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Accurate uncertainty estimates can significantly improve the performance of iterative design of experiments, as in Sequential and Reinforcement learning. For many such problems in engineering and the physical sciences, the design task…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-20 Brendan Folie , Maxwell Hutchinson

The use and development of mobile interventions are experiencing rapid growth. In "just-in-time" mobile interventions, treatments are provided via a mobile device and they are intended to help an individual make healthy decisions "in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-23 Peng Liao , Predrag Klasnja , Ambuj Tewari , Susan A. Murphy

Personalized intervention strategies, in particular those that modify treatment based on a participant's own response, are a core component of precision medicine approaches. Sequential Multiple Assignment Randomized Trials (SMARTs) are…

In covariate-adaptive or response-adaptive randomization, the treatment assignment and outcome can be correlated. Under this situation, re-randomization tests are a straightforward and attractive method to provide valid statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-14 Yilong Zhang , Yujie Zhao , Yiwen Luo

Neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's and Parkinson's often exhibit complex, multivariate longitudinal outcomes that require advanced statistical methods to comprehensively evaluate treatment efficacy. The Longitudinal Rank Sum…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-12 Dhrubajyoti Ghosh , Xiaoming Xu , Sheng Luo

There is a growing need for pluralistic alignment methods that can steer language models towards individual attributes and preferences. One such method, Self-Supervised Alignment with Mutual Information (SAMI), uses conditional mutual…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Soham V. Govande

In randomized trials, repeated measures of the outcome are routinely collected. The mixed model for repeated measures (MMRM) leverages the information from these repeated outcome measures, and is often used for the primary analysis to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Bingkai Wang , Yu Du

Imitation learning has enabled robots to perform complex, long-horizon tasks in challenging dexterous manipulation settings. As new methods are developed, they must be rigorously evaluated and compared against corresponding baselines…

The paper presents an algorithm, called Self-Morphing Adaptive Replanning Tree (SMART), that facilitates fast replanning in dynamic environments. SMART performs risk based tree-pruning if the current path is obstructed by nearby moving…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Zongyuan Shen , James P. Wilson , Shalabh Gupta , Ryan Harvey

Having a sufficient quantity of quality data is a critical enabler of training effective machine learning models. Being able to effectively determine the adequacy of a dataset prior to training and evaluating a model's performance would be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Arya Hatamian , Lionel Levine , Haniyeh Ehsani Oskouie , Majid Sarrafzadeh

Evaluation of clinical prediction models across multiple clusters, whether centers or datasets, is becoming increasingly common. A comprehensive evaluation includes an assessment of the agreement between the estimated risks and the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Lasai Barreñada , Bavo D. C. Campo , Laure Wynants , Ben Van Calster

A common problem in health research is that we have a large database with many variables measured on a large number of individuals. We are interested in measuring additional variables on a subsample; these measurements may be newly…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Thomas Lumley , Tong Chen

The choice of sample size in the context of co-primary endpoints for a randomised trial is discussed. Current guidance can leave endpoints with unequal marginal power. A method is provided to achieve equal marginal power by using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Simon Bond

Unblinded sample size re-estimation (SSR) is often planned in a clinical trial when there is large uncertainty about the true treatment effect. For Proof-of Concept (PoC) in a Phase II dose finding study, contrast test can be adopted to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-11 Qingyang Liu , Guanyu Hu , Binqi Ye , Susan Wang , Yaoshi Wu

In noisy evolutionary optimization, sampling is a common strategy to deal with noise. By the sampling strategy, the fitness of a solution is evaluated multiple times (called \emph{sample size}) independently, and its true fitness is then…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Chao Qian , Chao Bian , Yang Yu , Ke Tang , Xin Yao

Simulation models often have parameters as input and return outputs to understand the behavior of complex systems. Calibration is the process of estimating the values of the parameters in a simulation model in light of observed data from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-15 Özge Sürer

Testing effect size homogeneity is an essential part when conducting a meta-analysis. Comparative studies of effect size homogeneity tests in case of binary outcomes are found in the literature, but no test has come out as an absolute…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Osama Almalik

Sample splitting is widely used in statistical applications, including classically in classification and more recently for inference post model selection. Motivating by problems in the study of diet, physical activity, and health, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Eli S. Kravitz , Raymond J. Carroll , David Ruppert

Modern studies increasingly leverage outcomes predicted by machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI/ML) models, and recent work, such as prediction-powered inference (PPI), has developed valid downstream statistical inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Yiqun T. Chen , Moran Guo , Shengy Li

Clinical prediction models enable healthcare professionals to estimate individual outcomes using patient characteristics. Current sample size guidelines for developing or updating models with continuous outcomes aim to minimise overfitting…

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