, and in controlling for unobserved…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-23 Ayden Higgins , Federico Martellosio

This paper is concerned with the estimation of time-varying networks for high-dimensional nonstationary time series. Two types of dynamic behaviors are considered: structural breaks (i.e., abrupt change points) and smooth changes. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Mengyu Xu , Xiaohui Chen , Wei Biao Wu

Missing value imputation is crucial for real-world data science workflows. Imputation is harder in the online setting, as it requires the imputation method itself to be able to evolve over time. For practical applications, imputation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Yuxuan Zhao , Eric Landgrebe , Eliot Shekhtman , Madeleine Udell

The theory of network identification, namely identifying the (weighted) interaction topology among a known number of agents, has been widely developed for linear agents. However, the theory for nonlinear agents using probing inputs is far…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Miel Sharf , Daniel Zelazo

High-dimensional streaming data are becoming increasingly ubiquitous in many fields. They often lie in multiple low-dimensional subspaces, and the manifold structures may change abruptly on the time scale due to pattern shift or occurrence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-13 Ruiyu Xu , Jianguo Wu , Xiaowei Yue , Yongxiang Li

Trajectory prediction plays a crucial role in autonomous driving. Existing mainstream research and continuoual learning-based methods all require training on complete datasets, leading to poor prediction accuracy when sudden changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Pengfei Yao , Tianlu Mao , Min Shi , Jingkai Sun , Zhaoqi Wang

We propose an algorithm for nonparametric online change point detection based on sequential score function estimation and the tracking the best expert approach. The core of the procedure is a version of the fixed share forecaster tailored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Anna Markovich , Nikita Puchkin

Anomaly detection is an essential task in the analysis of dynamic networks, offering early warnings of abnormal behavior. We present a principled approach to detect anomalies in dynamic networks that integrates community structure as a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Hadiseh Safdari , Caterina De Bacco

A method for change point detection is proposed. We consider a univariate sequence of independent random variables with piecewise constant expectation and variance, apart from which the distribution may vary periodically. We aim to detect…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-23 Michael Messer

We propose a new framework for the detection of change-points in online, sequential data analysis. The approach utilizes nearest neighbor information and can be applied to sequences of multivariate observations or non-Euclidean data…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Hao Chen

Dynamic networks have intrinsic structural, computational, and multidisciplinary advantages. Link prediction estimates the next relationship in dynamic networks. However, in the current link prediction approaches, only bipartite or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Mohamoud Ali , Yugyung Lee , Praveen Rao

The problem of quickest detection of dynamic events in networks is studied. At some unknown time, an event occurs, and a number of nodes in the network are affected by the event, in that they undergo a change in the statistics of their…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-18 Shaofeng Zou , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Jian Li , Don Towsley

Change-point detection methods are proposed for the case of temporary failures, or transient changes, when an unexpected disorder is ultimately followed by a readjustment and return to the initial state. A base distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Baron Michael , Malov Sergey

We consider the detection and localization of change points in the distribution of an offline sequence of observations. Based on a nonparametric framework that uses a similarity graph among observations, we propose new test statistics when…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Lizhen Nie , Dan L. Nicolae

Network point processes often exhibit latent structure that govern the behaviour of the sub-processes. It is not always reasonable to assume that this latent structure is static, and detecting when and how this driving structure changes is…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-14 Joshua Corneck , Edward A. K. Cohen , James S. Martin , Francesco Sanna Passino

We introduce a new approach for decoupling trends (drift) and changepoints (shifts) in time series. Our locally adaptive model-based approach for robustly decoupling combines Bayesian trend filtering and machine learning based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Haoxuan Wu , Toryn L. J. Schafer , Sean Ryan , David S. Matteson