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For a stochastic difference equation $D_n=A_nD_{n-1}+B_n$ which stabilises upon time we study tail distribution asymptotics of $D_n$ under the assumption that the distribution of $\log(1+|A_1|+|B_1|)$ is heavy-tailed, that is, all its…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Dmitry Korshunov

We investigate the right tail behavior of a certain class of GMC ratios, reminiscent of H\"older's inequality. We start with a heuristic argument to justify the optimal exponent in the tail estimate. Since Kahane's convexity inequality does…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Yulai Huang

We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

We study the asymptotic tail probability of the first-passage time over a moving boundary for a random walk conditioned to return to zero, where the increments of the random walk have finite variance. Typically, the asymptotic tail behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-09 Fiona Sloothaak , Vitali Wachtel , Bert Zwart

In this paper, we consider the problem of linear regression with heavy-tailed distributions. Different from previous studies that use the squared loss to measure the performance, we choose the absolute loss, which is capable of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-26 Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Robust Bayesian methods for high-dimensional regression problems under diverse sparse regimes are studied. Traditional shrinkage priors are primarily designed to detect a handful of signals from tens of thousands of predictors in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-25 Se Yoon Lee , Peng Zhao , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick

Lost sales inventory models with large lead times, which arise in many practical settings, are notoriously difficult to optimize due to the curse of dimensionality. In this paper we show that when lead times are large, a very simple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-05 David A. Goldberg , Dmitriy A. Katz-Rogozhnikov , Yingdong Lu , Mayank Sharma , Mark S. Squillante

We revisit the problem of stochastic online learning with feedback graphs, with the goal of devising algorithms that are optimal, up to constants, both asymptotically and in finite time. We show that, surprisingly, the notion of optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Teodor V. Marinov , Mehryar Mohri , Julian Zimmert

Suboptimal methods in optimal control arise due to a limited computational budget, unknown system dynamics, or a short prediction window among other reasons. Although these methods are ubiquitous, their transient performance remains…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-08 Aren Karapetyan , Efe C. Balta , Andrea Iannelli , John Lygeros

For a multiclass G/G/1 queue with finite buffers, admission and scheduling control, and holding and rejection costs, we construct a policy that is asymptotically optimal in the heavy traffic limit. The policy is specified in terms of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-23 Rami Atar , Mark Shifrin

For a GI/GI/1 queue, we show that the average sojourn time under the (blind) Randomized Multilevel Feedback algorithm is no worse than that under the Shortest Remaining Processing Time algorithm times a logarithmic function of the system…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Nikhil Bansal , Bart Kamphorst , Bert Zwart

The full potential of large pretrained models remains largely untapped in control domains like robotics. This is mainly because of the scarcity of data and the computational challenges associated with training or fine-tuning these large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Zuxin Liu , Jesse Zhang , Kavosh Asadi , Yao Liu , Ding Zhao , Shoham Sabach , Rasool Fakoor

Learning the tail behavior of a distribution is a notoriously difficult problem. By definition, the number of samples from the tail is small, and deep generative models, such as normalizing flows, tend to concentrate on learning the body of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Mike Laszkiewicz , Johannes Lederer , Asja Fischer

We present upper and lower bounds for the tail distribution of the stationary waiting time $D$ in the stable $GI/GI/s$ FCFS queue. These bounds depend on the value of the traffic load $\rho$ which is the ratio of mean service and mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov

The study of tail behaviour of SGD-induced processes has been attracting a lot of interest, due to offering strong guarantees with respect to individual runs of an algorithm. While many works provide high-probability guarantees, quantifying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Aleksandar Armacki , Dragana Bajović , Dušan Jakovetić , Soummya Kar , Ali H. Sayed

By using a probabilistic technique based on the exponential change of measure we find a precise tail asymptotic behavior of some perpetuities with distributions close to the Dickman distribution.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Alexander Iksanov , Oleh Iksanov

We consider a multi-class G/G/1 queue with a finite shared buffer. There is task admission and server scheduling control which aims to minimize the cost which consists of holding and rejection components. We construct a policy that is…

Performance · Computer Science 2015-08-31 Mark Shifrin

Inference-time alignment effectively steers large language models (LLMs) by generating multiple candidates from a reference model and selecting among them with an imperfect reward model. However, current strategies face a fundamental…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Hsiang Hsu , Eric Lei , Chun-Fu Chen

In many applications, significant correlations between arrivals of load-generating events make the numerical evaluation of the load of a system a challenging problem. Here, we construct very accurate approximations of the workload…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-02 Eleni Vatamidou , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

For a fixed positive integer $\;k,\;$ limit laws of linearly normalized $\;k$-th upper order statistics are well known. In this article, a comprehensive study of tail behaviours of limit laws of normalized $k$-th upper order statistics…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-11 Sreenivasan Ravi , Mandagere Chandrashekhar Manohar
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