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Humanity spends an increasing proportion of its time interacting online. Scholars are intensively investigating the societal drivers and resultant impacts of this collective shift in our allocation of time and attention. Yet, the external…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-17 Kelton Minor , Esteban Moro , Nick Obradovich

The economic impacts of climate change are highly uncertain. Two of the most important uncertainties are the sensitivity of the climate system and the so-called damage functions, which relate climate change to economic damages and benefits.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-08-24 Jenny Bjordal , Trude Storelvmo , Anthony A. Smith

A primary objective of the NASA Earth-Sun Exploration Technology Office is to understand the observed Earth climate variability, thus enabling the determination and prediction of the climate's response to both natural and human-induced…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-20 Kevin H. Knuth , Anthony Gotera , Charles T. Curry , Karen A. Huyser , Kevin R. Wheeler , William B. Rossow

This letter exposes a tight connection between the thermodynamic efficiency of information processing and predictive inference. A generalized lower bound on dissipation is derived for partially observable information engines which are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-02-12 Susanne Still

We model the behavioral biases of human decision-making in securing interdependent systems and show that such behavioral decision-making leads to a suboptimal pattern of resource allocation compared to non-behavioral (rational)…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Mustafa Abdallah , Daniel Woods , Parinaz Naghizadeh , Issa Khalil , Timothy Cason , Shreyas Sundaram , Saurabh Bagchi

Three theories offer competing predictions about how people respond to growing diversity in their social environment. Contact theory suggests more exposure to out-groups reduces prejudice; conflict theory predicts a stronger in-group…

We consider active learning under incentive compatibility constraints. The main application of our results is to economic experiments, in which a learner seeks to infer the parameters of a subject's preferences: for example their attitudes…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Federico Echenique , Siddharth Prasad

Choice models for large-scale applications have historically relied on economic theories (e.g. utility maximisation) that establish relationships between the choices of individuals, their characteristics, and the attributes of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-24 Thomas O. Hancock , Stephane Hess , Charisma F. Choudhury

Perfectly rational decision-makers maximize expected utility, but crucially ignore the resource costs incurred when determining optimal actions. Here we propose an information-theoretic formalization of bounded rational decision-making…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-04 Pedro A. Ortega , Daniel A. Braun

The relationship between electricity demand and variables such as economic activity and weather patterns is well established. However, this paper explores the connection between electricity demand and social aspects. It further embeds…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Yun Bai , Simon Camal , Andrea Michiorri

We derive robust predictions in games involving flexible information acquisition, also known as rational inattention (Sims 2003). These predictions remain accurate regardless of the specific methods players employ to gather information.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-06-19 Tommaso Denti , Doron Ravid

Climate change is the long-term shift in global weather patterns, largely caused by anthropogenic activity of greenhouse gas emissions. Global climate temperatures have unmistakably risen and naturally occurring climate variability alone…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-26 Junze Zhang , Kerry Zhang , Mary Zhang , Jonathan H. Jiang , Philip E. Rosen , Kristen A. Fahy

Cooperation is a key driver of human social progress. Studies of the evolution of cooperation typically assume a deterministic outcome for social interactions. But in real-world social interactions, interaction outcomes are often subject to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-14 Jiapeng Yu , Anzhi Sheng , Long Wang

Intertemporal decision making involves choices among options whose effects occur at different moments. These choices are influenced not only by the effect of rewards value perception at different moments, but also by the time perception…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-19 Natalia Destefano , Alexandre Souto Martinez

Extratropical storms shape midlatitude weather and vary due to the slowly evolving climate and the rapid changes in synoptic conditions. While the influence of each factor has been studied extensively, their relative importance remains…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-17 Or Hadas , Yohai Kaspi

A case study of the Singapore road network provides empirical evidence that road pricing can significantly affect commuter trip timing behaviors. In this paper, we propose a model of trip timing decisions that reasonably matches the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-08-23 Tichakorn Wongpiromsarn , Nan Xiao , Keyou You , Kai Sim , Lihua Xie , Emilio Frazzoli , Daniela Rus

To control and utilize quantum features in small scale for practical applications such as quantum transport, it is crucial to gain deep understanding of quantum characteristics of states such as coherence. Here by introducing a technique…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-01-03 Laleh Memarzadeh , Azam Mani

On the basis of the experimental data concerning interactions between humans the process of Ising-based model of opinion formation in a social network was investigated. In the paper the data concerning human social activity, i.e. frequency…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-07-12 Andrzej Grabowski , Andrzej Jarynowski

Understanding the role of human behavior in shaping environmental outcomes is crucial for addressing global challenges such as climate change. Environmental systems are influenced not only by natural factors like temperature, but also by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-15 Luke Wisniewski , Thomas Zdyrski , Feng Fu

This paper initiates the study of the testable implications of choice data in settings where agents have privacy preferences. We adapt the standard conceptualization of consumer choice theory to a situation where the consumer is aware of,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-03 Rachel Cummings , Federico Echenique , Adam Wierman