English
Related papers

Related papers: Predicting the unobserved: a statistical mechanics…

200 papers

In many areas of engineering and sciences, decision rules and control strategies are usually designed based on nominal values of relevant system parameters. To ensure that a control strategy or decision rule will work properly when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Xinjia Chen

Macroscopic models for spatially extended systems under random influences are often described by stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Some techniques for understanding solutions of such equations, such as estimating…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Jinqiao Duan

Nonequilibrium statistical mechanics exhibit a variety of complex phenomena far from equilibrium. It inherits challenges of equilibrium, including accurately describing the joint distribution of a large number of configurations, and also…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-08 Ying Tang , Jing Liu , Jiang Zhang , Pan Zhang

Machine learning methods have proved to be useful for the recognition of patterns in statistical data. The measurement outcomes are intrinsically random in quantum physics, however, they do have a pattern when the measurements are performed…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-04-14 I. A. Luchnikov , S. V. Vintskevich , D. A. Grigoriev , S. N. Filippov

The recently proposed statistical finite element (statFEM) approach synthesises measurement data with finite element models and allows for making predictions about the unknown true system response. We provide a probabilistic error analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Toni Karvonen , Fehmi Cirak , Mark Girolami

A binary fluid mixture in contact with lateral particle reservoirs is considered. By imposing different particle concentrations in these reservoirs, the system can be maintained under controlled non-equilibrium conditions. Previous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-01 O. Politano , Alejandro L. Garcia , F. Baras , M. Malek Mansour

Nonlinear response occurs naturally when a strong perturbation takes a system far from equilibrium. Despite of its omnipresence in nanoscale systems, it is difficult to predict in a general and efficient way. Here we introduce a way to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-24 Chloe Ya Gao , David T. Limmer

The Fluctuation Theorem gives an analytical expression for the probability of observing second law violating dynamical fluctuations, in nonequilibrium systems. At equilibrium statistical mechanical fluctuations are known to be ensemble…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-30 Debra J. Searles , Denis J. Evans

Human trajectory forecasting helps to understand and predict human behaviors, enabling applications from social robots to self-driving cars, and therefore has been heavily investigated. Most existing methods can be divided into model-free…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Jiangbei Yue , Dinesh Manocha , He Wang

We propose a modeling framework for stochastic systems, termed Gaussian behaviors, that describes finite-length trajectories of a system as a Gaussian process. The proposed model naturally quantifies the uncertainty in the trajectories, yet…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 András Sasfi , Ivan Markovsky , Alberto Padoan , Florian Dörfler

The past twenty years have seen a resurgence of interest in nonequilibrium thermodynamics, thanks to advances in the theory of stochastic processes and in their thermodynamic interpretation. Fluctuation theorems provide fundamental…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-11-16 Robert Marsland , Jeremy England

The use of learning-based methods for vehicle behavior prediction is a promising research topic. However, many publicly available data sets suffer from class distribution skews which limits learning performance if not addressed. This paper…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-23 Theodor Westny , Erik Frisk , Björn Olofsson

The reconstruction and inference of stochastic dynamical systems from data is a fundamental task in inverse problems and statistical learning. While surrogate modeling advances computational methods to approximate these dynamics, standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Nicole Tianjiao Yang

Many collective systems exist in nature far from equilibrium, ranging from cellular sheets up to flocks of birds. These systems reflect a form of active matter, whereby individual material components have internal energy. Under specific…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-04-17 Namid R. Stillman , Silke Henkes , Roberto Mayor , Gilles Louppe

We propose a method for inferring entropy production (EP) in high-dimensional stochastic systems, including many-body systems and non-Markovian systems with long memory. Standard techniques for estimating EP become intractable in such…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-20 Miguel Aguilera , Sosuke Ito , Artemy Kolchinsky

Modeling car-following behavior is fundamental to microscopic traffic simulation, yet traditional deterministic models often fail to capture the full extent of variability and unpredictability in human driving. While many modern approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-30 Chengyuan Zhang , Zhengbing He , Cathy Wu , Lijun Sun

Stochastic dynamical systems have emerged as fundamental models across numerous application domains, providing powerful mathematical representations for capturing uncertain system behavior. In this paper, we address the problem of runtime…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-13 Shenghua Feng , Jie An , Fanjiang Xu

In statistical mechanics, measuring the number of available states and their probabilities, and thus the system's entropy, enables the prediction of the macroscopic properties of a physical system at equilibrium. This predictive capacity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-14 Mathias Casiulis , Stefano Martiniani

We investigate how individuals form expectations about population behavior using statistical inference based on observations of their social relations. Misperceptions about others' connectedness and behavior arise from sampling bias…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-27 Andreas Bjerre-Nielsen , Martin Benedikt Busch

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang