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A method is developed to calculate collision probability in this paper. Based on the encounter geometric features of space objects, it is reasonable to separate the radial orbital motions from that in the cross section for most encounter…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 Xiaoli Xu , Yongqing Xiong

Estimating the probability of collision between spacecraft is crucial for risk management and collision-avoidance strategies. Current methods often rely on Gaussian assumptions and simplifications, which can be inaccurate in highly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-22 Théo Verhelst , Giacomo Acciarini , Dario Izzo , Francesco Biscani

Probabilistic collision detection (PCD) is essential in motion planning for robots operating in unstructured environments, where considering sensing uncertainty helps prevent damage. Existing PCD methods mainly used simplified geometric…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Xiaoli Wang , Sipu Ruan , Xin Meng , Gregory Chirikjian

We present an optimization-based method to plan the motion of an autonomous robot under the uncertainties associated with dynamic obstacles, such as humans. Our method bounds the marginal risk of collisions at each point in time by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-24 O. de Groot , B. Brito , L. Ferranti , D. Gavrila , J. Alonso-Mora

Collision avoidance in the presence of dynamic obstacles in unknown environments is one of the most critical challenges for unmanned systems. In this paper, we present a method that identifies obstacles in terms of ellipsoids to estimate…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Mehmetcan Kaymaz , Nazim Kemal Ure

Characterizing the risk of operations is a fundamental requirement in robotics, and a crucial ingredient of safe planning. The problem is multifaceted, with multiple definitions arising in the vast recent literature fitting different…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Lorenzo Paiola , Giorgio Grioli , Antonio Bicchi

This paper presents a new multi-query motion planning algorithm for linear Gaussian systems with the goal of reaching a Euclidean ball with high probability. We develop a new formulation for ball-shaped ambiguity sets of Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Alex Rose , Naman Aggarwal , Christopher Jewison , Jonathan P. How

We consider the problem of trajectory planning in an environment comprised of a set of obstacles with uncertain locations. While previous approaches model the uncertainties with a prescribed Gaussian distribution, we consider the realistic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Vasileios Lefkopoulos , Maryam Kamgarpour

This paper addresses the problem of planning a safe (i.e., collision-free) trajectory from an initial state to a goal region when the obstacle space is a-priori unknown and is incrementally revealed online, e.g., through line-of-sight…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-04-17 Lucas Janson , Tommy Hu , Marco Pavone

Many motion planning algorithms for automated driving require estimating the probability of collision (POC) to account for uncertainties in the measurement and estimation of the motion of road users. Common POC estimation techniques often…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Leon Tolksdorf , Arturo Tejada , Christian Birkner , Nathan van de Wouw

We present a novel approach for motion planning in mobile robotics under sensing and motion uncertainty based on state lattices with graduated fidelity. The probability of collision is reliably estimated considering the robot shape, and the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Adrián González-Sieira , Manuel Mucientes , Alberto Bugarín

If we give a robot the task of moving an object from its current position to another location in an unknown environment, the robot must explore the map, identify all types of obstacles, and then determine the best route to complete the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Saeid Alirezazadeh , Luís A. Alexandre

This paper presents a distributed method for robots moving in rigid formations while ensuring probabilistic collision avoidance between the robots. The formation is parametrised through the transformation of a base configuration. The robots…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Jeppe Heini Mikkelsen , Vit Kratky , Roberto Galeazzi , Martin Saska , Matteo Fumagalli

We tackle the problem of trajectory planning in an environment comprised of a set of obstacles with uncertain time-varying locations. The uncertainties are modeled using widely accepted Gaussian distributions, resulting in a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-16 Vasileios Lefkopoulos , Maryam Kamgarpour

To control how a robot moves, motion planning algorithms must compute paths in high-dimensional state spaces while accounting for physical constraints related to motors and joints, generating smooth and stable motions, avoiding obstacles,…

We address the risk bounded trajectory optimization problem of stochastic nonlinear robotic systems. More precisely, we consider the motion planning problem in which the robot has stochastic nonlinear dynamics and uncertain initial…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Weiqiao Han , Ashkan Jasour , Brian Williams

Accurate trajectory prediction is critical for safe autonomous navigation in crowded environments. While many trajectory predictors output Gaussian distributions to represent the multi-modal distribution over future pedestrian positions,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Fatemeh Cheraghi Pouria , Mahsa Golchoubian , Katherine Driggs-Campbell

Uncertain dynamic obstacles, such as pedestrians or vehicles, pose a major challenge for optimal robot navigation with safety guarantees. Previous work on motion planning has followed two main strategies to provide a safe bound on an…

Motion planning at urban intersections that accounts for the situation context, handles occlusions, and deals with measurement and prediction uncertainty is a major challenge on the way to urban automated driving. In this work, we address…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Johannes Müller , Jan Strohbeck , Martin Herrmann , Michael Buchholz

Safety is a critical concern for the success of urban air mobility, especially in dynamic and uncertain environments. This paper proposes a path planning algorithm based on RRT in conjunction with chance constraints in the presence of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Pengcheng Wu , Lin Li , Junfei Xie , Jun Chen